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January 22-23 Storm Threat


Ralph Wiggum

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HR 96 snow total, and still have more to come. it doesn't look good if you have plans saturday..

 

acc10_1snowne.png

 

Looks great!  And kinda what I was expecting earlier today.  Have to believe Euro will shift north a bit tonight.

 

What was a further south low early on and what seemed like more confluence up north looked to mirror the Euro turned into an outcome we would hope for and expect of typical miller a

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Definitely slower, with low still over delaware  at 00z Sunday.  More precip issues for SNJ as well, though they get thumped before it changes.

The slower run allows the trough to get to negative, which allows it to hug the coast.  This sucker just hangs out for the weekend.

Shots fired at the euro....

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What's different here is the closed low is a little slower to reach the coast, giving the confluence over Maine and SE Canada time to get out of the way, and the height rise off the entire Eastern seaboard is remarkable as a result. At 12z and 18z the 546dam contour basically parallels the coastline. At 00z, its practically over Lake Ontario, valid at the same time. Big difference and the low climbs the ladder as a result. Gorgeous.

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You guys know the chances of this verifying like this are very, very low right?

Let's just take the north trend and run with it, and hope the EURO responds in kind... And also let's hope it doesn't go further NW...

Seriously?? This is something like 22 straight runs of the gfs....at the very least it has to be seriously considered

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Mike Masco is horrible. I guess the cmc had them too then because it supports the gfs. he just likes to hear himself talk.

to be fair, the ggem is not as good for our area as the gfs, and does not have the same evolution (it seems to be playing with the idea of two low's again) EDIT-it is still pretty darn good.

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