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Central PA - Winter 2015-16 Disco


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"most exciting" event of this winter so far was the thunderstorms a few days ago ...

 

We had some gnarly squalls last year that hit right at 4:30 p.m., destroying evening commutes. Looks like if they pan out this will hit Harrisburg around the exact same time.

 

I have people in my office though already celebration winter being over. They don't think it'll snow at all and are like "even if it does we have five more weeks then we're basically in spring."

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The 12z Para Euro operational upgraded model today has very interesting scenario for the storm coming later this week. It has the low in the Midwest move from Missouri through Indiana into Ohio where it dies out as a 992 low.

Meanwhile, a low develops in the Southeast and tracks from the NC/SC border to a position just off the coast of Norfolk, VA as a 985 low. It then moves northeast & strengthens to a 975 low about 200 miles off the coast of NJ & then continues bombing out out to a 968 low off the coast of Cape Cod.

The Para has the Midwest low weaken more quickly the the regular Euro Op today & the recent runs of the GFS, although they appear to be trending in a similar direction as the Euro Para. If this trend continues, a bombing out coastal low that develops well to our south, could make things very interesting around here by Friday night & Saturday am if it tracks close enough to the coast.

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WE HAVE A SNOWFALL MAP!!!

Perhaps the reporting sites ahd us all pick up the first trace of the season tomorrow. With the weekend event looking like it's not going to happen, this might be it for January. Yikes.

image.png

It's great to see a snow map again that involves all of us outside of the lake effect snow areas.

I just want to get on the board tomorrow even if it is just .1 or .2 inches !

It's only January 11th...there will be plenty of chances for snow the rest of this month & it's a long way to go until March.

Remind the people in your office that last year about 30 out of our 39 inches that were recorded in Harrisburg came AFTER January 23rd.

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A steady light snow falling here right now. Looks like a region of pretty decent snow rates residing in a good portion of Clearfield County. Not too much getting past the I-99 corridor currently. 

 

CTP has added the Laurels counties into a WWA for the combo of a general 2-3" (up to 4 on ridges) of accumulations and blowing snow later today after the passage of the arctic front. 

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THROUGH THE MIDWEEK PERIOD. AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL PLOW EAST ACROSS

THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING...BRINGING SNOW

SHOWERS AND LOCALIZED BLINDING SNOW SQUALLS. PERSISTENT COLD AIR

FLOWING OVER THE RELATIVELY WARMER AND STILL

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

CLOUDS LOWERING AND THICKENING WITH LIGHT SNOW SPREADING RAPIDLY

EAST OVER THE ALLEGHENIES EARLY THIS MORNING. TEMPS WILL CONTINUE

TO SLOWLY RISE THROUGH THE PREDAWN HOURS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE

WESTERN HIGHLANDS AS A GUSTY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WIND DEVELOPS.

POSTED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY BEGINNING AT 6 AM /11Z/ TODAY

FOR THE LAUREL HIGHLANDS...NORTH TO THE NW MTNS...WHERE A GENERAL

2 TO 3 INCHES IS EXPECTED BY EARLY THIS EVENING...WITH LOCALLY

AROUND 4 INCHES IN FAVORED OROGRAPHIC LOCATIONS AND WHERE A FEW

HEAVIER SQUALLS OCCUR. THE ADVISORY CONTINUES THROUGH 12Z /EXCEPT

FOR WARREN AND MCKEAN COUNTIES...WHERE A TRANSITION TO A LES WATCH

AND THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES

OCCURS BETWEEN 7 PM AND 7 AM WED.

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=CTP&issuedby=CTP&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1

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congrats to all you western/northern folk.  

 

Hopin to see a squall/flurries this afternoon.  

 

Nut

it appears as if the start to the expected squall line of interest has developed just east of Canton, OH

 

edit: Akron-Canton airport didn't even get full brunt of the developing squall line and still reported visibility down to a half mile with a 41 mph wind gust with the arrival of the cold front!

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