Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

February 17-18 Event


moneypitmike

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 811
  • Created
  • Last Reply

The evolution is different from about 24-36 hours ago...the storm is now being focused on the leading vort energy rather than the stuff that digs deeper behind it...so there isn't as much room for this to come north....when the deeper amplifying energy comes behind it, it could cause an inverted trough light snows behind the front running system

 

That said, the front runner can still hit us, but there's little to no chance of mixing.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Scooter had been up until yesterday..but he hasn't posted about it since

 

To be clear, I said at the time, I would worry more about mixing then a whiff. That was when the models had a big vortmax moving north with a parent low in the Great Lakes. Now, a weak s/w moves out ahead of the main trough and causes a low to move SE of ACK.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The evolution is different from about 24-36 hours ago...the storm is now being focused on the leading vort energy rather than the stuff that digs deeper behind it...so there isn't as much room for this to come north....when the deeper amplifying energy comes behind it, it could cause an inverted trough light snows behind the front running system

 

That said, the front runner can still hit us, but there's little to no chance of mixing.

is this thread for both systems?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It doesn't seem like we'd have 2 events. This would appear to be one of those where models sort of morph it into one storm

 

 

The models don't have two events anyway...there's no baroclinic zone to work with for the 2nd shortwave...it may blossom an area of light snow or snow showers on the heals of the first one...but it's not like it's a whole seperate significant system.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

RGEM still looks like a scraper at the end of it's range...probably like a 1-3 type deal, though perhaps more in far SE zones like Cape and SE RI. We'll know more though once the rest of the 12z suite comes out and the RGEM will become more useful tonight.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

GFS still a scrapper 1-3" more SE areas

 

Yeah, but there's a tiny bit more proximity compared with the prior run.

 

I'm not expecting huge leaps this close in, but hey, whatever. My opinion is that the GFS can do whatever it wants right now, kind of like how David Ortiz could've stabbed his own mother in November of 2004 and we would've been like "That is a good man."

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...