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snowfan

Feb 21-22 Storm Obs Thread

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The orientation of the shield should shift a bit and push more and more southeast....I don't think the DC's southern burbs will have to put up with being fringed for too long...this has all been modeled

painful radar right now

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Just started to get into the heavier stuff now, better flake size. Heaviest stuff to my south, Clarksburg seems to be the new Westminster.

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Egg sized flakes right now. We've passed three inches and four ain't far behind

This, and counting the old snowpack we have 6 or 7!

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WRC TV4 crawl just claimed 3-5 inches to fall for the DC area.

 

Fairfax and PW now in the warning area.

 

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1212 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2015

VAZ036>039-050>053-502-220115-
/O.UPG.KLWX.WW.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-150222T1100Z/
/O.EXA.KLWX.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150222T1100Z/
NELSON-ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON-ORANGE-CULPEPER-
PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLOTTESVILLE...CULPEPER...MANASSAS...
MANASSAS PARK...FAIRFAX
1212 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS
ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL
6 AM EST SUNDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT.

* PRECIPITATION TYPE...A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN
  TODAY THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A
  TRACE TO A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL
  CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
  EVENING. PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO RAIN WITH AREAS OF
  FREEZING RAIN LATE TONIGHT.
 

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Latest RAP suggests we're above 0 at 850 - 925 by 6pm.  

That's about 5 hours from now and over last 5 hours the 0 line at 850 has remained  south of our latitude in central Kentucky.

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Under the 32dBZ returns in Clarksburg. 16.9F / 17F.

attachicon.gif trim.44E6A9B7-B930-437C-A8A6-5F0388AF907D

Das do you have your  latest measurement..  Over here is closing on 4" I just can't believe it how fast it is piling up over here!  The rates are keep getting higher out here!

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I took this video of the Potomac at Algonkian park this morning.  Going to make another pass after the snow slows down.... which looks like could be tomorrow now.  :-p

 

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Latest RAP suggests we're above 0 at 850 - 925 by 6pm.  

It tends to run a tad warm but I think a changeover around 530 or 6 is reasonable.  That's why I'm antsy having not yet cashed in.   I need that yellow band to get here before the changeover to get a few inches. 

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Yup.

1.25" in nearly three hours.

I'll/we'll do 'fine' in the end but I want deathband.

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