Jebman Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 We need more, but we're racing against time now. Hopefully March is a winter month again. It is this year. It's high time you guys FINALLY started a new thread! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 euro is worse and not even close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 60 -- http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=ukmet&stn=PNMPR&comp=1&run2=-99&mod2=cmc_anal&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=072&fixhh=1&stn2_type=anal&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=060 Apparently, I have run out of attachment space 29.45 low right at coast is going to kick back more nw and big high out west not pushing in yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 euro has a bad track for early next week but with CAD, we get some front end snow. Let south trend begin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 29.45 low right at coast is going to kick back more nw and big high out west not pushing in yet That's a fairly vigorous system...50-100 mile tick NW we get into the good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Euro says congrats Loudoun County 5-8 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Euro says congrats Loudoun County 5-8 inches Next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Next week? according to weatherbell maps but i think weatherbell is overdoing. At any rate...the track sucks too north but we get some frozen. This is for next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 i think the euro is overdoing the western trough like usual....it will get flatter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 03z SREFs now get the 0.25" line just NW of DCA... plumes should be interesting to look at http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fsref%2F03%2Fsref_namer_060_precip_p12.gif&model=sref&area=namer&storm=&cycle=03¶m=precip_p12&fhr=060&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150224+03+UTC&ps=area&use_mins=no&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Euro also has a bizarre 15C 850mb layer pocket just south of DC next Wednesday. Kind of inclined to call BS on that. March does look different than last year tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 03z SREFs now get the 0.25" line just NW of DCA... plumes should be interesting to look at http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fsref%2F03%2Fsref_namer_060_precip_p12.gif&model=sref&area=namer&storm=&cycle=03¶m=precip_p12&fhr=060&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150224+03+UTC&ps=area&use_mins=no&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 MAJOR movement in the 03z SREF plumes at DCA... mean is 4.79... 11 members are now above the mean... all but 5 of the members suggest total snow of 2"+ Link: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index2.php?YMD=20150224&RT=03&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=DCA&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=7&mLAT=37.606711416872095&mLON=-78.59679154381752&mTYP=roadmap Breakdown All of the members in the ARW family are over the 6" mark... all of the NMM family is below 1" besides one member (NMP1 ~4")... all of the NMB family are above 5" besides two members (MBN1 and MBN2 ~2 to 3") 06z NAM/HI-RES NAM should be very interesting... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 By this time tomorrow, this thread will be crowded as we will ALL be tracking this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 06z NAM came north a lil bit more... snow reaches Mason-Dixon line...EZF to Wes look good right now for possibly a few inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 MAJOR movement in the 03z SREF plumes at DCA... mean is 4.79... 11 members are now above the mean... all but 5 of the members suggest total snow of 2"+ Link: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index2.php?YMD=20150224&RT=03&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=DCA&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=7&mLAT=37.606711416872095&mLON=-78.59679154381752&mTYP=roadmap Breakdown All of the members in the ARW family are over the 6" mark... all of the NMM family is below 1" besides one member (NMP1 ~4")... all of the NMB family are above 5" besides two members (MBN1 and MBN2 ~2 to 3") 06z NAM/HI-RES NAM should be very interesting... Throws it all the way back here (5-6 at HSP, ROA, LWB) big change. 7-9 in RIC down to ORF. Just one run, but could get interesting again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 06z 4km NAM also made some large moves... total QPF at DCA is 0.25 to 0.30... EZF to S MD (Calvert/St. Mary's) are near/on the 0.5" QPF line... For fun only: 4km NAM shows 3" at DCA, around 5 to 6 inches for EZF and S MD ETA: 06z RGEM at 54 hrs -- http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=06&mod=gemreg&stn=PNMPR&comp=1&run2=-99&mod2=cmc_anal&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=048&fixhh=1&stn2_type=anal&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=054 Looks like 3 to 5mm or so (~0.1 to 0.2" QPF) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 What annoys me with this storm is that if it slowed down just a bit there would have been potential for it to phase with the trailing short wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Lol at the clinging to the SREFS(typically too wet) and the NAM(its the NAM). Enjoy your snowstorm SE VA and NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 6z GFS OP brings back a PNA ridge long term, but for March idk if that would be enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 This is hard to believe when most globals showing nothing close to this, but we've seen trends like this before. Here's 6z NAM 4k: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 6z GFS OP brings back a PNA ridge long term, but for March idk if that would be enough There should be chances after the early next week warmup/rain. Looks pretty brief. Shame to "waste" the arctic air this week... we wont likely see this kind of cold again this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 6z GFS OP brings back a PNA ridge long term, but for March idk if that would be enough HM on his twitter acct stays -nao by march hmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 24, 2015 Author Share Posted February 24, 2015 even the 6z gfs now gives a little qpf 6z rgem at 48 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Mitch do you have RGEM @ 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 6z gfs and nam kind of match total qpf at jyo...I'm calling for a sneaky inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 All my snow chances have disappeared on the Bug. I'll be happy with a little miracle something Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 I'm done with coastal fringe jobs. From now on I'm rooting for a GL cutter every storm and hoping for HP over NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 24, 2015 Author Share Posted February 24, 2015 Mitch do you have RGEM @ 54 no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Mitch do you have RGEM @ 54 no Just scroll up. It was posted earlier by Yoda. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Excellent! I still think it's coming further north today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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