dryslot Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Its a little east of 18z at the surface, ,It also closes off further NE @H5 then 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 H5 does not look terribly different to me. It doesn't dig southwest as much as 18z, but it swings negative sooner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 ...lesson in not judging after 36 hours when the storm is 78 away. MAYBE slightly less amped, but looks fine for all but W regions, which didn't look great before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Yes, I was thinking the same thing! Nothing wrong with a BM track for SNE! maybe a bit east of bm graphics not great, but mostly a EMA/SEMA hit from what I can tell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 We sold raysTo be fair though, he wasn't using it much. J/K Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 It's east of the 18z run by 75-100 miles or so but still a very solid hit. 75-100? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 maybe a bit east of bm graphics not great, but mostly a EMA/SEMA hit from what I can tell More then that, looks like 0.5"+ makes it to around Mt. Tolland through hour 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 72h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 75-100? At hour 81 yeah, I'll throw up maps if you like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 On the 18z run 0.5"+ QPF made it to NYC, on the 0z run it's to about Old Saybrook, CT. Right in line with the 75-100 mile shift of the surface low that I pointed out. Verbatim, still a nice run for many, but a fairly large jump east leaves me concerned that perhaps the Euro has the right idea here. We'll see if it comes west towards the GFS or if it holds, if it does hold, I expect the GFS to continue east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 At hour 81 yeah, I'll throw up maps if you like. I don't need maps, if you say so, just did not seem like such a large move east but still early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 33? oes also on GFS hours,..could see it was coming in faster. Nice hit for the coast and that's it.....in and out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 To be fair though, he wasn't using it much. J/K? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 It's east of the 18z run by 75-100 miles or so but still a very solid hit.I don't think it's quite that much but it's now come in faster than 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Qpf slashed in half here on that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 On the 18z run 0.5"+ QPF made it to NYC, on the 0z run it's to about Old Saybrook, CT. Right in line with the 75-100 mile shift of the surface low that I pointed out. Verbatim, still a nice run for many, but a fairly large jump east leaves me concerned that perhaps the Euro has the right idea here. We'll see if it comes west towards the GFS or if it holds, if it does hold, I expect the GFS to continue east. My sentiments as well. Looks more progressive and am afraid the more eastward trend might continue. Eagerly anticipating the ECMWF run in a couple of hours. Hope I'm wrong, and the Euro moves more NW with its next run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Yea, not good. No two ways about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 I don't think it's quite that much but it's now come in faster than 18z. Yeah it still has precip here, If it was that far east it would be a whiff up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 For the qpf crew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 ?Someone asked who sold their soul for this stretch in SNE and Cweat said they sold yours. My comment was just a joke playing on your not caring about snow on the picnic tables up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 A glancing blow except on the Cape with a full bore blow Monday seems likely.Monday's are our big storm days after all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 GFS is warning snows in Plymouth County and maybe Bristol, Barnstable etc. 5-10", in and out. Not bad, let's see if the Euro feathers west tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Still a pretty dynamic solution. Should throw precip back regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 This will bury most of us. Take that to the bank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 GFS is still a solid 6-12 for much of the area, nothing to sneeze at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 This will bury most of us. Take that to the bank. Agree. The energy Clinch pointed out east of Alaska is poorly sampled. Would not be surprised to watch it dig and capture earlier in the next 24 hours. We've been here before this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 11pm Harv not showing his cards yet... just saying eastern MA should expect plowable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 A glancing blow except on the Cape with a full bore blow Monday seems likely.Monday's are our big storm days after all I certainly don't like the way our Western ridge starts flattening out post hr 96 .....by 114 it's flat as a Tim Wakefield Fastball Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 11pm Harv not showing his cards yet... just saying eastern MA should expect plowable. Best way to go right now...there is a lot of uncertainty right now. I'm uncomfortable going gangbusters on this one with the small window this storm has to work with...it has to amplify very quickly before it runs out of room...the ridge out west is quite amped, so it has a chance, but the clock is ticking the minute this shortwave gets into the CONUS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 I certainly don't like the way our Western ridge starts flattening out post hr 96 .....by 114 it's flat as a Tim Wakefield Fastballsay wut? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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