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Potential coastal storm 1/26-28


robertgny

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If the Euro holds or trends even more favorably then confidence increases greatly if not then just the opposite.

Still time for change.

 

I was comparing it earlier to 2/25/99, to me it looks like a more west version of that, the ridge out west is further west and the system is captured a bit earlier, nobody west of the Hamptons saw much with that, I think this event could hit fairly good for all of Suffolk county, west of there I think we may be relying on energy from the merging in vort, those can deliver 3-4 inches easily in these setups at times.

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12Z Summary (NYC) 

 

Timing : Monday evening - Tuesday morning

 

 

NAM: >8"  (LI / SNE Crushed)

GFS : 0 - Trace  (LI  / SNE special)

GEFS: >2" (LI / SNE special)

UKMET: >4"  (LI / NSE crushed)

GGEM: >5" (LI / SNE crushed)

GGEM ENSEMBLES:

ECM:

ECM Ensembles:

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I was comparing it earlier to 2/25/99, to me it looks like a more west version of that, the ridge out west is further west and the system is captured a bit earlier, nobody west of the Hamptons saw much with that, I think this event could hit fairly good for all of Suffolk county, west of there I think we may be relying on energy from the merging in vort, those can deliver 3-4 inches easily in these setups at times.

Where can I find more information about that analog?

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