smoof Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 The line in Central MI was / is pretty boring at my location anyways, my garden is loving it though. It was windier most of the day before the line of storms came through lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 The line in Central MI was / is pretty boring at my location anyways, my garden is loving it though. It was windier most of the day before the line of storms came through lol. I wouldn't be surprised if that's the case here also, especially with the onset of nocturnal cooling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI812 PM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015 MIZ053-060>063-068>070-076-030115-LIVINGSTON MI-GENESEE MI-MACOMB MI-SAGINAW MI-OAKLAND MI-WAYNE MI-SHIAWASSEE MI-LAPEER MI-ST. CLAIR MI-812 PM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL ST. CLAIR...SOUTHWESTERNSAGINAW...SHIAWASSEE...SOUTHERN LAPEER...SOUTHERN GENESEE...MACOMB...NORTHERN LIVINGSTON...NORTHEASTERN WAYNE AND OAKLAND COUNTIES UNTIL915 PM EDT...AT 810 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF STRONG WINDS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES WEST OF MARION SPRINGS TO NEAR ORTONVILLE TO NEAR MARYSVILLE...AND MOVING SOUTH AT 30 MPH. THERE ARE NO THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LINE OF STRONG WINDS.WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS GUST FRONT.STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... ST. CLAIR...MARYSVILLE...GOODRICH AND ORTONVILLE AROUND 815 PM EDT. OXFORD AROUND 820 PM EDT. CLARKSTON AROUND 835 PM EDT. PONTIAC AND ALGONAC AROUND 840 PM EDT. LAINGSBURG AND WEST BLOOMFIELD AROUND 855 PM EDT. NOVI AROUND 900 PM EDT. LIVONIA AROUND 915 PM EDT.OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS GUST FRONT INCLUDE CLINTON TOWNSHIP... DEERFIELD TOWNSHIP...HAZEL PARK...WATERFORD...RAY CENTER...WOLVERINE LAKE...PLEASANT RIDGE...RATTLE RUN...STONEY CREEK METRO PARK AND COMMERCE.A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM EDT FORSOUTHEASTERN MICHIGAN.LAT...LON 4261 8255 4261 8252 4253 8267 4260 8271 4267 8262 4269 8270 4265 8280 4257 8278 4252 8268 4257 8283 4242 8288 4243 8339 4265 8414 4278 8416 4278 8437 4322 8437 4292 8344 4292 8246TIME...MOT...LOC 0010Z 356DEG 26KT 4320 8447 4290 8343 4287 8240Well... That's interesting. There was a warning in this same scenario last summer in the Midwest. I had saved the warning image Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ClicheVortex2014 Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 There's more severe warnings in the marginal risk (Iowa) than there are in the enhanced risk (Michigan) .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted August 3, 2015 Author Share Posted August 3, 2015 Storm south of Big Rapids,MI need's a warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 Here's a pretty nice video of the shelf cloud that went through near Traverse City earlier today that I just saw on my FB. https://www.facebook.com/UpNorthLive/videos/992721894105840/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 0z DVN sounding showing why nothing is occurring in E. IA/N. IL/S. WI so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 0z DVN sounding showing why nothing is occurring in E. IA/N. IL/S. WI so far. Interesting. Cu field has exploded overhead in the last 15-20 mins, with some decent vertical development. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 Window only 1-2 hrs away from closing for NE IL On my phone but LOT put out a nice mesoscale update a little while ago...they sound uncertain but think areas closer to the lake have a better chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 Cool dude. How about you just keep these pointless posts to yourself in the future. I get tired of reading people making posts like that without at least giving a reason. How about you check out the maps before rolling your tongue? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 On my phone but LOT put out a nice mesoscale update a little while ago...they sound uncertain but think areas closer to the lake have a better chance. Yes, more storms forming ahead of main line/outflow in SE WI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted August 3, 2015 Author Share Posted August 3, 2015 Simulated Radar show's line EXPLODING near Lansing later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 Main line looks to be losing some of its punch as it slides this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 Well, maybe more like South Wisconsin, but you get the point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwburbschaser Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 How about you check out the maps before rolling your tongue? I'm just saying to explain why you think something instead of constantly calling for bust with no reasoning behind it. That stuff gets so old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ClicheVortex2014 Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 11828834_10153477604415406_6785984862922417113_n.jpg Well, maybe more like South Wisconsin, but you get the point The environment is so good for storms there... shame nothing's popping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
outflow Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 Roof off a school, semis flipped, and some buildings destroyed in owendale mi about 15 miles WSW of me. Trees down all along the Saginaw bay shoreline, a state park was hit really hard and had lots of campers at the time. Got to see what you would have to call gust-spouts as the second line of storms was coming on shore, a nice display of 3 swirling on the lake along the leading edge of the gustfront before 60mph blasted on shore. Thousands without power in my county, thankfully the worst weather at my house was some 40mph gusts and nickel hail, worse on all sides n, s, e, and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 Dewpoints have come up nicely around Chicagoland now that we're starting to lose the daytime mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 I'm just saying to explain why you think something instead of constantly calling for bust with no reasoning behind it. That stuff gets so old. Got it. Thanks bro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 The environment is so good for storms there... shame nothing's popping Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 That Creston, IA tornado was spectacular for those who haven't seen it yet. Reminds me of the Traer tornado from 7/6 last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted August 3, 2015 Author Share Posted August 3, 2015 Main line looks to be losing some of its punch as it slides this way. Latest MD from SPC say's that expect a little strengthening soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 Nice warning on the continued development along SW WI shore. I hope we get something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted August 3, 2015 Author Share Posted August 3, 2015 Hey, Chicago Friends, SPC 01Z Update says KEEP HOPE: ..ERN NEB EWD ACROSS SRN IA/NRN MO/NRN IL ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE INVOF THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD FRONT FROM ERN NEB EWD ACROSS THE SRN IA/NRN MO VICINITY...AND SHOULD DEVELOP/SPREAD EWD INTO PARTS OF NRN IL OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. EXTREME INSTABILITY IS INDICATED ACROSS THE AREA -- PER BOTH EVENING RAOBS AND OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS...WHICH WILL FUEL ONGOING STORM MAINTENANCE...AND POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THIS REGION OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. ALONG WITH THE HIGHLY FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT...MODERATE/WEAKLY VEERING FLOW WITH HEIGHT WILL SUSTAIN ORGANIZED/ROTATING UPDRAFTS -- AND ASSOCIATED RISK FOR LARGE HAIL...LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS...AND A TORNADO OR TWO AS THE OVERALL CONVECTIVE AREA SPREADS ESEWD/SEWD INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BEFORE GRADUALLY WEAKENING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ClicheVortex2014 Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 Maybe it's just me but I don't see storms popping in N IL... I mean, there are some popping in extreme N IL... but they're moving ESE with the squall. They're gonna have to rely on the front to pop some storms because the OFB isn't gonna do it. Pretty impressive day for hail for early August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geddyweather Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 That Creston, IA tornado was spectacular for those who haven't seen it yet. Reminds me of the Traer tornado from 7/6 last year. Nice, classic poster tornado. Impressive. Squall line in Srn MI looks great. Looks like it may maintain into IN & OH tonight with 1500-2000 CAPE, improving sheer, and lower amounts of CIN. Would like to set up for night photos this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 OFB CF intersection good to go for a nice little show down into N IL...at least through LOT imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 Watch issued for all of N IL 502 WWUS20 KWNS 030128 SEL5 SPC WW 030128 IAZ000-ILZ000-INZ000-MIZ000-OHZ000-LMZ000-030700- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 465 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 830 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN IOWA NORTHERN ILLINOIS NORTHERN INDIANA SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN NORTHWEST OHIO LAKE MICHIGAN * EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 830 PM UNTIL 200 AM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 175 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHWEST OF BENTON HARBOR MICHIGAN TO 25 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MARSEILLES ILLINOIS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 462...WW 463...WW 464... AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30025. ...CORFIDI -- NWS Watches Provided by AllisonHouse.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 The storms in SE WI moving ESE will continue their current position regarding how far east they are because there is continued development to the west of it and it is feeding back into it. Im not sure if it will stop any time soon but that seems to be the trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 Large hail reports rolling in with the storms in se WI (some golfball plus). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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