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weathafella

December-winter is finally here!

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You can have relatively low 500 heights and a pocket of warmer air aloft. The spine of VT of  borderline though. Right on the cusp of paste. Again, silly to talk about details, but just sayin'.

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You can have relatively low 500 heights and a pocket of warmer air aloft. The spine of VT of  borderline though. Right on the cusp of paste. Again, silly to talk about details, but just sayin'.

Color me dead wrong then, i'd say about 99% of the time, crashing 5h heights, deepening low in the GOM with 850's -4 to -6 and east inflow to the spine that is a recipe in Dec for heavy snow. but agree details . Sets us up though for a bigger fish to fry later in the week

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I love how Kevin posts an incorrect "verbatim" solution on the op Euro 9 days out... and when corrected that the "verbatim" solution is rain... he responds with a "lol"

The Tolland Hype and Spin Monster strikes again.

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In vt? with 530 heights? 

 

They are above freezing...like +1 to +3.

 

Verbatim that would be snow at the picnic tables and rain below like 2,000-2,500ft.

 

But it'll be gone next run, haha.  I was impressed with the Euro's thermal columns in this past event, it really seemed to nail it up here more so than the American guidance.

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They are above freezing...like +1 to +3.

 

Verbatim that would be snow at the picnic tables and rain below like 2,000-2,500ft.

 

But it'll be gone next run, haha.  I was impressed with the Euro's thermal columns in this past event, it really seemed to nail it up here more so than the American guidance.

yes even 5 days out it was dead on. I saved the 120 hr runs and man about as perfect as could be even with cough cough qpf 2+ man who worried about a NAM .34 printout

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Boy the long range is borderline Nina-esque. Almost a gradient pattern on the ensembles.

With climo becoming more favorable by the day for SNE, I'd bet that we could actually find ourselves on the right side of the gradient this go around.

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Boy the long range is borderline Nina-esque. Almost a gradient pattern on the ensembles.

 

Very interesting, considering this composite pattern from a 45-day lag off of the latest burst in tropical forcing. http://t.co/u4h7H4h2lX

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Very interesting, considering this composite pattern from a 45-day lag off of the latest burst in tropical forcing. http://t.co/u4h7H4h2lX

 

There looks to be another burst  coming  near 90E-120E towards the end of the month also heading east. I wonder if that tries to reinforce that pattern?

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ASOUT..Rapid City hit 71 yesterday and 70 today.  Good Lord that is awful

 

They are going to get a rude awakening in 10 days. Very rude. Winter arrives there first, then moves east.

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They are going to get a rude awakening in 10 days. Very rude. Winter arrives there first, then moves east.

isn"t that why its called Rapid City?

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ASOUT..Rapid City hit 71 yesterday and 70 today.  Good Lord that is awful

check out twitter HM and Ventrice, remember the OCT -2 plus AO correlation composite I posted, yep dead ringer

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