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Trent

Northern Ohio Obs/Discussion Part 2

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3 minutes ago, NEOH said:

Heavy ice pellets in Chagrin. Wonder how long the change to snow will take.

Yep 32 and sleet in Solon.   Hopefully the snow switch is close. 

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It really is amazing how you could bank on a widespread 6-12" synoptic storm across NE Ohio almost every year or at least every other year. Now, it's becoming once every 8 years. 

CLE had a 3.7" seasonal snowfall deficit as of yesterday. It practically takes a miracle pattern just to get close to normal these days.

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21 minutes ago, Trent said:

It really is amazing how you could bank on a widespread 6-12" synoptic storm across NE Ohio almost every year or at least every other year. Now, it's becoming once every 8 years. 

CLE had a 3.7" seasonal snowfall deficit as of yesterday. It practically takes a miracle pattern just to get close to normal these days.

This was a spectacular fail of a storm.  Just amazing.  And it's adding up in recent years.  The seasonal snowfall isn't terrible, though quite unspectacular outside of the northern Snowbelt in terms of larger events.  

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Saw ohweather mention the hrr in the other thread.  It's trying to back the 6" line to the east side.  It should definitely rip for a while once it switches to snow.  

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I don't think it's going to be too much longer before the flip to snow. The precip turned over to mainly snow under the heavier returns which moved north. Radar is filling in the south now.

 

Edit: As of 1:45 its all snow IMBY. There is a good chunk of moisture coming up from southern ohio. Looks like it will make a run for the eastern counties.

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Ravenna ASOS says +RA and 30 degrees. Oops, I guess that's +FZRA (maybe?), Akron City has snow, Euclid KCGF has freezing rain, Cleveland Lakefront has -RA and below freezing.

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32 minutes ago, Chinook said:

Ravenna ASOS says +RA and 30 degrees. Oops, I guess that's +FZRA (maybe?), Akron City has snow, Euclid KCGF has freezing rain, Cleveland Lakefront has -RA and below freezing.

Surprised the lakefront hasn't flipped over. CLE was reporting light snow. Starting to accumulate here. We are at a higher elevation... but not sure that makes a difference.

 

 

 

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26 minutes ago, OHweather said:

A few fine flakes have made it down at times, but mainly ZR and IP here so far.  Untreated pavement has frozen over and the sleet is beginning to accumulate. 

That's a pretty healthy precip shield moving north. Seems to be favoring the eastern row of counties though. Wonder if the precip shield will condense or stay fairly ragged throughout the event.

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4 minutes ago, NEOH said:

That's a pretty healthy precip shield moving north. Seems to be favoring the eastern row of counties though. Wonder if the precip shield will condense or stay fairly ragged throughout the event.

I think it'll become more organized this evening, but by then will be slowly pulling east.  According to the HRRR maybe I shouldn't have given up this morning! 

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12 minutes ago, OHweather said:

I think it'll become more organized this evening, but by then will be slowly pulling east.  According to the HRRR maybe I shouldn't have given up this morning! 

Check out the mesoscale disco in the storm thread. And yeah... the HRRR is reeling back to the west.

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Around 1" here so far but hard to measure with the blowing and drifting.  Looking at radar we should have at least a few more hours of decent snow so hopefully most of us can still pull off a few inches from this. 

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Waiving the white flag on this one. Radar is unimpressive with a bit of a sucker hole over the area... Not to mention the snow already dissipating on the nw  side. 2-3 may be a stretch. 

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.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
An intense lake effect snow band developed off Lake Huron across
Lake Erie into Lorain County. Received a couple reports of near
zero visibility in Lorain County. Latest stream line convergence
shows the band will slowly move east and weaken as it loses
fetch length off Lake Huron and drier air pushes east into the
local area. Expecting snow accumulations of up to 2 inches
possible in the band as it moves across an area. Otherwise, snow
associated with the low pressure system is pulling out to the
east fairly quickly bringing an end to the synoptic snow.
Only issues will be the pesky lake effect snow through the rest
of the day. Made major changes to pop to account for intense
snow band. Minor update to temperatures as well.

 

sn.jpg

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Picked up 2" from the clipper on Monday and the on and off snow showers the past few days. Looks like a warmup and some rain over the weekend.   It'll be nice to wash the salt off the roads. 

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3 hours ago, dta1984 said:

Picked up 2" from the clipper on Monday and the on and off snow showers the past few days. Looks like a warmup and some rain over the weekend.   It'll be nice to wash the salt off the roads. 

Looks like Winter will take a hiatus for awhile. Who knows how long but hopefully it warms up enough to melt some ice on the lake. It has been a good 1st half of Winter so far. We've nickeled and dimed our way to a decent snowfall total. Might be a stretch to get to average if we have to rely on synoptic systems.

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The 50s sure felt nice.  Definitely nice to get a break from the prolonged cold we had.   Hopefully the lake ice took a big hit and is primed for the second half of winter (at least initially ). 

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