Atomixwx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 From the Mid-Atlantic forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Another for your viewing pleasure.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 For a good read on the storm, do Not read CTP's forecast discussion. 0.0 mention of perhaps the biggest storm of the year in about 5 days.... hard to believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Well, to be fair, I believe the NWS should stay away from forecasting something like this until 72 hrs, minimum. Too many people rely solely on their forecasts to risk a major panic for something that could end up a colossal bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Well, to be fair, I believe the NWS should stay away from forecasting something like this until 72 hrs, minimum. Too many people rely solely on their forecasts to risk a major panic for something that could end up a colossal bust Just refer to NYC last year. 2 feet of a snow and they announce a blizzard and they get a regular snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I'm not saying that they should start up the hype machine now. A simple mention or a minor discussion of possibilities should be provided at this time. Mt. Holly's discussion gave this potential storm 1 nice paragraph going over a few model tracks & possibility of snow, rain or a miss. It's not like we are talking about a possible clipper. With what is on the table of possibilities, it should be mentioned at this juncture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Thx Mag. As your staring and glaring at the pic....focus on the grey area and tell me what what the Para is doing to the CPA crew..... Dare I say that pic prob give some of folks "woodies" (sorry....I couldnt resist) Nut I was so busy being a looking at my county in 36-40" that I didn't even notice the actual haha. GFS has a somewhat decent hit for PA but it's still def the more progressive model (big surprise) and not quite as heavy with the precip as last night and weaker with the low. The Euro capture and cutoff is what turns this from what probably would be your usual sizeable moisture laden Miller A to something ridiculous. Looks like the Canadian has more of a Miller B look (in the right spot for C-PA to capitalize) with a transfer to a deep coastal that hugs the coast. One thing to worry about somewhat if models go more for a Miller B is p-types of course if we end up with a primary west of the mountains that drives up more. Although the overall pattern could suggest that might not happen, there's no anchored 500 ridge in the west. Instead, the ridge progresses along with both the Euro and GFS except the 0z Euro of course phases and cuts the storm off. I think the progression could help push the storm and keep the low under us... although not enough phasing could also push the thing too far under us too. Lots to sort out this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 A nice steady light snow falling. It actually looks like Winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Euro is rolling and out to hour 102 fyi... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Crazy weekend that i haven't followed weather. I'm outside taking decorations down, came on to say i have flurries......to find out iwe have a storm to follow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 beautiful run so far through 144... better than its 0z run last night and the 12z gfs run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Precip into the SW 1/4 of PA at 126hr and most of PA at 132hr. Pretty heavy snow south of I-80 at 138hr and southern half of the state still getting hammered at 144hr. Northern mainly moderate snow. For the Pit gang you guys are def involved with this too. 12z Euro is going to put some big numbers up in the southern half of the state, wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 0.25-0.50 for all with 0.50+ 80S at 144. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 The Euro can suck it.ALERT: I take this back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 0.25-0.50 for all with 0.50+ 80S at 144. Your neck of the woods is getting hammered at 150 and 156, two 6 hr periods of 0.25-0.50" and your close to a small 0.5+ max both times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 If that euro run was the final outcome, everyone who post in here would be very happy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 So the Euro verbatim is about 1.8" qpf for KMDT. lol this one will sting when it misses us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Euro text output... Im not the greatest when it comes to ratios so if someone could chime in but to me looks to be better than 10:1 and these precip totals are absurd... MDT - 1.85" AOO - 2.09" JST - 1.98" IPT -1.48" AVP - 1.59" PIT - 1.88" UNV - 1.77" LNS - 1.81" THV - 1.89" HGR - 1.89" what other airports does everyone want? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 HGR please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I only have this for a few more days so here take a look at the clown map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Just when I thought the 0z run couldn't be beat.... Bravo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 We lost the penis unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Fantastic run of the Euro ! 18-24 inches region wide ! Looking at that snow map almost brought a tear to my eye ! This is why we are here gentlemen ! Let's bring this one home! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 We lost the penis unfortunately. That was the para, maybe the next run will be bigger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 This could blow to pieces everyones snow totals in our pool! On my phone looking so could be wrong, is our high for Friday-Sat 36-38? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I only have this for a few more days so here take a look at the clown map. Man that's a large swath of PA in 16"+. When's the last time Washington,PA was in a bullseye with 27"? Lol I could also add that there's a region of -8ºC 850 temps in south central PA that's around during the height of this too, so ratios could def be higher than 10-1. One step at a time though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 We lost the penis unfortunately. You're obsessed with the penis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 This could blow to pieces everyones snow totals in our pool! On my phone looking so could be wrong, is our high for Friday-Sat 36-38? Nope, I still have MDT at 34" and was honestly kicking myself for not increasing that number. I hope for just once, one lousy time that I guess right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 This could blow to pieces everyones snow totals in our pool! On my phone looking so could be wrong, is our high for Friday-Sat 36-38? I haven't even made an update on it, but let's say it's basically very little across the board. This will change it lmaoI've updated the totals, just no written update. Been fairly boring. Lots of T's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Got this from the MA thread. Enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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