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January 26-28 Blizzard Observations/Nowcast


Baroclinic Zone

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Looks like the heavier band is finally reaching the foothills.  At 7 AM Famington reported 1" while LEW had 10.5".  The 12-16" forecast for SNJ busted to 1" or so where we're visiting grandkids - they're having a blast in it anyway.  Apparently we got dryslotted all night, with -SN stating about 6 AM as winds backed to NW.  Snow has stopped and the sun is poking thru the clouds.

 

We are up to 14.5" here 4" last hour

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No powder , it is EVERY storm from that person

 

Well yeah what I'm saying is he's probably measuring in the same wrong location every storm.  Maybe he gets drifted in his driveway between two homes but it doesn't obviously look drifted, but is loading from the roof-tops or something. 

 

There's two things...he's trying to be the leader, or he is just measuring in a poor spot and continues to do so each event.

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I think they do it to avoid the full "its over stick a fork in it" call and then have it actually snow under some odd band or something.  They never just go from like 24-36" forecast to 3-6".  They'll slowly taper it each time.  ALB did the same thing...people were still hounding them this morning when they dropped it back by like 50% but it was obvious that wasn't going to work out either.

 

Its gotta be hard for them to sit in the hot seat, with a forecast for 24"+ somewhere, and you know that forecast knows beyond a doubt there is absolutely no way it happens.  But how does he/she go about changing that without the full brunt of media mayhem. 

 

I still can't believe the busts west of like ORH-TOL in this one.  One for the record books in terms of NWS forecast busts.

That makes sense but still, why set yourself up for failure. There were still 18-24" calls W of ORH in the early morning update. That's double digit busting for a big swath of territory. Luckily nobody lives W of Worcester.

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