PB GFI Posted December 25, 2014 Share Posted December 25, 2014 Really ??? - I have proof that says otherwise -many including yours truly were predicting 10 inches + for the month A snow contest from early November attaching snow to each month. Using that logic anyone in ur contest that predicted 6 inches or greater predicted snow for Xmas day. ? No one said during this period would there be any snow on the ground for Xmas. Go find the post where I said there would b snow on the ground xmas day. As a matter of fact since about Dec 15th the call was the pattern changes Dec 28th. The post is " some snow xmas week " was to DM and snow on the 28th world fit . As a matter of fact no one here not one person said there would b snow on the ground. Pattern change Dec 28. Would actually imply the period before would have has to suck. December blew up . But that doesn't change that once past the 28th the pattern gets better. For how long ? The euro says longer than the JMA weeklies says Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 25, 2014 Share Posted December 25, 2014 Really ??? - I have proof that says otherwise -many including yours truly were predicting 10 inches + for the month I think you are taking snow guesses in a for fun contest that were made two months ago a little to seriously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 25, 2014 Share Posted December 25, 2014 Whsr are you even talking about lol. Pattern is still going to change on the 28.Models still look good for a threat or two next week. Ralph is unpossible lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted December 25, 2014 Share Posted December 25, 2014 I think you are taking snow guesses in a for fun contest that were made two months ago a little to seriously Its never a good idea to take a contest seriously when your guess is seriously wrong... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted December 25, 2014 Share Posted December 25, 2014 No one said during this period would there be any snow on the ground for Xmas. I agree...though the guy who predicted 25.8 inches for the Park this month would probably have to carefully place his projected snows to avoid having some residual stuff on the ground for Christmas...almost in land mine fashion...with thaws in all the right places...maybe a rainstorm for the 24th? (which we had!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 25, 2014 Share Posted December 25, 2014 it was a horrible comment lol...im not one to sugarcoat even in person...trust me haha I moved this to banter myself. He's a respected poster. While I disagree with him here, you probably should just be quiet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 25, 2014 Author Share Posted December 25, 2014 just shows how optimistic most were in November - then when it was obvious in December that we weren't going to have a snowstorm in the near future most backed away from that positive thinking - but I am sure IF things turnaround and we end up getting much above average snow they will be bragging how good they are at long range forecasting..Also I could care less what you think about me taking it too seriously Its all for fun..I don't think anyone who made a guess did so scientifically Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 25, 2014 Share Posted December 25, 2014 Its all for fun..I don't think anyone who made a guess did so scientifically I would think it was for fun. I said 70" for goodness sake. I didn't actually believe we would get anywhere close to that amount i just rode the hype machine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted December 25, 2014 Share Posted December 25, 2014 Its all for fun..I don't think anyone who made a guess did so scientifically since nothing in weather is a scientific guarantee their really is no difference with guessing except for those worthless pretty charts and maps that people put with those so called scientific outlooks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSNOWMAN2020 Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 Quick ques..in Jan are they using new gfs para only. Or are they still going to use both. Thx in advance ..hope everyone had nice holiday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 Terrible post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 God love the posters, like Doorman, who routinely warm-troll and get away with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nygmen Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 and give kick ass five day forecasts???? you post free maps pls stop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 and give kick ass five day forecasts????It's not what you say, it's the phony, sarcasm-dripped delivery. Clearly your forecast has been spot on, as has bluewaves. Kudos for that. You should try to be a bit more vein though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 There is a difference between a pattern change with a chance of snow and several inches to feet of snow in your backyard. Too many people judge a "pattern" by how much snow is in their backyard. It's insulting to meteorology to think that way and troll with that type of thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 Show me some snow!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 Show me some snow!!!!!You're already improving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 It's not what you say, it's the phony, sarcasm-dripped delivery. Clearly your forecast has been spot on, as has bluewaves. Kudos for that. You should try to be a bit more vein though. roger..... But DT can come in here and sheit the bed???? I wont let that happen again!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 There is a difference between a pattern change with a chance of snow and several inches to feet of snow in your backyard. Too many people judge a "pattern" by how much snow is in their backyard. It's insulting to meteorology to think that way and troll with that type of thinking. You couldn't have said that any better. Clearly many forecasts could be in "jeopardy" with regards to total snowfall amounts. However, getting one guess or call right and truly believing all subsequent calls will be correct is like going to a casino and thinking you have a better chance of winning because you won the last bet. I didn't see what the post was, but the bashing of others is simply ridiculous.....especially when the one being bashed is a top-notch poster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 All anyone can ask for is 1 have sound reasoning behind any ideas you bring to the thread and 2 just b cordial to one another. Trust me if the pattern doesn't change for 2 weeks after the 28th I will feel like a bigger D@$_ than any of you will think I am . But there is reason behind the call and its just our opinions And a little secret I'm not a MET I don't claim to be one I don't play one here. I put together a puzzle of what I think the drivers and models look like. If in the end they suck. I will know long before you will . Going after smarter guys on the board just hurts the board in general . Unless someone kicks ur dog or made u buy NG ( ahem) . Let it go it's weather. Everyone here wants the same thing. Just be cordial. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 some of the warmest starting winters had a long period of below average temperatures later in the winter...1979-80 and 2006-07 had over a month with a minimum of 32 or lower...Some of the coldest winters didn't have a streak that long...2006-07 turned cold but didn't have a major snowstorm in the city...same goes for 1979-80...not to many of these years had a foot or more snowfall...that doesn't mean squat but is an interesting stat...I came up with this table from 1930 with 1917-18 added for comparison...1976-77 and 1969-70 were two of the coldest winters over the last 50 years and both had average snowfall with no foot or more single event... season.....con/days min. 32 or lower...1976-77...........511969-70...........451917-18...........441933-34...........361944-45...........362006-07...........361984-85...........351954-55...........331989-90...........331935-36...........311979-80...........312003-04...........291999-00...........281968-69...........271967-68...........271964-65...........272008-09...........27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 If I've trended towards more off topic commentary the last few weeks...its mostly because the weather has not been very active from either a snow or noteworthy cold perspective...and there has been basically nothing to get terribly energized about since last February in those spheres...save for the nice snowstorm on the final day of March. If anyone found any of my posts terribly objectionable (I did not personally...but we're all very different people...as John Winger once wryly noted)...my apologies. I do make a concerted effort to keep my quasi off topic chatter in the banter thread...how far off topic one is entitled to go per the board rules is something I don't think I know the answer to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 Quick ques..in Jan are they using new gfs para only. Or are they still going to use both. Thx in advance ..hope everyone had nice holiday. I believe the switch occurs 1/14. Then the parallel GFS will replace the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSNOWMAN2020 Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 Folks as much as I want snow, its clear we are going to be snowless for the foreseeable future maybe some snow showers maybe a few flurries but any organized storms. .doubtful IMO ..I hope things change but such is the hobby we have chosen. For better or worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 Just an inch of snow every now and again would be nice. I'm not greedy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 The EPO shift is not temporary. But okay, believe what you want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 Just an inch of snow every now and again would be nice. I'm not greedy. Im never greedy...all I ask every winter is normal temps and normal snow...anything more of course is a bonus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 The Pac jet firehouse is going to destroy the epo ridge after a few days. Trust me its a temporary feature. The pac jet means business. If one can get the disturbances to undercut the ridge rather than try and plow thru it we may be in business. I dont see that on about half of guidance. Im unfortunately being the pessimist regarding this because we have been down this road before in years past. Once that pac jet is roaring its tough stopping it. Last year the pac worked out for us. Will it turn in our favor? I really hope so but i am just being pessimistically cautious about this feature and its tenure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 And while im in banter....sorry if I offended anyone with my "pattern change on hold" posts.....I will try being more factual in the future rather than regurgitating merely what some lr guidance shows. Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 Its gonna turn out to be a mild week ending Sunday with temps 10-15 degrees above normal during that stretch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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