IsentropicLift Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 I'll buy that. Not a big fan of the last few Julys, so hoping that the real heat will be kept in abeyance, at least into August, when the sun gets lower. I could really care less, I'm just reporting what's being shown. Odds favor more troughing because that's been the theme all year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 The real cool air's in the Mid-west, where it's been since last winter, last autumn, and last summer. Chicago recorded a prolonged dew point at or below 44F the other day which was a three sigma standard deviation in terms of July dew point climo. Also they had a couple days with high temps around 70 which is certainly formidable. http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=lot&storyid=103406&source=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 And this is supposed to be a cool summer so far. Central Park also records muted highs because of the overgrowth so the numbers you listed are even more meaningful. Thanks for the stats. I didn't see anyone saying the summer's been cool so far. We're nowhere near the likes of the cool summers of 2003, 2004, or 2009. This summer feels cool to the general public in contrast to 2010-2013, but it's still slightly warmer than normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 Got up to 79.4F today so just missed 80. Not impressive but comfortable for the climatologically warmest week of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 So much for dry conditions the rest of this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 I didn't see anyone saying the summer's been cool so far. We're nowhere near the likes of the cool summers of 2003, 2004, or 2009. This summer feels cool to the general public in contrast to 2010-2013, but it's still slightly warmer than normal. It def feels cool in comparison to those years but true the cool is in the Midwest and we are on the periphery of the WAR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 17, 2014 Author Share Posted July 17, 2014 I checked into Chicago for this summer and so far Jun: +2.0Jul: -3.1 CLE: Jun: +.9 Jul: -2.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 17, 2014 Author Share Posted July 17, 2014 Next week looks like your typical mid-summer pattern where we stay on the western periphery of the Bermuda ridge with daily chances of diurnal activity We'll see how it trends but the latest guidance is more or less shownig 7/21 - 7/25 looks above normal (with some 90s) followed by the next cool down 7/26 - 7/30. Beyond there, some split in the latest runs as we head into August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 Very impressive turnaround this year compared to the record heat of 2012. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 18, 2014 Author Share Posted July 18, 2014 Today's highs TEB: 85PHL: 84ACY: 84EWR: 84New Brnswick: 84LGA: 82TTN: 82JFK: 82ISP: 82NYC: 81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted July 18, 2014 Share Posted July 18, 2014 Today's highs TEB: 85 PHL: 84 ACY: 84 EWR: 84 New Brnswick: 84 LGA: 82 TTN: 82 JFK: 82 ISP: 82 NYC: 81 Any chance you can post the departures? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 18, 2014 Author Share Posted July 18, 2014 Any chance you can post the departures? will do but waiting on the lows tonight most will be -3 to -5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted July 18, 2014 Share Posted July 18, 2014 will do but waiting on the lows tonight most will be -3 to -5 Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bullfr2121 Posted July 18, 2014 Share Posted July 18, 2014 anyone know what next weekend is looking like? having a big party on the 26th... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted July 18, 2014 Share Posted July 18, 2014 Very impressive turnaround this year compared to the record heat of 2012. Stunning departures in the Great Lakes for this year. Any vague idea of what frequency the PV displaces far enough south to cause those temps? Is this a 1 year in 30 kind of thing? I have no idea at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 18, 2014 Author Share Posted July 18, 2014 down to 67 here and falling. quite cool feeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 18, 2014 Share Posted July 18, 2014 down to 67 here and falling. quite cool feeling. I'm already down to 61F here, at last night's low. Feels more like late August than mid/late July. And quite frankly I don't like it. Too early in the summer for me to be even thinking about early autumn weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 18, 2014 Author Share Posted July 18, 2014 I'm already down to 61F here, at last night's low. Feels more like late August than mid/late July. And quite frankly I don't like it. Too early in the summer for me to be even thinking about early autumn weather. Down to 64 and falling. I think we may drop to 55 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 18, 2014 Share Posted July 18, 2014 I'm already down to 61F here, at last night's low. Feels more like late August than mid/late July. And quite frankly I don't like it. Too early in the summer for me to be even thinking about early autumn weather. I'll enjoy it while it lasts because it won't. Anytime I don't need the AC in July its a good thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 18, 2014 Share Posted July 18, 2014 Looks like some could sneak a heatwave in next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted July 18, 2014 Share Posted July 18, 2014 Stunning departures in the Great Lakes for this year. Any vague idea of what frequency the PV displaces far enough south to cause those temps? Is this a 1 year in 30 kind of thing? I have no idea at all. Check out the cool down at the beginning of August 2004 in the eastern US. That was impressive. Highs barely got to 70 in NYC on one of the days and there was no rain involved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 18, 2014 Share Posted July 18, 2014 Stunning departures in the Great Lakes for this year. Any vague idea of what frequency the PV displaces far enough south to cause those temps? Is this a 1 year in 30 kind of thing? I have no idea at all. It was the dramatic shift in the EPO after 2012 from strongly positive to strongly negative. You can see what a major influence patterns over the NEPAC have on our weather here. It has been driving the record drought in California along with the record cold which focused over the the Great Lakes this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 18, 2014 Author Share Posted July 18, 2014 7/17 Departures NYC: 81/67 (-3) EWR: 84/65 (-3) LGA: 83/68 (-2) JFK: 82/67 (-1) TTN: 82/62 (-4) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted July 18, 2014 Share Posted July 18, 2014 Looks like some could sneak a heatwave in next week You might squeeze in a 90 or two towards the end of next week. It is summer after all but there is more signals against a heatwave then for it. Pattern continues to argue more troughs in the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 18, 2014 Author Share Posted July 18, 2014 You might squeeze in a 90 or two towards the end of next week. It is summer after all but there is more signals against a heatwave then for it. Pattern continues to argue more troughs in the east. Looks hot tue - fri with 850s approaching 20c by Wed. Recent heavy rain may keep the park at bay but id say most other sites reach low to mid 90s wed and may grab 3 days of 90. Do agree another trough digs in by next weekend (7/26) but again nothing is locking in and we look to ride an ovrerall warmer pattern. +1 - +1.5 kinds of stuff for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 18, 2014 Share Posted July 18, 2014 Next week looks kind of nasty depending on your model of choice is, especially towards next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 18, 2014 Share Posted July 18, 2014 We will push more than 90 next week you will see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 18, 2014 Share Posted July 18, 2014 Next week looks kind of nasty depending on your model of choice is, especially towards next weekend. If by nasty you mean hot and humid then yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 18, 2014 Share Posted July 18, 2014 7/17 Departures NYC: 81/67 (-3) EWR: 84/65 (-3) LGA: 83/68 (-2) JFK: 82/67 (-1) TTN: 82/62 (-4) bone chilling... i hope everyone wears a coat today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 18, 2014 Share Posted July 18, 2014 If by nasty you mean hot and humid then yes By nasty I mean hot, humid and stormy. As opposed to the beautiful weather for the last two days. Nothing better than sleeping with the windows open in July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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