Chinook Posted February 10, 2016 Author Share Posted February 10, 2016 Fort Collins is warmer than Miami. Snow is liquefying quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mercurial Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 35 here, 55 in the plains east of the divide. Currently have about a foot of glacial-esque snowpack which helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mercurial Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Downtown Los Angeles was high 89 low 56. Note: my area averages high 88 low 59 in mid-July. -- ...PRELIMINARY RECORD DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR SOUTHERNCALIFORNIA...A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 89 DEGREES WAS SET AT LOS ANGELESDOWNTOWN (USC) CA TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 85 SET IN2006. Whitefish typically only gets above 89 five or ten times in an entire year lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 yesterday: Fort Collins got up to 69.9 degrees at CSU --- AKO : AKRON AIRPORT : 55 / 31 / 0.00 APA : CENTENNIAL ARPT : 65 / 33 / 0.00 DEN : DENVER INTL ARPT : 66 / 35 / 0.00 LIC : LIMON : 50 / 22 / 0.00 FNL : FT COLLINS ARPT : 64 / 23 / 0.00 GXY : GREELEY AIRPORT : 61 / 16 / 0.00 ---- Today -- AKO : AKRON AIRPORT : 56 / 31 / 0.00 APA : CENTENNIAL ARPT : 64 / 32 / 0.00 DEN : DENVER INTL ARPT : 64 / 29 / 0.00 LIC : LIMON : 50 / 15 / 0.00 FNL : FT COLLINS ARPT : 54 / 27 / 0.00 GXY : GREELEY AIRPORT : 52 / 23 / 0.00 -- Broomfield-Jeffco: 64.4, Aurora-Buckley AFB: 65, Fort Collins-CSU: 59.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Accuweather has 2.6" for Albuquerque and 4.6" for Denver in March - precip, not even snow. It does seem like warm/dry Febs often precede pretty intense March patterns in El Nino in NM and CO. CFS seems to like the West 4x-5x wetter than normal in March right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConiferMtnMan Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 yesterday: Fort Collins got up to 69.9 degrees at CSU Feels like a year we need to cherish the warmth. March through May just feel like they'll be cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Accuweather has 2.6" for Albuquerque and 4.6" for Denver in March - precip, not even snow. It does seem like warm/dry Febs often precede pretty intense March patterns in El Nino in NM and CO. CFS seems to like the West 4x-5x wetter than normal in March right now... In the spirit of "dueling superheroes" that seems to be the thing this Spring, how about "AccuWeatherMan" vs. "RidgeZilla of Death"? Trailer coming soon to a theater near you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 The two movies that will feature dueling superheroes seem to be kind of a gimmick. I mean, who do I root for? Superman? Batman? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 I'm rooting for AccuWeatherMan. Funny that it never snows in any of the superhero movies. I guess it wouldn't seem super enough if they slipped and fell when they landed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mercurial Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Ridgezilla of death is killing it up here. Pretty much constant blowtorching with on and off rain for the next week at least. Rain... in Montana.. in freaking February. Not enough sad faces in the world to express my feelings toward this pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 13, 2016 Author Share Posted February 13, 2016 While we're all bored with the warm weather (or perhaps excited,) here's a web page that explains the criteria for winter watches, warnings, and advisories for Boulder CWA-- a rather complicated list. http://www.weather.gov/bou/watchwarningadvisoryexplained Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 14, 2016 Author Share Posted February 14, 2016 wind gust of 71mph at Morrison, CO tonight. That ought to snap a few branches in the metro area. I am seeing the local storm reports from W Denver and Boulder as thunderstorm wind gusts, but they are happening with clear skies. We had wind gusts 30-55mph around here with temps up to 60 degrees briefly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 wind gust of 71mph at Morrison, CO tonight. That ought to snap a few branches in the metro area. I am seeing the local storm reports from W Denver and Boulder as thunderstorm wind gusts, but they are happening with clear skies. We had wind gusts 30-55mph around here with temps up to 60 degrees briefly. It was roaring on Rt 36 yesterday evening between Broomfield and Boulder. Blowing road dirt/gravel at the vehicle. Easily 50+mph gusts, a couple may have been 60+. 12z GFS looks like perpetual early spring here through the end of the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 14, 2016 Author Share Posted February 14, 2016 We have had plenty of days in the 45-70 range since the big snowstorm. The snowstorm ended on the 2nd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 14, 2016 Author Share Posted February 14, 2016 The winds have come back. We have winds of 28mph gusting to 48mph on the west side of Fort Collins. High wind watch posted by the NWS for tomorrow, including Larimer county, Boulder, west side of Denver -- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ESTES PARK..FORT COLLINS.....LOVELAND.....ARVADA...BOULDER...GOLDEN...LAKEWOOD...LONGMONT301 PM MST SUN FEB 14 2016...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAYAFTERNOON...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A HIGH WINDWATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAYAFTERNOON.* TIMING...WHILE GUSTY WINDS WILL DECREASE SOMEWHAT TONIGHT...STRONGER WINDS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. WINDS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH MONDAY EVENING.* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Heard the first redwing blackbirds of the year on Sunday morning. Happy Spring! (of course Spring can mean almost anything in CO..) Crosswinds almost blew me over twice on a bike ride on the Cherry Creek Trail yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Heard the first redwing blackbirds of the year on Sunday morning. Happy Spring! (of course Spring can mean almost anything in CO..) Crosswinds almost blew me over twice on a bike ride on the Cherry Creek Trail yesterday. We hiked North Table Mountain yesterday afternoon. It was...windy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mercurial Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Lots of green patches showing up in Whitefish amongst the melting snow... very unusual for this micro climate. My understanding is that last year was much the same. **** the RRR lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 17, 2016 Author Share Posted February 17, 2016 Lots of green patches showing up in Whitefish amongst the melting snow... very unusual for this micro climate. My understanding is that last year was much the same. **** the RRR lol. The RRR (or western ridge) appears to be a part of our climate, in the 5-year averages. Central and southern California have had at least D1 (moderate drought) since Jan 3 2012 as per the Drought Monitor. Northern California hasn't had an above-normal precipitation calendar-year since 2012. 2015 had record warmth (for a 12-month average) west of the Rockies. NWS has posted wind advisories or high wind warnings for the central Mountain West, and red flag advisories for sections of the southern Plains. Perhaps my area won't have much winds over 30mph though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 The precip patterns this El Nino so far (Nov 17-Feb 16 as a proxy for Dec 1 - Feb 29) look fairly similar to 1939-40, 1945-46, 1987-88, 2006-07, 2009-10 combined. It's a weird combo for sure, predecessor to the super El Nino in the early 40s, the PDO flip year in the 40s, the second year of a double El Nino, another PDO flip year, and then 2009-10. The years have big snows in the SW, CO, NE, but aren't particularly dry in the midwest. This is what I mean visually: It's off a bit in the interior NW and interior SE, but I'd put it at a 65-75% match overall. Pretty warm Spring in those years - although cold in the SW in May. Cold in the NE in Apr. Very warm outside the SW in March. Fairly wet Spring for eastern NM/CO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 New record of 73° at DIA, breaks record of 71° set in 1930. Currently sitting at 75° in Thornton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 19, 2016 Author Share Posted February 19, 2016 We had some sprinkles tonight- a rare event for December, January or February. Winds are kicking up to 50mph gusts again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 19, 2016 Author Share Posted February 19, 2016 Denver- record high of 73, 23 degrees above average for the day (considering morning low and afternoon high) -- ..THE DENVER CO CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR FEBRUARY 18 2016 VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME. CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1872 TO 2016 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL .............................................................. TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 73R 249 PM 71 1930 47 26 47 MINIMUM 39 1204 AM -13 2006 19 20 14 AVERAGE 56 33 23 31 -- Hill City, Kansas was 31 degrees above average for the day (considering morning low and afternoon high) -- ..THE HILL CITY KS CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR FEBRUARY 18 2016 VALID TODAY AS OF 0500 PM LOCAL TIME. CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1896 TO 2016 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL .............................................................. TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 85R 450 PM 75 1986 47 38 35 MINIMUM 45 1223 AM -6 1978 20 25 12 AVERAGE 65 34 31 24 -- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Denver- record high of 73, 23 degrees above average for the day (considering morning low and afternoon high) -- ..THE DENVER CO CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR FEBRUARY 18 2016 VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME. CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1872 TO 2016 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL .............................................................. TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 73R 249 PM 71 1930 47 26 47 MINIMUM 39 1204 AM -13 2006 19 20 14 AVERAGE 56 33 23 31 -- Hill City, Kansas was 31 degrees above average for the day (considering morning low and afternoon high) -- ..THE HILL CITY KS CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR FEBRUARY 18 2016 VALID TODAY AS OF 0500 PM LOCAL TIME. CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1896 TO 2016 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL .............................................................. TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 85R 450 PM 75 1986 47 38 35 MINIMUM 45 1223 AM -6 1978 20 25 12 AVERAGE 65 34 31 24 -- Wow...nothing like breaking the record high by 10°, especially with that period of record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 19, 2016 Author Share Posted February 19, 2016 Winds were making my house shake a little bit at midnight. As of yesterday, Denver is 3.9 degrees F above normal for the month. We started the month with thick snowcover. Wyoming DOT has wind sensors every few miles on I-80. One of those sensors had a wind gust of 91mph yesterday (perhaps with snow squall) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 20, 2016 Author Share Posted February 20, 2016 Todays 12z/18z GFS and 00z/12z Canadian and 12z Euro show some snow on the Front Range with the shortwave dropping out of the northwest on Tuesday. Today's 18z GFS has quite a bit more snow. The 12z Canadian is nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 20, 2016 Author Share Posted February 20, 2016 Here is the Monday to Tuesday snow total predicted by the 12z GFS. This could be a trace-6" storm for some areas of the cities and plains. I'm not sure which parts of the cities would get the most snow. The GFS highlights Denver to Colorado Springs. The 500mb vertical velocity should be decent, but low level upslope should not be strong. There will probably be 6-12" for the northern and central mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 would be nice- things are getting pretty dry right now. Ice out on Cherry Creek lake this morning, ice fishing season was pretty short, like 4-5 weeks. Lake looks like it's at "spring runoff" levels, with not much more to run off till we get more snow. RidgeZilla is winning for the moment... AccuWeatherMan is starting to think about where he will go for vacation if the western 1/3 of the country incinerates in 2017. Time to buy popcorn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted February 21, 2016 Share Posted February 21, 2016 Local NWS is going with 1958, 1973, 1983, 1998 as Spring analogs. http://www.srh.noaa.gov/images/abq/Briefings/2016SpringOutlook.pdf Accuweather has ~1.3" rain and 1" snow in March for Albuquerque. The GFS fantasy range is showing storm after storm coming into the SW starting around March 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 21, 2016 Author Share Posted February 21, 2016 NWS 72-hr forecast now has 2-3" for most of the cities/ SE Wyoming on Monday-Tuesday. In my mind, there's still a lot of uncertainty, so this seems fairly reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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