tmagan Posted May 15, 2015 Share Posted May 15, 2015 Anderson Air Force base just reported a wind gust to 106 mph. They are in the eye wall right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 15, 2015 Share Posted May 15, 2015 Last radar image before the Guam radar broke. Note the radar's vertical wind profile showed 85kt winds near surface before it broke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TropicalAnalystwx13 Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 Dolphin is now a Category 4 equivalent cyclone via the JTWC, with 1-minute winds of 135 mph. Looking at satellite animations, although some dry air is still evident in the northern semicircle, the eye is becoming warmer and more circular, eyewall convection is becoming more evenly distributed around the core rather than weighted to the south, and the convection itself is deepening. The storm should become a Category 5 equivalent overnight--another impressive cyclone in an incredibly fast-paced season to date. 10-minute Himawari visible loop 10-minute Himawari infrared loop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted July 2, 2015 Share Posted July 2, 2015 Chan-Hom will not be a midget, that's for sure. It's already swallowed up one other tropical wave, it's forecasted to swallow Linfa, and possibly 97W. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 2, 2015 Share Posted July 2, 2015 Typhoon Chan-Hom expected to track near Guam in two days (July 4th, 18z... after midnight in Guam??). Just looked at Ryan Maue's twitter feed, saw some information on Ty Chan-Hom. The HWRF cranks it up to 135kt in 5 days (July 7) over open ocean. If it gets to 135kt, it would be the top of the Category 4 in the Saffir-Simpson scale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TropicalAnalystwx13 Posted July 7, 2015 Share Posted July 7, 2015 Saved for posterity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted July 7, 2015 Share Posted July 7, 2015 12z Euro takes Chan-Hom on a pretty frightening track and impacts E China as a very intense typhoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted July 8, 2015 Share Posted July 8, 2015 Chan-Hom is too big for its own good right now. just continuously sucking in dry air and is also starting to have an effect on the approaching Nangka. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 Kadena AFB in Okinawa had a max sustained wind of 59mph (51kt) with max wind gusts to 78mph (68 kt) earlier today. This METAR from 15z, July 9th. RODN 091458Z AUTO 08048G68KT 1 1/4SM R05/2600FT RA BR OVC012 26/26 A2908 RMK AO2 PK WND 08068/50 SLP852 P0060 60126 T02570257 403070257 57031 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted July 10, 2015 Share Posted July 10, 2015 Talk about a deep warm core cyclone, just crazy: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted July 13, 2015 Share Posted July 13, 2015 Nangka has had concentric eyes for the last 30hrs. It still looks like it's trying to turn into an annular storm but can't quite clear out the inner pinhole eye. It's foretasted to make landfall in Japan as a CAT 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted July 27, 2015 Share Posted July 27, 2015 The models last night were cranking out a very intense typhoon. GFS, Euro and cmc all had it but I haven't checked them today. GFS has lost it but the CMC and euro still have a very strong hurricane. Looks like the euro gets it down into the 920's MB while the cmc is 940ish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted August 1, 2015 Share Posted August 1, 2015 Models still taking souldemore into the west pac towards taiwan as a strong typhoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted August 2, 2015 Author Share Posted August 2, 2015 Soudelor has taken a direct hit on Saipan as a rapidly intensifying typhoon. Pressures were recorded as low as 958 mb before the barometer went offline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Official JTWC forecast shows Typhoon Soudelor approaching Taiwan in 5 days, as a 120 kt storm. That's a pretty large amount of people that could be affected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Soudelor has taken a direct hit on Saipan as a rapidly intensifying typhoon. Pressures were recorded as low as 958 mb before the barometer went offline. Thats good RI going on and I wouldn't be surprised to see it continue for another 12 hours or more. The models have been really bullish on this one making its way on a pretty straight WNW heading right towards Taiwan. Euro has it getting down to 917mb eventually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 This is what a direct hit of a Cat 2 or Cat 3 cyclone on an ASOS site looks like: http://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/PGSN.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted August 2, 2015 Author Share Posted August 2, 2015 The eye is still impressive on Guam radar even as it moves away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 This is what a direct hit of a Cat 2 or Cat 3 cyclone on an ASOS site looks like: http://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/PGSN.html I like the heavy snow obs lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 Eye has really cleared out now and I suspect it will be nearing super typhoon status real soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 Deepening fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 She's a beauty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 Anyone know the 24 hour pressure changes? Its down to 922mb but it was a TS what 30 hours ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 I used to live in Saipan and my friends have posted pics with absolute devastation... high end cat 3/cat 4 type stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 Thanks for posting that radar animation, Superstorm93. That is awesome. At the time that it was close to Andersen AFB, I had totally forgotten that the typhoon would be able to be seen on radar. Sad to hear about Saipan. Typhoon Soudelor has been analyzed at 135kt by the JTWC at 12z. It is expected to soon be 150kt. Ryan Maue (@RyanMaue) tweeted this: 09z JTWC forecast only maxed out Typhoon #Soudelor at 135 knots ... expecting 155 knots forecast or nowcast in 15z update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 A look at the intense lightning in the eyewall of Soudelor in the past 26 hours (Time at the top is Mountain Time). Lightning data from GLD360 https://youtu.be/CGNt31RuaWk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 "PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT" Expecting it to max out at 160 kt now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 "PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT" Expecting it to max out at 160 kt now. Pretty solid. Do you have an updated sat pic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted August 4, 2015 Share Posted August 4, 2015 Pretty solid. Do you have an updated sat pic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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