Damage In Tolland Posted February 19, 2015 Author Share Posted February 19, 2015 Careful I mention that earlier and the Rev jumped right on it.He also thought rain and torch yesterday. I just don't see us clearing out. Lots of low level moisture so it's Prob foggy with zrdz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 He also thought rain and torch yesterday. I just don't see us clearing out. Lots of low level moisture so it's Prob foggy with zrdz Possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 18z NAM looked a bit warmer with more qpf, a couple of inches of snow at best for SNE north of south coast. Still significant rain. Has Boston @ 40F at 12z Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Not too worried about the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Not too worried about the NAM. I cannot understand why you wouldn't be; it has been the most reliable model outside of 36 hours of all the ones in its column on the NCEP model page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 18z NAM looked a bit warmer with more qpf, a couple of inches of snow at best for SNE north of south coast. Still significant rain. Has Boston @ 40F at 12z Sunday. all the precip is long gone by then, sunny breaks , meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Not too worried about the NAM. If I were you I wouldn't be worried about literally anything at this point, lol. Just sit back, put your legs up and hands behind your head, and look out at the snowpack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 If I had to guess, mix line New London-PVD-Around BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DFRI Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 BOX snow map on twitter (thru Sat. night) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 my call is exactly what box seems to be thinking really wish we could just get a good ice storm but right now i would say 3 to 4 inches of snow half inch of sleet then less then a quarter inch of zr going over to drizzle before we flash freeze thats my call for here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Took the day off from looking at anything to catch up on school stuff. Come back here and see many more pages... anybody mind tl;dring me the last 12 hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 my call is exactly what box seems to be thinking Reasonable map. Kind of a no brainer too because if it ends up 2-4" or 4-6" for the outlined areas the general public won't notice or care at this point in the season. I could see the hill towns around here (MPM included) maybe getting 4-6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Took the day off from looking at anything to catch up on school stuff. Come back here and see many more pages... anybody mind tl;dring me the last 12 hours? Still a relatively weak system but has trended colder and snowier for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrewrckt Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Seems like we have some wish-casting in here... Thinking warm air will prevail and we will be seeing a snow to mix to rain event for much of southeastern New England. Very interested in the next model run, as it will allow me to hone in on my predictions for this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 If I had to guess, mix line New London-PVD-Around BOS.SOMEone's Confident!! I'll pay for that verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 "for the queens" here's the current QPF to fall this weekend and increase the "load" for buildings ,etc http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/fill_99qwbg.gif?1424390807799 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Any rain is going to freeze on surface contact,the cold is too deep,zero recovery time and zero sun Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2015 Author Share Posted February 20, 2015 Any rain is going to freeze on surface contact,the cold is too deep,zero recovery time and zero sun Saturday. Rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 First look at 18z RGEM at 48 hr shows low much further NE than GFS, and also much stronger. Implication could be a bigger front end thump perhaps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 RGEM at hr 48 is sort of meaningless since it can be really amped up at that time. It's not until tomorrow where it becomes more meaningful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 "for the queens" here's the current QPF to fall this weekend and increase the "load" for buildings ,etc http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/fill_99qwbg.gif?1424390807799 WPC....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 SOMEone's Confident!! I'll pay for that verifying. running with the second half of this winter's trend until something changes. Seems like everything modeled anywhere close to rain gets squashed south and east since 1/24. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 My main focus for this storm is no pack loss. Doesn't seem like the net gain will be major, so primary objective not to lose pack. Qpf on cold side of things isn't blowing me away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I dunno....the pack size matters little to me as big as it is. The pattern argues for big snow otg for another month or more. I want to shatter the records with at least 120. Oh don't get me wrong... I am 100% in the shoot-for-the-moon camp. History is in the making and I'm relishing every moment of it. But it would be even more extraordinary to maintain and continue to build this historic pack in the process. 98.7" is amazing, but it becomes sacred / surreal / already singular by virtue of it mostly happening over the past month, and the pack is like a monument to that. Let's annihilate the record. Methinks this deep arctic status quo pushing against springtime will produce some fireworks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 NAM looks to be coming in warmer again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 0z NAM really speeding this storm up a lot tonight. I guess since it came ashore, the better data is fine tuning the spread in the models now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 NAM has a nice front ender. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 NAM has a nice front ender. I actually think the faster this comes in, the more snow we get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Nam is a good front end thump. Stronger than gfs for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 NAM isn't warmer, as much as it is faster..but who cares right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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