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Feb 21-22 Storm Obs Thread


snowfan

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I didn't forecast, but the snow algorithms I casually looked had from GFS and RGEM were all pretty bullish for DC and esp NW.  Were there models that sucked or a sneaky warm layer on any of the soundings? Seems like some are surprised...just curious.

 

We just had a storm with arctic air and the ratios sucked. Sand and flour. Nobody was going to stick their neck our and go 12+:1. Great ratios and snow growth with this one. I'm surprised after what happened earlier this week when everyone (myself) was thinking 15:1 

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I didn't forecast, but the snow algorithms I casually looked had from GFS and RGEM were all pretty bullish for DC and esp NW. Were there models that sucked or a sneaky warm layer on any of the soundings? Seems like some are surprised...just curious.

It's an unusual setup for us to get this kind of snowfall and the NAM was not on board to the last.

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