pawatch Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 With a robust +AO/NAO and a southeast ridge, I think I'd rather be in central PA than DC or even northern MD. I know many of you think I-95 is always the sweet spot, but we've got all kinds of issues with timing of the front, temps above the 850 level, and possible prolonged sleet. If I had to put my money on any of the recent runs, I'd go with the UKMET (though its QPF may be overdone). This has time to nudge north. Thanks for your thoughts Fozz! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I choose you.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 S&S on board I am 120% in LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 SREF with a nice bump NW. Courtesy MA forum. 15z 21z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Thanks for your thoughts Fozz! Sure thing! I wouldn't be surprised if even the LSV has a period of sleet, with heavier totals north of the turnpike. Just a hunch though, but it's a highly volatile setup and I don't think it's done shifting. S&S on board I am 120% in LOL smh @ those hacks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scummyratguy Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 SREF with a nice bump NW. Courtesy MA forum. 15z 21z Fringed, I'm out. J/k all in baby!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scummyratguy Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 S&S on board I am 120% in LOL At least these guys are very consistent. Always sticking with their mantra of "as long as York is in the bullseye, its a good forecast". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 At least these guys are very consistent. Always sticking with their mantra of "as long as York is in the bullseye, its a good forecast".LOL they crack me up DT has most of LSV and north 8" line.I am off to Kansas City in business until Saturday will likely miss the best snow of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 LOL they crack me up DT has most of LSV and north 8" line. I am off to Kansas City in business until Saturday will likely miss the best snow of the season. Im out of town for business march 11 to 13. Lock that in for something big Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 S&S on board I am 120% in LOL They actually may get this one right. Then again every squirrel eventually plays with there nuts, or is it find their nuts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 They actually may get this one right. Then again every squirrel eventually plays with there nuts, or is it find their nuts? They are playing bingo snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 They are playing bingo snow Lol +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 0z NAM is interesting for tomorrow...would be interesting to see how fast that 850 progresses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Wow, sure dumps the precip. tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 The NAM is currently NAM'ing UNV-IPT-AVP so hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Save this true central gang...it's the dream image. You can hug it in bed when this storm inevitably falls south and puts us back on the fringe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scummyratguy Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I want the NAM evolution to happen just to crush the S&S hopes and dreams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Lol, I refuse to acknowledge it until this first storm is over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 The NAM is currently NAM'ing UNV-IPT-AVP so hard. NAM's gonna NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 If only. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 If only. No central Pennsylvania snow-hole in that map! I wonder how much snow it shows for tomorrow since it's the snowfall over the entire run. I don't understand how this hi-res nam can show such a drastic difference in accumulations vs. the instant wxmap that was just posted giving southern counties almost nothing. Is the hi-res NAM a totally different model independent of the regular NAM, or is it using the same data but just with a tighter grid? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 SREFs go NW, NAM stays NW...and the GFS shifts SE. These models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 SREFs go NW, NAM stays NW...and the GFS shifts SE. These models ? GFS is NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 SREFs go NW, NAM stays NW...and the GFS shifts SE. These models 0z GFS is a hair north of 18z with precip coverage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 ? GFS is NW Meh if anything it's pretty much the same as 18z (as MAG indicates, a tiny difference). Not enough to really rustle feathers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Meh if anything it's pretty much the same as 18z (as MAG indicates, a tiny difference). Not enough to really rustle feathers. I disagree, its clearly still nudging north. Give it time. Also RGEM is NAM camp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 0z GFS is a hair north of 18z with precip coverage. You are correct. Also, thank you for the info on my trip to Johnstown yesterday. I lucked out and had more wet snow and some changeover rain so the roads never were worse than slushy during my trip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 GGEM sounds meh...we're going to need the UK to hold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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