miller.b.time Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I'm so glad that I moved away from CHO over the summer. I hope that my relocation means y'all get completely destroyed this weekend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralVaGirl Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I'm just a learning lurker, but will appreciate any insight from more experienced folks. It is hard to extrapolate from the main forum discussions what might happen down here, and why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pedlar mills Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Yeah was hoping some more of the knowledgeable people on here would shed more light for central va. I'm thinking that the gfs is further north with the large snow amounts and the euro is further south with the really crazy snow amounts? If so I'm glad the euro is on our side at the moment! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Yeah we are ALWAYS the dividing line in these storms. For metro Richmond 20 miles can be difference between a legit snowstorm, and a slop fest. Makes these things, well let's say interesting. But also means most of the threads on here just don't really speak directly to our area. Tough times right now for the Hoos. I mean it doesn't make sense really, 3 Top 10 wins, and now can't get a road W in ACC to save their lives. I think its a matter of missing Anderson/Atkins way more than anyone anticipated. Been kind of spoiled by their dominance past few years! I trust Bennett will figure this out, at least somewhat Was telling someone the same thing today. We have no goalie, nobody to stop the drives to the bucket. That and the fact that Brogdan acts like he's playing in a pick up game. Way too many silly turnovers from him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rmcwahoo Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 was just in a long conversation about this. Agreed, Brogdon has disappeared. And he's taking really bad shots now. But I think the biggest problem is like you said: no Atkins or Mitchell to protect the rim. So there's a huge weakness in the pack line. And then no Harris or Anderson to bomb from deep and keep defenses honest. So there's a huge weakness in the offense. Is what it is, but it's adding up to not the same UVa team from past years. (Sorry this went off topic folks) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feb11th1983 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Another Hoos fan here and season ticket holder. I agree fully about Brogdon. He's taken more bad shots in the last few games than he took in the previous 2 seasons combined. So about this storm... I'm in Powhatan county now, my first winter here. I'm hoping to avoid mixing issues that usually happen just 15-20 miles east of here. I heard the euro showed 18 inches here. RIC hasn't seen a foot plus since '83.... we'd need a bump south for that happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Thanks for posting RIC Airport. Does the Hanover Airport make official observations? No, OFP does not have an observer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Another Hoos fan here and season ticket holder. I agree fully about Brogdon. He's taken more bad shots in the last few games than he took in the previous 2 seasons combined. So about this storm... I'm in Powhatan county now, my first winter here. I'm hoping to avoid mixing issues that usually happen just 15-20 miles east of here. I heard the euro showed 18 inches here. RIC hasn't seen a foot plus since '83.... we'd need a bump south for that happen. As much as I like to see a foot or more in RIC we all know we pretty much need everything to be perfect for that to happen...Even when things look good for the area mixing or dry air always seem to find it's way in.. I would have to say 4 to 8 inches will be the expected call for most of the RIC... Anything more is gravy IMO... A good snowy start will definitely be key... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rmcwahoo Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I find it pretty damn amazing that RIC has not recorded a snowfall of 12+ since 1983. 33 years. That is just remarkable given that most areas in the region have probably had multiple foot-plus snows during that period. This argues, not scientifically at all of course, that we should be due. But like Eagles says, it is so so hard to get a big snow here. 0Z Euro was the quintessential RVA snowstorm: 20 inches north and west side of city; to 6 inches in Tri-Cities. This area will never be a simple forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Yes, even though, I think most of us would agree we received a foot plus in 96. I measured 19" on Gaskins Road for that storm, there has been a lot of discussion in years past about where RIC measured their snow at the airport and pretty sure Anthony went after this windmill and believe the location where they measure has been changed. That being said, yeah, I think we will be skating the line again. How many times have we seen or more accurately heard this movie...it's pouring snow and then when we finally tire, we tuck into bed with the vision of ridiculous totals dancing in our heads only to wake to the dreaded pings hitting the gutter or metal roof. Alarmed we get on the radar sites and see that warm nose march mercilessly toward Richmond. I will be happy with 8"-12" but will be a little sour if we are on the low end of 4"-6" with rain compacting it. I never trust those backend promises...they never seem to live up to billing. (just went back and checked my notes, I measured 19" on Gaskins for that storm, thought it was 21") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rmcwahoo Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Great points there. Many, many a storm here has seemed like a big win unfolding only to turn to sleet and then dry slot. I can't remember the last significant backend snow here, might actually be 1996 when we got several inches the next day, or I think in 2009 that December storm featured some backend accumulation if memory serves. Also agree I'm not sure how RIC avoided a foot in 1996, they were surrounded, on all sides, by reports of 14-16 inches. But they did. And it's now one heck of a streak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elrock Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I really feel for you Richmond people. The snow/sleet/rain line always seems to fall just a little west of you. But this forecast storm is so massive I think (hope) we will all get in on the action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I think we all get something, that is for certain. I know the TV mets are jaded, with good reason given our history. The big difference with 96 is just the temps. We were in the 20's at the beginning, during and at the end of that storm. This storm has such intensity, the cold air will lose the battle to I95 as progged. There is a strong HP modeled but for it to be strong enough to prevent mixing with this bomb would suppress. Still a few days to iron out, likely will be locked in tomorrow for track now that it is coming onshore. If the Euro wins out, as it should, we should all do very well in the accumulation department. To clarify, we should all do well, I mean Central VA to Cville, those who were reading and posting. I know it's a different ball game for Coach and our friends down in SE VA. I want all winners and participation trophies for all but we know that is tough to get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joc111 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Looking forward to a cold, soaking rain this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rmcwahoo Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 GFS looks colder and snowier for Metro Richmond to my untrained eye. Maybe a step towards Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coldrain Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Looking forward to a cold, soaking rain this weekend. NOT me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 GFS looks colder and snowier for Metro Richmond to my untrained eye. Maybe a step towards Euro? Sounds like it according to the DC centric thread where the Mid-Atlantic consists of one city Apparently the GGEM is of biblical proportions or a BECS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lawone Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Sounds like it according to the DC centric thread where the Mid-Atlantic consists of one city Apparently the GGEM is of biblical proportions or a BECS... Exactly. This forum is great for learning but only seems to focus on DC. Would love to see some of the regular posters comment on other cities, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 GFS ensemble mean has chesterfield at 17" unreal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 this is nuts for a mean never seen anything like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Good, I was worried about the GFS, know the Euro provides Central VA with a bigger hit but GFS did hit on Sunday so it may have the hot hand. Local mets not willing to buy in yet on big hit...so it seems, can't say I blame them with our jaded past and plenty of time before the event but this sucker really seems locked in... That is one heck of a sharp cutoff though, expect nothing less but man, it's feast or famine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 WTF 12z EURO moves way south, with RIC being the jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rmcwahoo Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Euro just destroyed Richmond. Just heard it shows 32 inches in the city. Now the biggest 24-hour snowfall in Richmond history is 21 inches I believe, so every grain of salt here. BUT, south trend a good one for us. I personally would rather sweat 10 inches of fluff vs 15 inches than the usual rain/snow line. Long ways to go still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Threat Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 WTF 12z EURO moves way south, with RIC being the jackpot. I don't believe it. BUT....the trend is nice. First the recent GFS op, ens means, and now the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Pretty unbelievable. EURO has a 985 low sitting on the beaches at the NC/VA border. 3.5" of QPF from EZF to RIC to LYH. Verbatim 35 inches at RIC haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Yep, the usual RIC in the jackpot 3 days out trick...where is that picture of Lucy pulling the football away from Charlie Brown? I have a feeling we are going to be the Charlie Browniest again...hope I am wrong, but in honor of Star Wars...I have a bad feeling about this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lawone Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Interesting run and south movement... especially since it only really takes about 2 inches for Richmond to be overwhelmed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Threat Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I know that we probably won't get a huge snow here in RIC but it's dang funny watching the panic and justifications in the storm and banter threads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Agree. The whole we went from 40" to only 20" then the no way RIC gets that much snow and it will come north. A big part of me hopes we get the big jackpot and DT posts obs minute by minute in the thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Threat Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I hope we ALL get a crushing. It would be awesome to see the entire state under a foot + of snow. But an RIC jackpot would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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