Superstorm Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Thunder and lightning. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Someone here just needs to win the Powerball Wednesday, then we can buy a blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Someone here just needs to win the Powerball Wednesday, then we can buy a blizzard. I humbly volunteer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 What an awesome snowstorm to awake to. Moderate snow all night, got around 11"! Oh wait it instead rained about 1". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 What a waste of precipitation lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard92 Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Quite the soaking rain... family reporting 1.51" in Linglestown through this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Hello, wind. Hello, cold frontal boundary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Gust to 35mph with last line of showers. 2.17" event rain total here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 PPL outage map is getting buay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Power out here. Gusting into the 40's. Trees and wires down throughout Adams as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Light snow shower here with some wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 MDT set a record high of 58, breaking the 1950 record of 57. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Does anyone think some of us see our first inch on Tuesday with the potential squalls? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Probably not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 It is definitely wintry out tonight with a fresh covering of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Wednesday will be coooooooold throughout the entire Commnwealth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 pic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Awesome! How much snow have you had this year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Awesome! How much snow have you had this year? Havent really had time to keep track (not that we have had much anyway) but all together an inch or 2 at most counting whats out there now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Both a record high today (59) and rainfall total (1.25"). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 The storm next weekend looked very interesting on a couple of Euro products. The EPS ensemble mean at 12z takes the low from Tennessee up to the Kentucky/West VA border, but then shifts the low to secondary off the coast of VA, and then it takes the low northeast from there. There is is good cluster of low tracks that are in a great spot off the coast for our region for snow. The EPS ensemble mean produces about 3 inches of snow in the LSV, with closer to 6 inches further north in CTP by this time next weekend. The new Upgraded Euro or "Para" Euro operational 12z run today showed a similar track that I discussed above as the EPS ensemble mean. The snow amounts were much better however for those of us in the LSV. It produced about 9 inches of snow at MDT. So, we have the best model ensemble mean, & many of its individual members,that would work for decent snow for us. We also have the best operational model, with its Upgraded higher resolution model that is set to replace the existing Euro operational on March 8th, showing a good track & snow totals that would get the snow party started. Hopefully the Euro will lead the way, as it has repeatedly done over the years,towards resolving the final track over the next few days. P.S....The 12z Euro ensemble mean had the best run of the season as far as snow totals for us in Central PA for the upcoming 15 days. The snow total at the end of day 15 showed about 8 inches around MDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Euro OP continues to thumb its nose at any potential with the dual threats end of the this week and early next week. The one thing to really take away from that run was the down right cold outlook into January after the 17th. Pretty stout look at the current time. I'll be curious to see how the EPS looks once the data comes in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Euro OP continues to thumb its nose at any potential with the dual threats end of the this week and early next week. The one thing to really take away from that run was the down right cold outlook into January after the 17th. Pretty stout look at the current time. I'll be curious to see how the EPS looks once the data comes in. We have the shots of cold air and we have the active pattern that we need... just cant get them to arrive in the correct order yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 It has been rather interesting how much the Euro has been crushing the GFS with the MJO forecasting yet the GFS/GEFS continues to be used in CPC's MJO discussions... first image is GFS/GEFS forecast verification from Dec 26 forecast to Jan 9 and of course I lost the link for the Euro image... second is new forecast from Jan 10 for GFS/GEFS... third is new Euro forecast from Jan 10... Currently in Phase 8 and other than the late loop back GFS/GEFS continues to produce it appears as if the transition to Phase 1/2 is continuing and in pretty solid agreement across almost all models which from what I know (or think I know :-) ) in tracking the MJO is a good (cold) thing for us for at least the near term... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Was at the cabin for the weekend and was looking from afar. Sure looks like while we are transitioning...there is quite the normal chaos within the models and discussions thereof. Looking forward to seeing how all of this evolves, but whether or not it ends up in our favor or not, I sure look forward to it. Gut feeling is that the models are playing catchup, and will hopefully "find" the storm for the weekend. Hope ya'll get clipped tomorrow too. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Any chance anything interesting happens tomorrow? Or are we talking windy flurries? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 if that piece of energy entering ohio holds together.... windy flurries for many.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonesy56 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Any chance anything interesting happens tomorrow? Or are we talking windy flurries? From the CTP AFD: "THE BIGGER CONCERN WILL COME WITH PASSAGE OF SHARP COLD FRONT TUES PM. STEEP LOWER TROPOSPHERIC LAPSE RTS AND EVEN SOME MARGINAL MDL CAPES INDICATED WITH FROPA...INDICATING THE POTENTIAL OF BRIEF GROUND WHITENING SNOW SQUALLS. THE BRIEFLY LOWERED VSBYS...COMBINED WITH POTENTIAL FLASH FREEZE AS TEMPS FALL BLW 32F...COULD CREATE A TRAVEL HAZARD TUES AFTN/EVE. " A white ground? Sign me up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Squalls are good. I like squalls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 The environment looks good on the 18z NAM soundings for a few hours Tuesday afternoon to evening. Pretty unstable up to around 650 mb, though a bit dry below 850 mb. The GFS still has some pretty good lapse rates, but isn't as deep with the height of the moist unstable layer. The 4km NAM shows some scattered areas of snow showers in the early afternoon and then a significant but narrow band of snow around 21 UTC here. I think that depiction makes sense given the narrow forcing and instability ahead of the cold front. Given that narrow forcing, there might be only 20 minutes of moderate/heavy snow but this will likely still be the most exciting event of the winter thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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