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September 9th-10th Severe Threat


andyhb

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Winds to the west in the low levels are becoming increasingly veered, I think the ones to monitor are NW of Indianapolis.

 

True. I meant more so as far as the severe weather potential overall.

 

While the tornado threat down there will not as great, the damaging wind threat could be greater as the storms are rooted in a region of better/increasing instability. Wouldn't be surprised if it winds up being the main show for the day.

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True. I meant more so as far as the severe weather potential overall.

 

While the tornado threat down there will not as great, the damaging wind threat could be greater as the storms are rooted in a region of better/increasing instability. Wouldn't be surprised if it winds up being the main show for the day.

That's been the forecast all along.

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DTX decided to add a severe wording to our grids.

 

Probably getting a bit too excited there, but we'll see...

 

This seems rather dramatic

 

All Detroit Public Schools will dismiss two hours earlier than their scheduled bell times today, Sept. 10, to allow students and staff to return home safely before the heavy thunderstorms expected this evening.

http://www.wxyz.com/news/region/detroit/detroit-public-schools-dismissing-students-two-hours-early-due-to-looming-severe-weather

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This seems rather dramatic

 

All Detroit Public Schools will dismiss two hours earlier than their scheduled bell times today, Sept. 10, to allow students and staff to return home safely before the heavy thunderstorms expected this evening.

http://www.wxyz.com/news/region/detroit/detroit-public-schools-dismissing-students-two-hours-early-due-to-looming-severe-weather

 

It seems silly, but given all of the relatively impressive weather Detroit's been getting lately (folks are still recovering from the widespread damaging wind storm and the big flood), the general public is legitimately spooked by what they heard as far as the potential with this event...

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It seems silly, but given all of the relatively impressive weather Detroit's been getting lately (folks are still recovering from the widespread damaging wind storm and the big flood), the general public is legitimately spooked by what they heard as far as the potential with this event...

This event has been weirdly over-hyped to the public
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1709
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0308 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...INDIANA...WRN OH...FAR SERN LOWER MI

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 501...

VALID 102008Z - 102215Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 501 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED/BRIEF TORNADO CONTINUES ACROSS
WATCH 501...MAINLY FROM E-CNTRL IND INTO NWRN OH.

DISCUSSION...RADAR TRENDS INDICATE A PERSISTENT LINE OF LOW-TOPPED
STORMS GRADUALLY SHIFTING NEWD ACROSS ERN IND AND INTO NWRN OH
COINCIDENT WITH THE LEADING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. SEVERAL MESOCYCLONES
HAVE BEEN NOTED...BUT HAVE NOT BEEN PARTICULARLY STRONG OR
LONG-LIVED. HOWEVER...THE AIR MASS CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WARM INTO WRN
OH WITH TEMPERATURES APPROACHING 80. VWPS ACROSS THE REGION CONTINUE
TO INDICATE STRONG LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPH CURVATURE SUPPORTIVE OF
ROTATION.

..JEWELL.. 09/10/2014

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TORNADO WARNING

OHC103-153-169-102100-

/O.NEW.KCLE.TO.W.0025.140910T2013Z-140910T2100Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH

413 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

EASTERN MEDINA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OHIO...

CENTRAL SUMMIT COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OHIO...

THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF AKRON...

WAYNE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OHIO...

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...WOOSTER...RITTMAN...

* UNTIL 500 PM EDT

* AT 411 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR WOOSTER...

MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO

CRESTON...DOYLESTOWN...WADSWORTH...BARBERTON AND CUYAHOGA FALLS

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A

WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS

AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN

INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO

COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A

SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE

NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT WEDNESDAY EVENING

FOR NORTHWESTERN OHIO.

&&

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Starting to see peaks of sun.  Temps are slowly climbing here back up to 78 from 75 a couple hours ago.  Still pretty windy from the SW with gusts to 30.  On the drive home from Indy stopped and checked the clouds out. Was just East of the TVS on radar north of Noblesville.  Cloud bases were well elevated, but hauling butt.  Could definitely see the veering with height in between some of those cells.  I walked out of my work at 1:30 and it felt like TS's I've been in the south.  Never felt that kind of air up here.

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...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EDT FOR

NORTHEASTERN WAYNE...CENTRAL SUMMIT AND EASTERN MEDINA COUNTIES...

AT 448 PM EDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO IN

RITTMAN AT 443PM. THIS TORNADO WAS NOW LOCATED NEAR

DOYLESTOWN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

WADSWORTH...RITTMAN...DOYLESTOWN...CUYAHOGA FALLS...BARBERTON AND

AKRON

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...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EDT FORNORTHEASTERN WAYNE...CENTRAL SUMMIT AND EASTERN MEDINA COUNTIES...AT 448 PM EDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO INRITTMAN AT 443PM.  THIS TORNADO WAS NOW LOCATED NEARDOYLESTOWN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...WADSWORTH...RITTMAN...DOYLESTOWN...CUYAHOGA FALLS...BARBERTON ANDAKRON

 

Yeah, that ones got a nice circulation on it. Gonna skirt the east side of the Barberton and get pretty dang close to Akron if it holds together. Also, the storm near Mentor along Lake Erie needs to be watched closely...

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The cell SW of Portland Indiana needs to be watched as it crosses into Ohio.  It's produced a couple TVS signatures and is now topping over 40k.

 

Roger... Another velocity sig trying to get itself together on that cell right now.  Weak signature starting to show up on the cell near Delphos, OH, as well.

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Any reason northern Indiana isn't producing?

Lack of instability, veered low-level shear, not enough forcing to compensate for lack of instability, pretty much everything that was known beforehand.  We got closer today than I initially thought we would, but the end result has ultimately not been much different.

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