Windspeed Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 I don't know what's more impressive: Josh's chasing record in Mexico or his cellular service there. A gnat can fart and I'll drop a call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Marusak Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 I don't know what's more impressive: Josh's chasing record in Mexico or his cellular service there. A gnat can fart and I'll drop a call. I would think more he has a satellite phone, which would work in a lot more places than cell service would work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 Getting more concerned about the inland Flood potential across Southern Arizona/Southern New Mexico/Mexico into Texas and on NE into the Southern Plains and Mid West. Odile moisture as well as the right of guidance track and a long fetch tropical connection from the monsoonal trough raises the flood potential and no real front to sweep the very high PW's out into early next week. I believe the QPF may well be under estimated and some potential for a flood event as witnessed in 1994 with EPAC Hurricane Rosa may not be out of the realm of possibilities with the current upper air pattern expect this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 Although a hurricane warning was issued, the forecast was consistently too far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yellow Evan Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 Eye close to La Paz. Should be in the GOC today. Is Recon going to meet it there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 I just chatted with Josh and he and is videographer Steve are OK. He asked me to thank all of those that have been following the Odile intercept and will likely check in later personally. It has been a long night that was filled with adrenaline, but it appears he got some good data. Congrats on another successful intercept Josh! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 Official forecast runs it up the spine of the Baja, but as mentioned above, forecast has consistently been too far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yellow Evan Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 Looks over the GOC now. ATCF has this at 90/905. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 The waters are very warm in the GOC correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yellow Evan Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 Impact-wise, it is likely only the 1941 Cabo San Lucas hurricane is the only competition when it comes to impact in Cabo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yellow Evan Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 The waters are very warm in the GOC correct? Around 30C, yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 The recon 922 mb yesterday makes me think Odile likely had winds of about 145-155 mph when it had rapidly deepened, and clearly it was atleast 125 mph upon landfall this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 It seems every time he chases in Mexico the landfall is always at night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 I am watching the Weather Channel right now and they are using footage from Josh as part of their report on the damage. He got a nice video of the doors of the hotel blowing open (from the safety of an upper floor hallway) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 Josh on The WEather Channel right now via phone, describing the damage, going thru the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 The waters are very warm in the GOC correct? But given the narrowness of the GoC, isn't unlikely it will strengthen due to most of the storm will still be interacting with land? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TropicalAnalystwx13 Posted September 15, 2014 Author Share Posted September 15, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
apm Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 But given the narrowness of the GoC, isn't unlikely it will strengthen due to most of the storm will still be interacting with land? Yes, and it won't. But I wonder if it will set off a seiche that travels up the GoC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RGweathergeek Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 Getting more concerned about the inland Flood potential across Southern Arizona/Southern New Mexico/Mexico into Texas and on NE into the Southern Plains and Mid West. Odile moisture as well as the right of guidance track and a long fetch tropical connection from the monsoonal trough raises the flood potential and no real front to sweep the very high PW's out into early next week. I believe the QPF may well be under estimated and some potential for a flood event as witnessed in 1994 with EPAC Hurricane Rosa may not be out of the realm of possibilities with the current upper air pattern expect this week. Srain, are you thinking a flood event similar to '94 for the SW or do you think there is a chance that a similar flood event could setup somewhere in Texas, even potentially SE Texas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 Couple of those pic indicate significant surge/wave action damage right along the coast. Keep in mind the hotels shown in those pictures are probably better constructed then other buldings in the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 Pretty cool time lapse. Can't believe someone has the power to upload and tweak all that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bugalou Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 If anyone is in AZ or NM, I would be getting the boats ready. That is a huge slug of moisture headed that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxwell03 Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 If anyone is in AZ or NM, I would be getting the boats ready. That is a huge slug of moisture headed that way. Unfortunately the ground has probably not recovered from last week's flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 Unfortunately the ground has probably not recovered from last week's flooding. I would think the opposite, a lot of their problem is the ground cant hold the water and the rain runs off causing flash flooding issues. I would think the stuff that doesn't run off will quickly be absorbed by the ground or evaporate in the really dry airmass they have. I would think all the "rivers" and "streams" are back to normal, and the ground conditions will be as they were before last week as well.....that doesn't help them any though since its the rate at which it falls that creates the most issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 Cabo Airport Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 15, 2014 Share Posted September 15, 2014 Cabo Airport So Josh is gonna be there a while huh...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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