Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,508
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    joxey
    Newest Member
    joxey
    Joined

January 11-12 Snow/Mixed Precip


Hoosier

Recommended Posts

Radar currently doesn't look half bad. 18z GFS actually came in the most north of its last several runs and just about stalls the band between 0-6z across the metro.

LOT has me down for 1-3"

I'm on the fence with things...

Obviously there's gonna be 1-3" in the main axis, but where does banding set-up in that axis and do the bands waiver/stall in an area for a while. Or does the axis/bands slide north and then back south in a steady fashion.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 616
  • Created
  • Last Reply

I'm on the fence with things...

Obviously there's gonna be 1-3" in the main axis, but where does banding set-up in that axis and do the bands waiver/stall in an area for a while. Or does the axis/bands slide north and then back south in a steady fashion.

 

Gotta hope/see if this area can fill in over the next few hours...if that can happen then we could be in solid shape. 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

We had a few minutes of solid SN imo, though the ASOS didn't report it so I guess not.  As others have said, there were some nice-sized dendrites as well.  Back to very light snow with small flakes again though.

 

Given model trends today, decided to drop to 2-3".  Not that it matters a whole lot...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Alek what do you think of the LE possobility? NAM is bullish.

 

 

maybe an additional 1/4 to 1/2 if everything works out…lots of negatives

 

I'm more bullish.  I still think someone sees 1".  Best chance would be between Lake Station and the Loop.

 

We had an event in early December that was similar, with dry air/very low inversion heights and only a few hundredths of model QPF that still managed to produce several hours of snow.  I think it was a Tuesday night?  Problem was, the surface was about 34 F, so it didn't stick, but that obviously won't be a problem this time. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Doing the same here. One minute it's mainly zr, the next it's mostly ip. Haven't seen any flakes since shortly after onset.

 

Least you had some flakes. :(:D

 

But man, what a gut punch of a minor system. A couple of days ago I thought no way we'd see anything but sn/pl here...and now the bad mix is as far reaching as your hood. Ugly.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Least you had some flakes. :(:D

 

But man, what a gut punch of a minor system. A couple of days ago I thought no way we'd see anything but sn/pl here...and now the bad mix is as far reaching as your hood. Ugly.

 

Right after I posted that, some heavier radar returns moved overhead and some large flakes are mixing in with the zr and ip. Guess it will just be a "wintry mix" here.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...