delijoe Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I thought the ECMWF couldn't get any better, but I don't think I've been so wrong. 2.5" of QPF in Bergen county 72 hour roundup NYC: 2.3" HPN: 2.5" TTN: 2.3" JFK: 2.3" MTK: 2.2" PHL: 1.8" BDR: 2.2" Um... the posters on the PHL board are saying less for PHL and TTN then what you have here... maybe they aren't counting the initial clipper snows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayson Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Holy smokes That is 30'in+ over the entire NYC Metro area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 SOmeone posted a EuroWx 78 hour snow accumulation map on accu forums, and unless I am blind I see around 36 inches for NYC metro. Is that one of those unreliable snow accum maps that we should be ignoring? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
negative-nao Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I would not be surprised to see a blizzard watch go up in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Um... the posters on the PHL board are saying less for PHL and TTN then what you have here... maybe they aren't counting the initial clipper snows? I'm working extremely fast right now, but it looks like 1.6"-1.8" by 78 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 40 inches just north of us holy cow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 So....I am in the zone of getting 36"+ of snow. Am I dreaming ???? :/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmb8021 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 What are winds looking like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Well, that's it... This winters sux...Winter cancel! Worth the wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 1st guess is holding I GUESS THE NWSFO philly forecast fro WORST CASE in NJ of 8" needs To be adjusted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 SOmeone posted a EuroWx 78 hour snow accumulation map, and unless I am blind I see around 36 inches for NYC metro. Is that one of those unreliable snow accum maps that we should be ignoring? No, it uses the Kuchera method. Basically a dynamic ratio algorithm thats very reliable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 zypqaZrvMz4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Congrats guys, your record is about to get smashed. I am very happy for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Anyone can comment on how it looks for the PHL-TTN folks? map i saw had 17 inches at philly and trenton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Newark GETS HAMMERED, damnit, i had to live in Union County . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 The overall axis of snow looks a little NE of where 12z had it but it's probably just semantics, i.e. Trenton is 24-30" this run vs. 36" last run. It all comes down to where the bands set up as what usually happens in these storms. Philly will likely be right on the razor's edge as usually happens in these blow-up storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nick5892 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I'm crying. I don't know why. But. I am. I have no words. I just... I can't even. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 1st guess is holding I GUESS THE NWSFO philly forecast fro WORST CASE in NJ of 8" needs To be adjusted Good call on the analog Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeysed Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 if and when.... totally going off of Euro... BUT Someone outside of a city where its colder, that a deform band sets up over... COULD REACH 40" of snow. Based on what we just saw 100% possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kborne Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 1st guess is holding I GUESS THE NWSFO philly forecast fro WORST CASE in NJ of 8" needs To be adjusted eh.,,,maybe just a tad... I knew they would wait until Sunday, AM...hours.. but I am always cautious, but based on tonight's runs, all hell will break loose tomorrow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
negative-nao Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 If this is right .. This would be that Biblical storm Henry Marguisity talked about years back ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zypqaZrvMz4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Reaction from NYC OEM Watch Command after seeing the 0z Euro, time to wake up the mayor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Thank You Superstorm 93 for posting the image.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 1/25 00Z Summary NYC QPF (Snowfall) SREF: 1.25 - 1.50 (>12") NAM: 0.15 - 0.25 (>2") GFS: 1.10 - 1.25 (>15") GGEM: 1.75 - 2.00 (>20") GEFS: 1.20 - 1.50 (>15") UKMET : 040 - 0.60 (>5") ECM: 2.50 - 2.70 (GULP >25") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 1st guess is holding I GUESS THE NWSFO philly forecast fro WORST CASE in NJ of 8" needs To be adjusted Yeah... Just alittle ...LMAO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 If you do not mind what about from say ABE to PHL? map i saw had ABE about 10" with sharp decline just west of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 After 12z is probably when the crazy language gets released from the NWS offices but I'm pretty convinced now that an awesome event is about to take place for at least much of Long Island and New England. NYC I'm cautiously optimistic about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I'm crying. I don't know why. But. I am. I have no words. I just... I can't even.[/quote I'm crying too this is way too epic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 The only plausible trends at this point would be faster explosive development Monday night, can't see how NYC metro fails to pull off a monster total from this. Will say 24-30 inches with possible 36 local in sea enhancement squall bands likely to form off Long Island Sound. Very strong wind gusts associated with that. Frequent thunder-snow. Long duration. Could even speculate about higher totals, ECM wants to wrap the blizzard with -15 850 temps which will interact with warmish offshore temps and high initial dewpoints to maximize snow rates. Imagine if Super Bowl had been there this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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