ORH_wxman Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 I decided to start a new thread on this as the guidance at 12z today has picked up some steam on a weak wave along the cold front that passes through the region tonight...the wave is forecasted to ride up the frontal boundary tomorrow night and give a few hours of light snow. The RGEM is the most robust with 1-2 inches region-wide (except maybe immediate southeast coastal areas) with even spot 3" in N ORH county and S NH. The NAM is the most paltry with just flurries. GFS and Euro are sort of in between with a coating to an inch of snow for many spots. Perhaps someone gets lucky with 2". The best spot for this seems to be either central elevated terrain or even interior SE MA with a bit of elevation as the ML frontogensis seems to take off a little bit as the system is exiting to the east. So there could be a ribbon of more enhanced precip in eastern zones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 I decided to start a new thread on this as the guidance at 12z today has picked up some steam on a weak wave along the cold front that passes through the region tonight...the wave is forecasted to ride up the frontal boundary tomorrow night and give a few hours of light snow. The RGEM is the most rboust with 1-2 inches region-wide (except maybe immediate southeast coastal areas) with even spot 3" in N ORH coutny and S NH. The NAM is the most paltry with just flurries. GFS and Euro are sort of in between with a coating to an inch of snow for many spots. Perhaps someone gets lucky with 2". The best spot for this seems to be either central elevated terrain or even interior SE MA with a bit of elevation as the ML frontogensis seems to take off a little bit as the systme is exiting to the east. So there could be a ribbon of more enhanced precip in eastern zones. This almost looks like Foxboro/Walpole surprise to me. Or what I should say is "could be" since it's not exactly a high confidence call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 12, 2014 Author Share Posted November 12, 2014 This almost looks like Foxboro/Walpole surprise to me. Or what I should say is "could be" since it's not exactly a high confidence call. Yeah we'll have to watch it. If it trends like the RGEM, then it could definitely be a sneaky couple inches somewhere. Esp if we can get a little ribbon of good ML fronto. The flow is really fast and there isn't much room to amplify that vortmax, so it could easily still just be a few wet snow showers too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Does the Euro get anything up here north of Con NH? If we could get a couple of inches to stick around this weekend maybe it could help keep it a bit colder if Monday's storm comes to fruition?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Seems like a few posters talked about this but then when the Euro lost it .. Many wrote it off. Interesting little event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 12, 2014 Author Share Posted November 12, 2014 Does the Euro get anything up here north of Con NH? If we could get a couple of inches to stick around this weekend maybe it could help keep it a bit colder if Monday's storm comes to fruition?? It gets a little bit...probably just a coating though...maybe an inch if there's immediate accumulation and half decent ratios (up there, it could be both) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Seems like a few posters talked about this but then when the Euro lost it .. Many wrote it off. Interesting little event Well a C-1" probably isn't an impact to really affect many people. Now if it's a widespread 1-2, then I can see your point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Think there's potential for someone to see 2" or so out of this(probably in the locations that Will brought up although I could see NECT possibly doing well as well), but I think for now the safe call is C-1" for all in SNE and if you get more, be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 We bang any snow in Mid Nov, showers, coatings, an inch it don't matter. It will sublimate away but thats cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 We bang any snow in Mid Nov, showers, coatings, an inch it don't matter. It will sublimate away but thats cool. Over an inch to me is more appreciable. C-1"..eh. That's just me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 12, 2014 Author Share Posted November 12, 2014 Think there's potential for someone to see 2" or so out of this(probably in the locations that Will brought up although I could see NECT possibly doing well as well), but I think for now the safe call is C-1" for all in SNE and if you get more, be happy. I said "central elevated terrain" for SNE which would include NW RI and NE CT along with central MA...so it is implied. Though the further east anyone can get with elevation, the better in this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 I said "central elevated terrain" for SNE which would include NW RI and NE CT along with central MA...so it is implied. Though the further east anyone can get with elevation, the better in this setup. Yeah my bad, I should have figured that one out, and agreed with your second point completely. Could easily be a Blue Hills jackpot here IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Does the Euro get anything up here north of Con NH? If we could get a couple of inches to stick around this weekend maybe it could help keep it a bit colder if Monday's storm comes to fruition??either way...whatever little bit (if any) we get on Fri will have no bearing on Monday's outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Yeah if this occurs, this has foxboro jackpot written all over it. Sneaky. I think interior southeast ma is a decent place for this as well. Norton, Mansfield, taunton, easton area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 12, 2014 Author Share Posted November 12, 2014 Yeah my bad, I should have figured that one out, and agreed with your second point completely. Could easily be a Blue Hills jackpot here IMO. Yeah Blue Hill could do quite well...or as Scott mentioned specifically before, Foxboro/Walpole/Sharon type region nearby that has a bit of elevation. If we get that nice little burst of precip as it exits stage right. Something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 either way...whatever little bit (if any) we get on Fri will have no bearing on Monday's outcome. Just a bigger swirl ring going in the catch basin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 You know people are antsy for snow when the threat of heavy flurries receives a dedicated storm thread. Let me know when storm mode is activated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBG Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 I decided to start a new thread on this as the guidance at 12z today has picked up some steam on a weak wave along the cold front that passes through the region tonight...the wave is forecasted to ride up the frontal boundary tomorrow night and give a few hours of light snow. The RGEM is the most robust with 1-2 inches region-wide (except maybe immediate southeast coastal areas) with even spot 3" in N ORH county and S NH. The NAM is the most paltry with just flurries. GFS and Euro are sort of in between with a coating to an inch of snow for many spots. Perhaps someone gets lucky with 2". The best spot for this seems to be either central elevated terrain or even interior SE MA with a bit of elevation as the ML frontogensis seems to take off a little bit as the system is exiting to the east. So there could be a ribbon of more enhanced precip in eastern zones. Admittedly a "weenie" question but does KHPH get into the action? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 You know people are antsy for snow when the threat of heavy flurries receives a dedicated storm thread. Let me know when storm mode is activated. Probably is in the NYC forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Admittedly a "weenie" question but does KHPH get into the action? Meaning HPN? Coating to an inch if so IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Probably is in the NYC forum backhanded hint? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 I'm going to be looking like a total wimp getting the studded snows put on Friday for a coating of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 First call for Connecticut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 NAM is starting to come around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 I wonder what Zeus thinks of this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 NAM is starting to come around.nice solid snow sounding for you, squeeze out a couple on that product Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Starting to feel decent for 1-2 inches..Still would like one more set of runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 backhanded hint? Like they wouldn't do that down there.... :lol: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Starting to feel decent for 1-2 inches..Still would like one more set of runs Lollis to 3"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 You know people are antsy for snow when the threat of heavy flurries receives a dedicated storm thread. Let me know when storm mode is activated. Seeing as I haven't seen any snow yet this year I would take some flurries in a heartbeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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