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NOT DC/NOVA discussion


JMU2004

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Was thinking the exact same thing...crazy consistent, though this may be the best yet. 14-16", would be so sweet

Are you working leading up to this storm?

 

Does not really matter.       Currently a met in Degree only.   Got my Red Tag because of my Degree...  landing a job in the field is a completely different ball parik. 

But yes I work tomorrow at my current job....  

ANyway back on topic.

For those in Williamsburg...

This run was actually "wetter" for that area in comparison to the 18z run.         There will be a a sharp cut off between the light/moderate snow on the north and west side.. to the really high impacted areas just to the south and east.   

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NAM mos qpf

 

0mi Charlottesville 0.23

78mi Richmond(Airport) 0.35

108mi West Point 0.44

121mi Williamsburg 0.79

138mi Newport News 1.0

160mi Norfolk 1.4

178mi Va Beach 1.5

 

I'd say that's a pretty tight gradient esp looking between West point and Newport News ~35-40 miles as the crow flies

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Wakefield's messages:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA430 AM EST WED FEB 25 2015MECKLENBURG-LUNENBURG-BRUNSWICK-DINWIDDIE-PRINCE GEORGE-GREENSVILLE-SUSSEX-SURRY-JAMES CITY-YORK-SOUTHAMPTON-ISLE OF WIGHT-NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTH HILL...LAWRENCEVILLE...PETERSBURG...HOPEWELL...EMPORIA...WAKEFIELD...WILLIAMSBURG...POQUOSON...FRANKLIN...NEWPORT NEWS...HAMPTON430 AM EST WED FEB 25 2015...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PMEST THURSDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A WINTERSTORM WARNING FOR...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO1 PM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.* LOCATIONS: SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA.* HAZARDS: MAINLY SNOW.* ACCUMULATIONS: 4 TO 7 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.* TIMING: SNOW...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH RAIN AT THE ONSET...ARRIVES  BY THIS EVENING THEN QUICKLY TRANSITIONS TO ALL SNOW AND BECOMES  HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. 

NORTHAMPTON NC-HERTFORD-GATES-NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-SUFFOLK- CHESAPEAKE-VIRGINIA BEACH-NORTHAMPTON VA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARGARETTSVILLE...AHOSKIE...EASTVILLE 430 AM EST WED FEB 25 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS: FAR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA AND PORTIONS OF INTERIOR NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA. * HAZARDS: SNOW AND SLEET. * ACCUMULATIONS: 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET. A LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATION OF LESS THAN 0.1 INCHES IS POSSIBLE IN NORTH CAROLINA. * TIMING: SNOW...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH RAIN AT THE ONSET...ARRIVES BY THIS EVENING THEN QUICKLY TRANSITIONS TO ALL SNOW AND BECOMES HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. THE SNOW MAY MIX WITH SLEET...AND POSSIBLY FREEZING RAIN IN NORTH CAROLINA OVERNIGHT.

 

 

DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMBRIDGE...SALISBURY...CRISFIELD... PRINCESS ANNE...SNOW HILL...OCEAN CITY 430 AM EST WED FEB 25 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY. * AREAS AFFECTED: THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE. * HAZARDS: SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS: 2 TO 3 INCHES. * TEMPERATURES: MID TO UPPER 20S. * WINDS: NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. * TIMING: LIGHT SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION AROUND MIDNIGHT...AND INCREASES IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OVERNIGHT. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF TO LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS LATE THURSDAY MORNING PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$

 

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA430 AM EST WED FEB 25 2015VAZ048-049-062>064-074>077-251730-/O.NEW.KAKQ.WW.Y.0006.150226T0300Z-150226T1800Z/FLUVANNA-LOUISA-GOOCHLAND-HANOVER-CAROLINE-ESSEX-WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-NORTHUMBERLAND-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LOUISA...GOOCHLAND...ASHLAND...TAPPAHANNOCK430 AM EST WED FEB 25 2015...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO1 PM EST THURSDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A WINTERWEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THISEVENING TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY.* AREAS AFFECTED: PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA.* HAZARDS: SNOW.* ACCUMULATIONS: 1 TO 3 INCHES.*HEAVENER
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC403 AM EST WED FEB 25 2015VAZ025-036-037-508-251715-/O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0017.150226T0200Z-150226T1500Z/AUGUSTA-NELSON-ALBEMARLE-CENTRAL VA BLUE RIDGE-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STAUNTON...WAYNESBORO...CHARLOTTESVILLE...WINTERGREEN403 AM EST WED FEB 25 2015...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO10 AM EST THURSDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HASISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW... WHICH IS IN EFFECTFROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY.* LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL VIRGINIA.* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES.

ST. MARYS-ORANGE-SPOTSYLVANIA-KING GEORGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST MARYS CITY...FREDERICKSBURG 403 AM EST WED FEB 25 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY. * LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT AND EXTREME SOUTHERN MARYLAND. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES. *

 

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Weird forecast from AKQ introducing rain/snow tonight for all of us. I haven't seen any evidence to suggest we start as rain. Sure we might transition to sleet for a period before the low pulls away, but starting off as rain?  Come on now get it together AKQ.

 

I would love to hear their reasoning for this because there is none.

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12z nam is a tick warmer for extreme.. NC/VA boarder near VB this run...

But huge hit for the area even back to Richmond.....

 

Yea, seems to be 25 miles or so NW which is causing that 850 line to move up into southside near the end of the heaviest precip....I'm sure the clown maps will be pretty, but hoping it doesn't pan out that way exactly.  It is still on the NW side of the guidance.

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NAM advertising some sleet in the AM. We almost always go over to a period of sleet in our big storms. Christmas 2010 storm is a prime example and we know how that ended.

 

A blend of all the models argues against a period of sleet, but if it does it happen, it will probably be brief and at the end of the storm.

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NAM advertising some sleet in the AM. We almost always go over to a period of sleet in our big storms. Christmas 2010 storm is a prime example and we know how that ended.

 

A blend of all the models argues against a period of sleet, but if it does it happen, it will probably be brief and at the end of the storm.

 

True...the sleet was really at the tail end when the precip lightened up....wouldn't complain about those totals again.

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