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Sunday SNE Temperature Contest


Quincy

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Will we torch or get socked into more of an icy/snowy scenario for Sunday?

 

Here's how the contest will run...

 

Predict the high temperature for the following stations on Sunday, February 22nd:

  • BDR Stratford/Bridgeport, Sikorsky Airport
  • BDL Windsor Locks, Bradley Int'l Airport
  • PVD Providence, TF Green Airport
  • ORH Worcester, Regional Airport
  • BOS Boston, Logan Airport
Tie-breaker prediction:

Highest maximum temperature at any official southern New England ASOS site on Sunday. Please include station name.

 

Scoring is simple. Each degree error results in one error point. In the case of a tie, the user who is closest to the highest maximum temperature in southern New England is the winner. If there is a second tie, the user who has the closest to zero overall bias score (will factor positive and negative error points for an overall "contest bias" score) will win. If there's a third tie, then there can be multiple winners.

 

The deadline for submitting a forecast is 12:00 p.m. (noon) on Thursday, February 19th. This will give the board time to consider the contest, forecast models and to assess some of the Thursday 12z data. You can edit a post at any point up until that time, as forecasts will not be tallied until the deadline.

 

Good luck!

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I like it, I like it a lot.

 

Some very preliminary numbers(Will go back in and edit these prior to the deadline, but just so I don't forget to do something).

 

  • BDR Stratford/Bridgeport, Sikorsky Airport 42
  • BDL Windsor Locks, Bradley Int'l Airport 37
  • PVD Providence, TF Green Airport 38
  • ORH Worcester, Regional Airport 33
  • BOS Boston, Logan Airport 42

Max: Nantucket, MA ACK 47

 

Edited 819 AM 2/19

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BDR _ 37

BDL _ 31

PVD _ 36

ORH _ 29

BOS _ 33

 

ACK _ 51

 

This warming will slowly disappear from future model runs and the system will have considerable snow potential (5-8") away from Long Island Sound. It's going to take a stronger vortmax than this one to conquer the extreme cold air mass, although it will briefly catch ACK.

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Will we torch or get socked into more of an icy/snowy scenario for Sunday?
 
Here's how the contest will run...
 
Predict the high temperature for the following stations on Sunday, February 22nd:
  • BDR Stratford/Bridgeport, Sikorsky Airport 35
  • BDL Windsor Locks, Bradley Int'l Airport 32
  • PVD Providence, TF Green Airport33
  • ORH Worcester, Regional Airport29
  • BOS Boston, Logan Airport 34
Tie-breaker prediction:
Highest maximum temperature at any official southern New England ASOS site on Sunday. Please include station name. ACK 48
 
Scoring is simple. Each degree error results in one error point. In the case of a tie, the user who is closest to the highest maximum temperature in southern New England is the winner. If there is a second tie, the user who has the closest to zero overall bias score (will factor positive and negative error points for an overall "contest bias" score) will win. If there's a third tie, then there can be multiple winners.
 
The deadline for submitting a forecast is 12:00 p.m. (noon) on Thursday, February 19th. This will give the board time to consider the contest, forecast models and to assess some of the Thursday 12z data. You can edit a post at any point up until that time, as forecasts will not be tallied until the deadline.
 
Good luck!

 

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Just wondering, did you notice that Brian5671 had entered by editing your entry sheet (post 14)? You said there was one entry missing from the s/s but I see his and also the very warm one from "weenie radar" in post 12.

Thanks for picking up on that, it slipped through. Will add after work!
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