ineedsnow Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 hoping 12z comes in good!! if everything works out we could have 2 advisory events this week and maybe a warning event pretty good for march if you ask me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 6Z GEFS were pretty robust anafrontal despite the paltry op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 6Z GEFS were pretty robust anafrontal despite the paltry op. Is there anything for GC on this thing? I'm ready to sign off until November 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Jeebus Gyx discussion is for a light mixed precip event tuesdy night but the zones are calling for mod or heavy accumulation, which is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Is there anything for GC on this thing? I'm ready to sign off until November 1. Aren't you in Florida? Not sure of mid level dynamics. Verbatim yes you get in on it but SE is better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 It's kind of early to get too specific, but the best looks across NW MA down through C MA and perhaps E MA...I think it will be snow in BOS pretty much as long the mid-levels support it, but it could get pretty pasty for a time, so if it is too light, then it might not produce that well. But right now, it does look like there should be sufficient lift for moderate precip for several hours on the front. The lift does weaken as it heads NE...the whole system is getting deamplified as it moves east.Man, since mid Feb there has been a trend for events fizzle as they head east. Same thing. Thst will likely cost me my record, but the bar is lower for Boston, thankfully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Man, since mid Feb there has been a trend for events fizzle as they head east. Same thing. Thst will likely cost me my record, but the bar is lower for Boston, thankfully. I actually saw some models like RGEM etc really do well in ern areas for tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Is there anything for GC on this thing? I'm ready to sign off until November 1. For Debbie (This is for the Tues night thing - PRECIP TYPE/TOTALS... THE INITIAL SNOWFALL IS LIKELY TO BE MAINLY MODERATE...WITH PERIODS APPROACHING AN INCH/HOUR AND WELL END FIRST ALONG THE S COAST AND LAST AT THE MA/NH BORDER IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS WED. SUSPECT THAT HIGHEST TOTALS WILL BE IN NW MA WHERE OROGRAPHIC LIFT ENHANCES SNOWFALL RATES. ACCUMS OF ADVISORY LVL LOOK LIKELY AS 0.25-0.5 INCHES OF QPF ARE LIKELY BEFORE THE CHANGE. INITIALLY A CHANGE TO SLEET IS EXPECTED IN HIGHER RETURNS...WITH A GRADUAL SHIFT TO FREEZING RAIN. ICE AMOUNTS ARE TRICKY...AS 2M TEMPS ARE LIKELY TO SKEW DATA. WITH DEEP SNOWPACK IN PLACE...WILL LIKELY SEE SOME ICE ACCRETION APPROACHING T-0.1 INCHES IN SPOTS...ESPECIALLY ON TOP OF THE AREA SNOWS. GRADUALLY...THE WARMING WILL LIKELY SHIFT INTO THE 40S /ESPECIALLY AFTER DAYLIGHT WED/ AND FURTHER ACCRETION WILL BECOME LIMITED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 And further for Eeyore WED NIGHT INTO THU...ANOTHER PERIOD TO WATCH. THE LEFTOVER COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARYSHIFTS OFFSHORE LEADING TO A LULL WED AFTERNOON INTO WED EVENING.HOWEVER...MODELS CONTINUE TO HINT AT REASONABLY ROBUST ANAFRONTALLOW PRES WAVE TRAVERSING THE FRONT LATE WED NIGHT INTO THU. THISIS SOMEWHAT ATYPICAL TO SEE ONE OF THIS STRENGTH...BUT GIVEN THEUPPER LVL SHORTWAVE WILL BE ROTATING OVER FROM THE W ANDDEEPENING SOME...IT CAN/T BE RULED OUT. THE BIG QUESTION HERE ISWHAT THE TEMPS WILL BE BY THIS TIME. WED COULD BE VERY WARMESPECIALLY IF ANY SUNNY BREAKS ARE OBSERVED AND W WINDS AREEXPECTED BY THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...BY THE OVERNIGHTPERIOD...COLD ADVECTION WILL HAVE BEGUN ALOFT...LOWERING THEDENDRITE ZONE. THEREFORE...YET ANOTHER ROUND OF LIGHT TO MODERATESNOW IS POSSIBLE...WITH ACCUMS POSSIBLY REACHING ADVISORY LVL ONTOP OF THE SNOW AND ICE FROM THE PREVIOUS 24 HOURS. QPF VALUES OF0.3-0.5 ARE PROGGED...WHICH WOULD SUGGEST EASY ACCUMS TO ADVISORYLVL. IT APPEARS THE PEAK WOULD BE MAINLY ALONG THE S COAST...ATLEAST THAT/S WHERE F-GEN AND MOISTURE SEEM TO BE MOST COINCIDENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I actually saw some models like RGEM etc really do well in ern areas for tomorrow night. Oh, I thought he was talking about the ana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Oh, I thought he was talking about the ana. I think he meant the front end part. We'll see what today brings, but I think it could be a good thump relatively speaking. I don't expect 12/16/07 though...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winging_it Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I thought in a setup like Tuesday night's, latitude would help those of us in the Nashoba Valley to greater Nashua area compared to areas south of the Pike and we'd share in some of the snowfall wealth, but BOX's snow map indicates otherwise. Just 1.5" here in Townsend last night and just 6" in the last 2 weeks. Episcosity continues for SNE. Then there's Wed night to follow. Enjoy it while you can - it'll eventually be CNE's turn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I thought in a setup like Tuesday night's, latitude would help those of us in the Nashoba Valley to greater Nashua area compared to areas south of the Pike and we'd share in some of the snowfall wealth, but BOX's snow map indicates otherwise. Just 1.5" here in Townsend last night and just 6" in the last 2 weeks. Episcosity continues for SNE. Then there's Wed night to follow. Enjoy it while you can - it'll eventually be CNE's turn. You aren't SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 HM laughs Anthony Masiello @antmasiello 3m 3 minutes ago loling at the warm Wednesday forecasts getting colder... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I don't know who had warm forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winging_it Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 You aren't SNE? I live a few miles from the NH border. I associate myself as part of CNE both in climatology and in spirit. Our climate is more similar to southern NH than the BOS/Pike area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I don't know who had warm forecasts. There were a lot of 40's and rain forecasts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I live a few miles from the NH border. I associate myself as part of CNE both in climatology and in spirit. Our climate is more similar to southern NH than the BOS/Pike area. MA/CT/RI are all SNE. This weenie debate is silly. You can be in the interior of SNE and have a similar climate to CNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 There were a lot of 40's and rain forecasts Well there will be 40s and some rain..lol. But, that isn't warm IMO. That's climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Well there will be 40s and some rain..lol. But, that isn't warm IMO. That's climo. Still debatable IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Still debatable IMO Well obviously not everywhere, but I think many areas still kiss 40 or so. With west winds and warm temps aloft..I think you at least got to respect that. Not sure how wedged in we will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I think he meant the front end part. We'll see what today brings, but I think it could be a good thump relatively speaking. I don't expect 12/16/07 though...lol. 2-5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Well obviously not everywhere, but I think many areas still kiss 40 or so. With west winds and warm temps aloft..I think you at least got to respect that. Not sure how wedged in we will be. Hopefully all our undies are in full wedgie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Aren't you in Florida? Not sure of mid level dynamics. Verbatim yes you get in on it but SE is better. Aren't you in Florida? Not sure of mid level dynamics. Verbatim yes you get in on it but SE is better. Thx. Jerry. Flung home today....already at mco. I assume you're talking about anafrint piece. Dave, I know we'll do okay in the first mixed bag. Thx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 2-5". I'd be surprised if you only got 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I'd be surprised if you only got 2. Starting point. Reaccess later. That is what we do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Starting point. Reaccess later. That is what we do. I know..just saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Hopefully all our undies are in full wedgie Perhaps some of us a lumpy wedgie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 BOX initial thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Interesting map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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