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January 26-28 Blizzard Observations/Nowcast


Baroclinic Zone

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For true junkies, Weather Nation is live streaming someone driving to MA. Currently on US44, so I'm guessing in CT:

http://news.weathernationtv.com/2015/01/26/live-video-streaming-video-northeast-noreaster/

Not CT.....was watching saw a sign for Plympton and the Exit sign style was not CT DOT....pretty sure its Plympton MA....Rt 44 runs through there....east if Taunton

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Steady light, to sometimes moderate snow, here, as has been the case for the past three hours. Roads are covered with a nice coating. Winds are also continuing to intensify.

Been up a full 37 hours straight and can hardly concentrate, to be completely honest . That said, I will keep you guys informed of developments around this specific area throughout the day tomorrow.

Thanks to everyone who's offered guidance on the presumed best intercept locality for this particular storm.

Have a great night, everyone! :)

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Mesoscale Discussion 43

< Previous MD

MD 43 graphic

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0043

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0533 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN LONG ISLAND / CAPE COD AND PORTIONS OF ERN MA /

RI / SERN CT

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

VALID 262333Z - 270430Z

SUMMARY...HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES 1+ INCHES/HOUR WILL PROBABLY BEGIN

BETWEEN 01-03 UTC ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF SRN NEW ENGLAND AND

ERN LONG ISLAND.

DISCUSSION...23Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS AN ESTIMATED 994-MB LOW 200

MI SE ACY AND SURFACE TEMPS BELOW FREEZING ALONG THE SRN NEW ENGLAND

COAST. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A NEGATIVE-TILT MID-LEVEL TROUGH

LOCATED OVER THE CAROLINAS AND WRN ATLANTIC EARLY THIS EVENING.

VERY STRONG H5 HEIGHT FALLS /180 M PER 12 HR/ WILL LIKELY OCCUR

DOWNSTREAM DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS TO THE SE OF LONG ISLAND

--LEADING TO A RAPID DEEPENING OF THE SURFACE LOW BELOW 980-MB AS IT

DEVELOPS NNEWD TO THE SE OF SRN NEW ENGLAND. RADAR MOSAIC IMAGERY

SHOWS A BAND OF HEAVIER SNOW MOVING NWWD OVER MARTHA/S VINEYARD WITH

THIS FEATURE TIMED TO MOVE ASHORE COASTAL RI/MA DURING THE NEXT 1-2

HOURS.

MODELS SHOW THE GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION OF SNOWFALL RATES COINCIDENT

WITH STRENGTHENING LOW- TO MID-LEVEL FRONTOGENETIC FORCING FOR

ASCENT INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND AND ERN LONG ISLAND DURING THE 01-03 UTC

PERIOD. INITIALLY SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 1 INCH/HOUR WILL BE

CONFINED TO IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS OF RI AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF

MA BUT ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP INLAND DURING THE 01-03 UTC PERIOD.

IT IS LIKELY THE HEAVIER RATES /2 INCHES PER HOUR OR GREATER/ WILL

OCCUR BEYOND 04Z CONCURRENT WITH INTENSIFYING MID-LEVEL FORCING FOR

ASCENT FAVORABLY TIMED WITH STRENGTHENING FRONTOGENESIS OVER SRN

ENGLAND AND LONG ISLAND.

..SMITH.. 01/26/2015

ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...

LAT...LON 40757284 41297251 42187098 42167040 41976994 41696990

41226996

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Not CT.....was watching saw a sign for Plympton and the Exit sign style was not CT DOT....pretty sure its Plympton MA....Rt 44 runs through there....east if Taunton

44 actually goes straight through to Rt 3 and that seems to be where the band is starting to go to town as of now according to some people I know in that area in Plymouth

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27.8/25 - Moderate Snow/Blowing Snow. Visibility between 1/4 and 1/2 mile.

 

NE 18 - peak gust of 34 so far.

 

3" since snow started at 9am this morning.

 

Snow has been consistently moderate since the initial band moved through a little after 7pm.  

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