buckeye Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 Even the American ones are coming around. Heck the 6z NAM! Sent from my Nexus 5X using Tapatalk Rough one and total thread fail, I'm officially done as a thread starter. Sorry guys I figured it couldn't be any worse for us than what happens when Hoosier starts a storm thread. It'll be interesting to see what finally happens with this. Models are digging that trough deeper and deeper every run. I guess if there's any bright side it's not like we had a massive snow storm pulled out from under us. We were basically tracking the northern edge, a consistently modeled 4-8" event. I don't think any model other than the short bus group and the long range nam, ever had us cashing in huge. This was mostly about weenie wishing for a nw shift, weenie wishing that had merit and precedent but never happened. Of course I have no doubt, much like the last two winters, there will be a storm that gets ripped out from under us as a result of a nw trend. We do really well with those. We're just in a tough geographic location to have models lock and load for days and expect things not to change. Time to catch up on all the work I let slide feeding this damn nonsensical habit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 kind of feel bad for buckeye, missing big dogs to his nw last couple winters and now just east sending some weenie vibes your way dude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ingyball Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 If the low were to be stronger than expected and it went Neg tilt over Texas would that help us in Ohio? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 The east coast storm will start melting less than 48 hrs after it falls. /pointless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 The east coast storm will start melting less than 48 hrs after it falls. /pointless i can taste the salt and that sounds ideal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 i can taste the salt and that sounds ideal So when are you coming snowmobiling with me? I might have a spare sled next year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 i can fly to tahoe in less time than it will take me to drive with you up to bo-land Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Northern Mississippi 6", Huntington WV 20", DC 30" :axe: Edit: Yes I'm torturing myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 i can fly to tahoe in less time than it will take me to drive with you up to bo-land Don't need to go up to the UP... Just hit SW Michigan sometime. Skiing kicks butt... it does, but the experience is quite different. To each his own. The offer is there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Same ole same ole..Swing and a miss south...swing and a miss west..for the love of everything decent in this world..can we ever have a storm that will ever track just right for us here in Central Ohio..Looks good...looks good..looks good...MISS!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Northern Mississippi 6", Huntington WV 20", DC 30" :axe: Edit: Yes I'm torturing myself. Stay off the internet and avoid the TV from Saturday through Wednesday. Your house and DC will have the same amount of snow by that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Svrwx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Same ole same ole..Swing and a miss south...swing and a miss west..for the love of everything decent in this world..can we ever have a storm that will ever track just right for us here in Central Ohio..Looks good...looks good..looks good...MISS!! Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 for those still tracking this for the love of the game, some non-trivial changes on the GFS 6z 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 slow but steady shrinkage in area of 20"+ totals on the GFS over the past few runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 slow but steady shrinkage in area of 20"+ totals on the GFS over the past few runs More realistic. GFS keeping Cbus in the mix for 1-2". I guess I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 More realistic. GFS keeping Cbus in the mix for 1-2". I guess I'll take it. Yep, about a general 2-4" in CMH on the GFS. Not as sharp of a cutoff as on the NAM. I think we see flurries at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ingyball Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Could the trough still go neg tilt before Mississippi? Or is it unreasonable? How often do the models mishandle storms going neg tilt a couple of days out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Could the trough still go neg tilt before Mississippi? Or is it unreasonable? How often do the models mishandle storms going neg tilt a couple of days out? Odds are very much in favor of that not happening. It is barely neutrally tilted by that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Going to be a sharp cutoff here in Metro Louisville. Places 30 miles south of here could get over a foot, Louisville could see 6-8 inches, while 25 miles north in Southern Indiana could receive nothing. Makes me nervous being so close to the cutoff. That said, I should be happy with the four inches of snow I got today. But I always want more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Could the trough still go neg tilt before Mississippi? Or is it unreasonable? How often do the models mishandle storms going neg tilt a couple of days out? Sorry, but it's game over for us. We'll probably see some light snow showers accumulate to 1", maybe 2". This exact setup happened at least 2x last winter, maybe 3, and the model guidance always works itself out to this track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Just wow..another miss..and all it would take is a 75-100 mile shift north...yeah i said it..NORTH!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighTechEE Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Just wow..another miss..and all it would take is a 75-100 mile shift north...yeah i said it..NORTH!! Where is the ol' NAM slug to the north in the last 48hrs and I-70 gets light FR drizzle out of these storms! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 so I'm in my office working with the radio on in the back ground. Top of hour news comes on and the lead story goes, "today's minor accumulations causing a lot of traffic headaches, and the heavy stuff doesn't even arrive until Friday". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ingyball Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Well I got more than I thought we would here at OSU, previous model runs had the clipper breaking up over Ohio as it passed through, looks like it held together a bit better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Mood flakes here..dusting!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest ovweather Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Going to be a sharp cutoff here in Metro Louisville. Places 30 miles south of here could get over a foot, Louisville could see 6-8 inches, while 25 miles north in Southern Indiana could receive nothing. Makes me nervous being so close to the cutoff. That said, I should be happy with the four inches of snow I got today. But I always want more. Seems like the heaviest snow with today's system fell farther north then expected. Maybe the same will happen Friday? How many times have we seen the models go back and forth for days with the heaviest snow axis? A few miles is the difference between Louisville getting a foot Friday and just a few inches. With that said, I am happy with the 4 inches today because that is usually a big snow around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 My first call is about 2" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 NAM goin' south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 NAM goin' south No surprises Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 No surprises Geos going to end up with more than Buckeye? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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