Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

June Obs and Daily Disco


H2O

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 859
  • Created
  • Last Reply

GEFS and the NAEFS have both caved to the EPS suite now on the WPAC tropical forcing next week. Niño analogs featuring medium-frequency WPAC forcing (seasonally filtered) almost unanimously agree with the idea of a +PNA/eastern trough response, lasting about two weeks. So, I think the idea of legitimate troughing/lower dewpoints from late next week into early July has merit.

The one wild card during the latter stages of this transition would be a retrogression of the ridge into the GOA, which is what occurs in the years where the MJO signal fades or degrades into more of a higher frequency CCKW signal. If that occurs, the trough probably backs west into the Plains, with a subsequent (mild) SE ridging response taking place sometime in early July.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Picked up a whopping .09" from a storm just after midnight.  Lightning to my south and north, which at closest was 1 mile away, indicates the bulk of it split around me.  .09".  smh.

 

After Saturday, there will be many parts of the area challenging all-time June rain totals.  My monthly total now up to a laughable 1.95"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...