Quakertown needs snow Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 CMC another big hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Lol...she's doing it right now. Right On cue... But sure is Nice "eye-candy" ("storm graphics" of course...lol) Sorry, probably wrong thread for this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 ImageUploadedByTapatalk1453176955.481446.jpg Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk ImageUploadedByTapatalk1453176955.481446.jpg Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk went from 20-24" to only 18-20"..storm cancel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I don't know what to say other then Sheena just punted away the storm she didn't even want to talk about itTold ya! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Did anyone start checking the hi res gfs yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 could the nerds chillout with all the hits to NCEP site. Either that, or somebody needs to wake up and do a simple memory upgrade to handle more traffic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I don't know what to say other then Sheena just punted away the storm she didn't even want to talk about it But...but...her shirt/skirt are tight fitting...ratings! Adam Joseph broke it down better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I don't know what to say other then Sheena just punted away the storm she didn't even want to talk about it Maybe Glen wants all the glory for himself... jk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kicking Up A Storm Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Just want to apply some logic here: Not only are the models being completely consistent, but there's also massive model agreement that's been consistent, too. So really, how likely is this thing to bust? Pretty low odds, surely. Note: I know nothing, but pick up on things as I read commentary from you lot. Not a bad way to learn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 went from 20-24" to only 18-20"..storm cancel Yup, went from 26, to 27-30 woo Hoo haha Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 SWEET.... img=http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160119/00Z/f138/acc10_1snowne.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 ImageUploadedByTapatalk1453176955.481446.jpg Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Ratios are too high on this map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 10:1 ratios maps have 16-22" in SEPA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Ratios are too high on this map. Yes, winds and high ratios don't mix. That pivotal map posted above is more realistic. 12-18" event with 24" lollis down towards York and Lancaster Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Ratios are too high on this map look at 700 mb. ccb is ripping, could easily see some really good ratios with that. probably still too high but not that far off imo, these things can't be hammered out until 24-36 hours out anyway so it's stupid to argue at this point.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 GFS qpf for Harrisburg 4.02", Allentown 2.39" So if Harrisburg received 12:1 ratio yup 4' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 UKMET continues with an ideal track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 is there a backup NCEP site , that updates about just as quickly ? been waiting 2 hours for 1 image to load. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 is there a backup NCEP site , that updates about just as quickly ? been waiting 2 hours for 1 image to load. Try PSU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 GFS qpf for Harrisburg 4.02", Allentown 2.39" Source? I'm seeing 1.8" Abe 2.8" hbg Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 gefs well SE of OP again. Thinking we may see a trend away from the tucked to the coast solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Source? I'm seeing 1.8" Abe 2.8" hbg Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk NYC forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I don't know what to say other then Sheena just punted away the storm she didn't even want to talk about it I will say this... I never watch CBS3 but recorded it tonight... Kate Billow did an excellent job with her analysis and had a nice graphic showing accumulation ranges and respective probabilities!! Best forecast of the three networks!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I will say this... I never watch CBS3 but recorded it tonight... Kate Billow did an excellent job with her analysis and had a nice graphic showing accumulation ranges and respective probabilities!! Best forecast of the three networks!! Pleasant surprise. Her blog has a pretty conservative assessment. Difficult to stand the wait to the next Euro run. Its a shame it isn't released at the same time as the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 18z Para GFS is about as perfect as it can get for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 18z Para GFS is about as perfect as it can get for us Do you have a link? Can't seem to find it on NCEP site Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Do you have a link? Can't seem to find it on NCEP site mageval.ncep.noaa.gov Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 mageval.ncep.noaa.gov Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 ECM closes off sooner and further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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