WxUSAF Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 No chatter about the nice ns vort pass/miller B next Sunday? Is Ji ok? fabfeb.JPG #ClippertownUSA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2015 Author Share Posted January 23, 2015 i actually dont want snow next weekend. #guitargig Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 i actually dont want snow next weekend. #guitargig you are one strange dude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2015 Author Share Posted January 23, 2015 you are one strange dude unless its a HECS. Lets hold off till Sunday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 BTW, 12z GFS in the long term flirts with 0-degree 2m temps here, and with sub-freezing 2m temps all the way down to Mexico... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Does anyone have access to a 204hr panel for the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2015 Author Share Posted January 23, 2015 Does anyone have access to a 204hr panel for the Euro? light precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 light precip The motto for our winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 light precip kthanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Feb 1 trending from Miller A to Miller B to suppression with clipper north of us. At least on the GFS over the last 4-6 runs.... Can someone throw a bone here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Feb 1 trending from Miller A to Miller B to suppression with clipper north of us. At least on the GFS over the last 4-6 runs.... Can someone throw a bone here? Just focus on the short term. Placement and timing of the shortwaves will continue to wreak havoc on ops for days. One thing is pretty clear, it's going to be cold. We have no way of knowing the fine details. I will say this, the general pattern looks very stable for 2 weeks. We're going to be pretty busy tracking things. Next weekend looks to have the best combo of a -ao and neutral or -nao that we've seen all year. The only thing I doubt is something tracking north of us. Too far south could be a problem if something materializes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Just focus on the short term. Placement and timing of the shortwaves will continue to wreak havoc on ops for days. One thing is pretty clear, it's going to be cold. We have no way of knowing the fine details. I will say this, the general pattern looks very stable for 2 weeks. We're going to be pretty busy tracking things. Next weekend looks to have the best combo of a -ao and neutral or -nao that we've seen all year. The only thing I doubt is something tracking north of us. Too far south could be a problem if something materializes. Bob, You are getting wise in your old age. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Bob, You are getting wise in your old age. Ha! It took me a couple years too long to not wear the goggles all the time. I owe quite a bit to you. I've probably read every single post and article you've written. I really like what I see for the next couple weeks. Even if it's northern stream dominant, overall height patterns seem pretty favorable for our area when we usually blow chunks in that dept. Ji will only be happy if the southern stream goes nuts and we get 3 hecs in 15 minutes. And no hecs when he has a guitar gig. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
evaporativecooler Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 GFS pops a lovely 1055+ ridge across the Beaufort sea around the start of the month. Should shake things up a bit, especially if the nao stays cooperative Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 GFS is showing a very potent Miller B-type storm that wrecks Pennsylvania, Ohio, and some of the NE. I think it's all rain for us though. Edit - At Hour 219...wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 GFS is showing a very potent Miller B-type storm that wrecks Pennsylvania, Ohio, and some of the NE. I think it's all rain for us though. Miller B? Dude... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Miller B? Dude... I'd say it is a Miller A/B. Just for kicks because it will be different at 6z, but while the storm does originate in the South, it's the northern branch that moves it along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Miller B? Dude... What would you call it? Just curious. Looked like a Miller B track to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 That's back to the solution it had a couple of days ago. Same timeframe. Just needs to disappear again for a couple of runs, then come south a tiny bit, and we're in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 What's that 2m temp in Philly at hour 252? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 GFS has the 2m temp at 12z tue Feb. 3rd at -22.9C. I've never seen that before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 GFS is showing a very potent Miller B-type storm that wrecks Pennsylvania, Ohio, and some of the NE. I think it's all rain for us though. Edit - At Hour 219...wow. Should be a good period to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 GFS is showing a very potent Miller B-type storm that wrecks Pennsylvania, Ohio, and some of the NE. I think it's all rain for us though. Edit - At Hour 219...wow. Yeah, the system sort of looks like an apps runner that's a bit farther east of there, and goes practically right over us. Taken at face value, we'd have some kind of freezing/frozen going to rain, then temps absolutely crash. And there's a fair bit of precip it appears after they crash, which would be snow. Almost like a back-end snow, which you can sort of see in the snow map you posted. Still over 200 hours out, but that general signal has been there pretty often for that time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 EPS looks very cold in the long range with a coastal storm signal around Feb 2. Looks like the Perler Vertex wants to come south in about a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 EPS looks very cold in the long range with a coastal storm signal around Feb 2. Looks like the Peler Vertex wants to come south in about a week. Per HM. He has said this was a distinct possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Oh man, please let the gfs be onto something for the Feb 1-3 period. Mega overunning potential. Southern stream just puking moisture along an arctic boundary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Oh man, please let the gfs be onto something for the Feb 1-3 period. Mega overunning potential. Southern stream just puking moisture along an arctic boundary. Just posted this in the long range thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baseball0618 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Hoping this is the one for the mid Atlantic. It looked like this a few days ago and now it's back. I can see this going south but given the confluence to the north that's been modeled I don't see it missing to the north at this point. Sub tropical jet looks like a firehose! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 No threads for this until next weekend please!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Those 2m temps remain impressive the week after this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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