No snow for you Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I don't this is a clipper. Not sure what it is but not a clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I don't this is a clipper. Not sure what it is but not a clipper.An upper level disturbance mixed with WAA!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Its not a clipper its origins are the Pacific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCummingWx93 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Winter Storm Watch URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 828 PM EST MON JAN 18 2016 GAZ004-190930- /O.NEW.KFFC.WS.A.0001.160120T0900Z-160121T0600Z/ WHITFIELD- 828 PM EST MON JAN 18 2016 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * LOCATIONS...AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM DALTON TO ELLIJAY TO CLEVELAND. * HAZARD TYPES...ACCUMULATING FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCHES. ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH. * TIMING...4 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM THURSDAY * IMPACTS...ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN MAY MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE BEGINNING WEDNESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 828 PM EST MON JAN 18 2016 GAZ005>009-015-016-190930- /O.NEW.KFFC.WS.A.0001.160120T0900Z-160121T0600Z/ /O.CON.KFFC.WC.Y.0001.160119T0600Z-160119T1500Z/ MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-LUMPKIN-WHITE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DAHLONEGA...CLEVELAND 828 PM EST MON JAN 18 2016 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM EST TUESDAY... ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA ARE INCLUDED IN THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH INCLUDES AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM DALTON TO ELLIJAY TO CLEVELAND. * TIMING...1 AM TO 10 AM TUESDAY FOR THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY. 4 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM THURSDAY FOR THE WINTER STORM WATCH. * WIND CHILL READINGS...AS LOW AS 5 TO MINUS 5 DEGREES DUE TO TEMPERATURES IN THE TEENS TO SINGLE DIGITS...AND NORTHWEST WINDS OF 5 TO 10 MPH WITH HIGHER GUST. * WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS OR 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUST TO 15 MPH. * HAZARD TYPES...ACCUMULATING FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCHES. ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH. * IMPACTS...LOW WIND CHILL VALUES CAN LEAD TO FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA IF PROPER PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. FOR THE WINTER STORM WATCH...ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN MAY MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE BEGINNING WEDNESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted January 19, 2016 Author Share Posted January 19, 2016 NAM is quick to Kill it off, the and has less QPF than the GFS or Euro 32k NAM looks pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I wouldn't bank on a few inches of snow...I think freezing drizzle/ice pellets will cut snow totals to around 1" or less. But we will see. I think most will see more mix/ice than white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I'm not expecting any wintry precip at all from either the Wed storm or the Fri storm. It's just how it goes for the I-20 corridor. Back in the old days, it wasn't so difficult to get snow events this far south but times have changed. Every winter we would get at least a dusting of snow. 3 out of the last 4 winters all we've had is a few flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Winter Storm to overproduce and provide a local CAD for north Georgia surrounding areas for the big dog Friday. Jk? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I don't this is a clipper. Not sure what it is but not a clipper.This looks like a classic case of the Georgia and WNC mountains chewing up all the moisture with down slopping taking care of the rest. I do not think it will deliver for the upstate, unless we see the leeward cycloogenesis over the I-26 corridor and east, which is not uncommon. I think the models are picking up on that, thus the moisture going poof at the state line. Always happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 32k NAM looks pretty good. It's a larger resolution version of NAM, though. 4km NAM is much better for mountains due to higher terrain resolution and it doesn't show much for us on the other side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 cmc sends snow showers down into sc for shawn on weds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 WRF-ARW aggressive for Wed evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 WRF does give some love to North Georgia, SW NC and the upstate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 WRF-ARW aggressive for Wed evening Those maps look off?? It is a more of West to East trajectory, I thought for Wed storm? I could be wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Those maps look off?? It is a more of West to East trajectory, I thought for Wed storm? I could be wrong It is west to east, those maps are probably playing tricks on your eyes. GFS has something similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 RAH released a graphic last night for Central NC. Flurries and light showers possible and anything that falls can cause slick spots because of the cold weather recently. Not sure this will be a big deal for Central NC...but it seems like we are always able to wring out some snow with these. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 From RAH: .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...AS OF 345 AM TUESDAY...WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING...A FAST MOVING UPPER DISTURBANCEEXITING THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES THIS MORNING WILL ADVANCE STEADILY EASTINTO THE TN VALLEY BY EARLY WEDNESDAY...CROSSING THE SE U.S. AND THECAROLINAS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON-EARLY EVENING. THIS SYSTEM PROJECTEDTO WRING MOST OF ITS MOISTURE OUT OVER THE WINDWARD SIDE OF THESOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BUT THE LATEST RH CROSS SECTIONS DEPICT ADECENT LAYER OF MOISTURE SURVIVING THE TRIP OVER THE MOUNTAINS INTHE 850-400MB LAYER. LIFT THROUGH THE COLUMN A RESULT OF MODEST WARMAIR ADVECTION AND SPEED CONVERGENCE IN THE MID LEVELS OF THEATMOSPHERE. THIS MAY SQUEEZE A FEW PATCHES OF LIGHT SNOW...MAINLYACROSS THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT THROUGH THE NORTHERN COASTAL PLAIN.TIMING FAVORS THE WESTERN PIEDMONT IN THE MID-LATE AFTERNOONHOURS...AND LOCATIONS FROM THE TRIANGLE INTO THE NORTHERN COASTALPLAIN FROM LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. DUE TO THEDRY SUB CLOUD LAYER...NOT EXPECTING MUCH IF ANY ACCUMULATION ON THEGRASS OR ROAD SURFACES THOUGH A STEADY PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW FOR UPTO AN HOUR MAY CREATE A DUSTING IN SPOTS. THIS MAY LEAD TO A FEWSLICK SPOTS ON BRIDGES/OVERPASSES...ESPECIALLY IF HEAVY TRAFFICCOMPACTS THE SNOW. Bolded - Sound familiar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shack Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 FFC saying the ATL metro area(northern suburbs) and NGA looking good for something frozen from this little wave and issuing an Advisory. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA627 AM EST TUE JAN 19 2016.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 459 AM EST TUE JAN 19 2016/SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/.....CHALLENGING SHORT TERM FORECAST WITH FIRST BIG CHANCE AT WINTRYPRECIP...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE SOUTHEASTTODAY AS THE RIDGE AXIS MOVE EASTWARD...KEEPING THE DRY AND CHILLYAIR MASS OVER THE STATE /SEE FIRE WEATHER SECTION BELOW/. A MODESTSHORTWAVE APPROACHES THE STATE TONIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAYMORNING...DAMPENING SOMEWHAT. AS THE COLUMN SATURATES...EXPECTTHERMODYNAMIC COOLING TO KEEP TEMPERATURES LOW. AS PRECIPITATIONBEGINS ACROSS THE AREA...EXPECT INITIAL LIGHT SNOW/SLEET WEDNESDAYMORNING TO TRANSITION TO FREEZING RAIN /WPC PRECIP PROBS FORFREEZING RAIN ARE IMPRESSIVE/. NORTH GEORGIA COUNTIES WILL CONTINUETO SEE A RAIN/SNOW PTYPE THROUGH THE DAY...WITH THE REMAINDER OF THEAREA TRANSITIONING TO ALL RAIN BY THE AFTERNOON. COLD ANTECEDENTCONDITIONS WILL PRIME THE AREA TO SEE EARLY IMPACTS...AND HAVE GONEAHEAD AND UPGRADED THE WINTER STORM WATCH AREA AND EXPANDEDIT...ISSUING A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR 09Z WEDNESDAY TO 06ZTHURSDAY. SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS HAVE NOT CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY FROMTHE EVENING FORECAST PACKAGE...AND STILL EXPECTING UP TO 2 INCHES OFSNOW/SLEET IN THE FAR NORTHERN COUNTIES...AND A QUARTER TO HALF ANINCH IN PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN ATLANTA SUBURBS.THERE STILL REMAINS SEVERAL KEY QUESTIONS AND UNCERTAINTIES WITH THEFORECAST. MODELS TEND TO BE TOO QUICK TO MODIFY THEENVIRONMENT...WARMING TEMPERATURES FASTER THAN REALITY. AS ARESULT...THE TIMING OF THE TRANSITION TO ALL RAIN MAY BE A LITTLEFAST. HAVE TRIED TO ACCOMMODATE THIS TREND IN THE FORECAST. ANOTHERBIG QUESTION IS THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF THE WINTRY PRECIP. WOULD NOTBE SURPRISED TO SEE SOME NON-ACCUMULATING WINTRY PRECIP AS FAR SOUTHAS I-20.STAY ALERT TO THE CHANGING FORECAST...AS IT IS SURE TO EVOLVE ASTHIS EVENT APPROACHES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 9Z SREF tries to give RDU a little dusting with this... won't take much to get an impact with the cold surface temps preceding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I think this is looking good for my back yard! I wouldn't be surprised if Clemson/ Pickens / Greenville proper, could get a coating to an inch of snow and or sleet. Especially if precip arrives earlier than expected, like noon or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Looks like one of those that hits the mountains and reforms just east of chapel hill surprising some eastern nc peeps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 nam continues to look good for nc, nice band of snow moving thru tomorrow afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 nam continues to look good for nc, nice band of snow moving thru tomorrow afternoon. Simulated radar at hour 33: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fnam%2F12%2Fnam_namer_033_sim_radar.gif&model=nam&area=namer&storm=&cycle=12¶m=sim_radar&fhr=033&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20160119+12+UTC&ps=model&use_mins=no&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I think this is looking good for my back yard! I wouldn't be surprised if Clemson/ Pickens / Greenville proper, could get a coating to an inch of snow and or sleet. Especially if precip arrives earlier than expected, like noon or so I agree. I would cash out with 1-2 inches and call it a winter at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I really think this one is going to surprise a lot of folks. Everyone focusing on the biggie later in the week... Surface temps have been ridiculously cold..this one could be a light event with high impacts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I really think this one is going to surprise a lot of folks. Everyone focusing on the biggie later in the week... Surface temps have been ridiculously cold..this one could be a light event with high impacts yea, an hr under decent returns will cause some issues. snow wont have a problem sticking that's for sure. classic setup that drops a suprise dusting to .5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I really think this one is going to surprise a lot of folks. Everyone focusing on the biggie later in the week... Surface temps have been ridiculously cold..this one could be a light event with high impacts Agree 100% esp in the ne ga and nw sc areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 If this can put down a widespread 1" snowfall it MIGHT help With a bit colder, deeper wedge for the following storm. That's a big MIGHT though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.