SchaumburgStormer Posted September 26, 2014 Share Posted September 26, 2014 Well September is quickly winding down, with nothing of major interest in the forecast through the end of the month. Figured it is time to start October. Does the tranquil weather continue? Looks like we may have our first shot at precip in some time mid-late next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 26, 2014 Share Posted September 26, 2014 Was just about to start this thread - you beat me to it! The models have been advertising a system coming out into the planes late next week. The tranquil weather can't last forever. The good ol' fashioned October wind and rain systems will be knocking on the door before too long! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted September 26, 2014 Share Posted September 26, 2014 NAEFS shows the cold for some of us... http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/ensemble/naefs/semaine2/images/2014092600_054@007_E1_north@america_I_NAEFS@TEMPERATURE_anomaly@probability@combined@week2_198.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted September 26, 2014 Share Posted September 26, 2014 NAEFS shows the cold for some of us... http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/ensemble/naefs/semaine2/images/2014092600_054@007_E1_north@america_I_NAEFS@TEMPERATURE_anomaly@probability@combined@week2_198.png I literally lol'd at that avatar lol. Nice. I'm hoping we can get a good old fashioned gradient wind event sometime later this month. Been several years since we've had warning criteria wind in the fall. The last one I remember for here was October 2008 IIRC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 26, 2014 Share Posted September 26, 2014 I literally lol'd at that avatar lol. Nice. I'm hoping we can get a good old fashioned gradient wind event sometime later this month. Been several years since we've had warning criteria wind in the fall. The last one I remember for here was October 2008 IIRC. What were the winds like there with the Octobomb? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 26, 2014 Share Posted September 26, 2014 GFS showing a powerful low on Friday and Saturday of next week. Likely overdone, but the model is showing snow on the backside. http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/gfs/3/maps/2014/09/26/18/GFS_3_2014092618_F180_SNOWIN_SURFACE.png No doubt it would be a windy system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted September 27, 2014 Share Posted September 27, 2014 What were the winds like there with the Octobomb? Strong, but the warning criteria winds here didn't materialize. Best wind fields didn't impact this area with that storm. The last warning criteria event here of note in the fall was Oct 26 2008. That one took out half the tree in the backyard here. 50-60mph+ wind gusts for several hours that afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted September 27, 2014 Share Posted September 27, 2014 NAEFS continues to show a cooler pattern. Looks like areas around the lake stay closer to normal (warm lake waters)... I'd take a hard freeze right now to kill this god awful mosquitoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 27, 2014 Share Posted September 27, 2014 Looks like a decent chance of some garden variety boomers with the cold front on Tuesday. In October, even those are noteworthy since they don't happen too often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted September 29, 2014 Share Posted September 29, 2014 Could see our first frost/freeze locally. Euro looks a lot colder this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 29, 2014 Share Posted September 29, 2014 NAEFS continues to show a cooler pattern. Looks like areas around the lake stay closer to normal (warm lake waters)... I'd take a hard freeze right now to kill this god awful mosquitoes. it never ends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted September 29, 2014 Share Posted September 29, 2014 12z Euro 850mb temps still looking quite chilly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 29, 2014 Share Posted September 29, 2014 12z NAEFS came in even colder! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 29, 2014 Share Posted September 29, 2014 Would be even better if it looks like this a month later. A cold October has a potential to be Meg given the scant likelihood of seeing a decent snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 29, 2014 Share Posted September 29, 2014 *meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 0z GFS stronger late week then brings 850s down to -4 here on Friday night into Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 6z is looking pretty chilly as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 and it just keeps reloading after that...ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 NAEFS continues to show colder then norm temps in the long range for the upper midwest... looks like a lock... probably done for summerish temps in these parts... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric In NW Ohio Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 October and November also have been rather significant in terms of severe weather here in NW Ohio...curious if any of these rather robust systems could set us up for a repeat of the outbreak of Nov 10, 2002. A total of 83 tornados were on that day, including the violent F4 in Van Wert, Ohio. Eric Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 Wouldn't be surprised if there were some flakes in the upper Midwest this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 Hoping weather cooperates this weekend for the msu game. I like the cold but I'm eh on the rain. Would definitely ruin tailgating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 18z NAM gets snow flying as far south as MSN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 850mb map for the end of the NAM run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 Obligitory NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 First shift at ORD today KORD 011351Z 14011KT 10SM FEW030 FEW300 13/08 A3002 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 First shift at ORD today Congrats...GL and enjoy...dig up some dirt on the new years measurement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 Yikes http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/ensemble/naefs/semaine2/images/2014100100_054@007_E1_north@america_I_NAEFS@TEMPERATURE_anomaly@probability@combined@week2_198.png Feels/looks/smells like October today...classic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 everyone torches and we're stuck in the freezer...garbage pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 First shift at ORD today KORD 011351Z 14011KT 10SM FEW030 FEW300 13/08 A3002 Congrats! Yeah really look into that New Years measurement! --- Noticed this in the latest discussion at your office. The frost wording part. HIGHS FRIDAY WILL STRUGGLE TO HIT THE 60 MARK IN MOST AREAS...AND ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOWER 50S SATURDAY UNDER THE THERMAL TROUGH. OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S OUTSIDE OF THE THERMAL HEAT ISLAND OF CHICAGO WHERE TEMPS MAY STAY PROPPED UP IN THE LOW 40S. FROST IN OUTLYING AREAS IS A POSSIBILITY ESPECIALLY SATURDAY NIGHT WHEN WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE AND THERE MAY BE SOME CLEARING TO HELP RADIATE BETTER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.