huronicane Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 Looking out over the golf course. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 Picked up 1.30" from storms a little earlier. Total up to 2.37" for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 War of the Worlds type lightning. Nasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 Getting some good lightning up this way now. Pouring now like crazy -! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 We got Cedar Rapids-ed. Well, hopefully it doesn't last 5 years for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 Tweeted by Brandon Redmond. Taken from Hoosier Park race track in Anderson. Madison Co061914.jpg PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 844 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014 .TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON .DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE. ..REMARKS.. 0345 PM TORNADO 6 NNW MARKLEVILLE 40.05N 85.66W 06/19/2014 MADISON IN LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORT FROM COUNTY SHERRIF AND LOCAL MEDIA OF A TORNADO. THE TORNADO WAS FIRST SPOTTED ALONG STATE ROAD 236 IN BETWEEN COUNTY ROADS 200E AND 300E. LAW ENFORCEMENT FOLLOWED THE TORNADO TO THE HENRY COUNTY LINE AS IT MOVED SOUTHEAST. THEY REPORTED SEEING ONLY TREE DAMAGE ALONG ITS PATH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 Well, hopefully it doesn't last 5 years for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 Might finally have a lightning photo op later. The last two nights ended up being meh on that front. Or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 We got Cedar Rapids-ed. lol'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 Tweeted by Brandon Redmond. Taken from Hoosier Park race track in Anderson. Madison Co061914.jpg That snuck up on us, a large cell moving SE interacted with a boundary moving SW. Just outside of the city that was spawned. One of our deputies chased it for about 6 miles or so. Some tree and outbuilding damage along the path, but it doesn't seem that it ever actually touched down. Sent from my Galax......ahhhh who cares! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 That snuck up on us, a large cell moving SE interacted with a boundary moving SW. Just outside of the city that was spawned. One of our deputies chased it for about 6 miles or so. Some tree and outbuilding damage along the path, but it doesn't seem that it ever actually touched down. Sent from my Galax......ahhhh who cares! Yeah, IND is ruling it straight line wind damage. There's a really grainy video on WTHR where it appears like the funnel was on the ground or very close to the ground but it's tough to tell. http://www.wthr.com/story/25822595/2014/06/19/possible-tornado-touchdowns-in-anderson-markleville?autoStart=true&topVideoCatNo=default&clipId=10285154 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tim from Springfield (IL) Posted June 21, 2014 Share Posted June 21, 2014 Just in from SPC a few minutes ago: Central and Northern Illinois roughly along/west of I-55 under an MD with 60% watch issuance probability: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1104.html MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1104 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1241 PM CDT SAT JUN 21 2014 AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF ERN IA...EXTREME SRN WI...NRN/WRN IL...NERN MO CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 211741Z - 211945Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT SUMMARY...SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WITH A RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED AND A WW IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO 19Z. DISCUSSION...ISOLD TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS NRN IL AS OF 1730Z AS DAYTIME HEATING/DESTABILIZATION HAS EFFECTIVELY ELIMINATED CINH AND RESULTED IN A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS. MESOANALYSIS DEPICTED A NW-SE FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM SRN WI INTO NERN IL...AND A SURFACE CONFLUENCE ZONE EXTENDING FROM SWRN WI SWD ACROSS ERN IA AND NERN MO. ADDITIONAL TSTM DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY IN THE VICINITY OF THESE BOUNDARIES...AIDED BY ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH A REMNANT MCV MOVING EWD ACROSS NERN IA. BY MID-AFTN MLCAPE OF 2500 TO LOCALLY 3500 J/KG WILL BE IN PLACE...AND COMBINED WITH 30 - 35 KTS OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS AND ORGANIZED MULTICELLS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. TSTMS MAY ORGANIZE INTO ONE OR MORE CLUSTERS WITH A LOCALLY ENHANCED SVR WIND THREAT. CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED AND A WW IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO 19Z. ..BUNTING/HART.. 06/21/2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Doctor Posted June 21, 2014 Share Posted June 21, 2014 LOT's thoughts as of two hours ago: .MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...1029 AM CDTCONVECTIVE POTENTIAL FOR EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON TODAY WITH ATHREAT REMAINING FOR STRONG TO SEVERE WEATHER...PRIMARILY A HIGHWIND THREAT...ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND POSSIBLY NORTHWESTINDIANA.CURRENT RADAR IMAGERY DEPICTING ISOLATED SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSSNORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST ILLINOIS SLIDING EAST OUT AHEAD OFWEAKENING WAA WING STRETCHING SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA. DONTANTICIPATE ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH THESE SHOWERS THIS MORNINGWITH THE CURRENT ISOLATED COVERAGE REMAINING THE SAME NOR DO IEXPECT MUCH IN TERMS OF ANY THUNDER OUTSIDE OF A FEW RUMBLES OFTHUNDER...AS THIS PRECIP IS BEING WEAKLY FORCED AND IN THEPRESENCE OF A MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT. OUTSIDE OF THISDEVELOPMENT...EXPECT THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING TO REMAIN DRYWHILE LOW STRATUS FURTHER DIMINISHES THROUGH MID DAY WITH MOREAREAS OBSERVING PARTLY CLOUDY TO PARTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS.SHIFT FOCUS TO MAIN THUNDERSTORM THREAT FOR THIS AFTERNOON...ANDPOSSIBLY INTO THE EARLY EVENING...FOR THE ENTIRE AREA OF NORTHCENTRAL/NORTHEAST ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA. THE THUNDERSTORMPOTENTIAL WILL BE TIED TO APPROACHING MCV AND LINGERING FRONTALBOUNDARY SITUATED FROM NORTHWEST ILLINOIS BACK SOUTHEAST THROUGHEAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...AND INTO NORTHWEST INDIANA. AS THISVIGOROUS SYSTEM PUSHES EAST INTO NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHERNWISCONSIN BY MID DAY...IT WILL BE ENCOUNTERING AN INCREASINGLYUNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT WHICH IS ALREADY OCCURRING OVER WESTERNILLINOIS WITH LATEST RAP ANALYSIS SHOWING STEADILY STEEPENING LOWLEVEL LAPSE RATES. LIMITING FACTORS SUCH HIGH CIN IN PLACE WILLERODE THROUGH MID DAY WHILE CURRENT MODERATE INSTABILITY AXIS FROMNORTHWEST ILLINOIS SOUTH TO WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS BEGINS SPREADINGEASTWARD. SHORT TERM GUIDANCE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING OFTHIS OCCURRENCE AROUND THE 19Z TO 20Z TIME FRAME...AND WILL BEOCCURRING AS LARGE SCALE ASCENT WITH APPROACHING SYSTEM SPREADSEAST. MOST CURRENT GUIDANCE THIS MORNING IN AGREEMENT WITHDEVELOPING PRECIP ACROSS THE CWA THIS AFTERNOON AND ALTHOUGH I DOAGREE WITH THE IDEA/SOLUTION...I WONDER IF THE COVERAGE WILL BE ASEXTENSIVE AS IS BEING ADVERTISED. THIS CONCERN IS TIED TO LOWLEVEL CONVERGENCE POTENTIAL WITH WHICH CURRENT GUIDANCE ISAPPEARING TO BE OVERDOING AT THIS TIME. IF THIS OVERESTIMATECONTINUES...COVERAGE MAY NOT BE AS EXTENSIVE.NONETHELESS...DESPITE THIS LIMITING FACTOR FEEL THAT LARGE SCALESUPPORT IN A MODERATELY TO STRONGLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT SHOULD BEENOUGH TO AT LEAST DEVELOP SCATTERED DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON.CURRENT ASSESSMENT WOULD PLACE HIGHER THREAT FOR STRONG TO SEVEREWEATHER ACROSS THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST CWA WHERE BETTER INSTABILITYWILL RESIDE...BUT AS THE STABLE ENVIRONMENT ACROSS NORTHEASTILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA BECOMES MORE UNSTABLE LATER THISAFTERNOON FEEL THAT ALL AREAS COULD POTENTIALLY HAVE THE SAMETHREAT. SO DONT WANT TO REALLY POINT OUT ONE AREA OVER THE OTHERAT THIS TIME...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS POTENTIAL WITH ANUPDATED AFD WITH LATEST THINKING LIKELY BY MID DAY.AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 39 COULD OBSERVE SCATTEREDSTRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT BY 19-20Z...SPREADINGEAST THROUGH REMAINING AREAS IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND THENNORTHEAST ILLINOIS IN THE 20-22Z TIME FRAME. CONFIDENCE IS LOWERWITH REGARD TO STRONG/SEVERE THREAT IN NORTHWEST INDIANA...BUT IFTHIS WERE TO SPREAD EAST INTO THESE AREAS IT WOULD BE IN THE22-23Z TIME WINDOW. THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT TODAY WILL BE DAMAGINGWIND GUSTS...BUT HAIL COULD POSSIBLY BECOME AN ISSUE ESPECIALLY INANY OF THE MORE DEVELOPED THUNDERSTORMS.RODRIGUEZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted June 21, 2014 Share Posted June 21, 2014 The HRRR the last few runs has hinted at some supercell structures but I'd lean more multicell clusters right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 21, 2014 Share Posted June 21, 2014 looking like a no go here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted June 21, 2014 Share Posted June 21, 2014 looking like a no go here Probably lakeside. But I'm out in Dekalb at NIU playing on site meteorologist for the weekend for this Bike MS fundraiser. Blue box just issued....just enough shear for a sup or two and given the backed winds in spots and dews near 70 with plenty of instability...who knows. Wouldn't be shocked at a 2" hail report in a more stronger/isolated updraft. Newest HRRR continues to be bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 21, 2014 Share Posted June 21, 2014 i don't see anything happening out by NIU either, best action will be well south IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted June 21, 2014 Share Posted June 21, 2014 i don't see anything happening out by NIU either, best action will be well south IMO stuff will develop closer to the MCV in the next few hours IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwburbschaser Posted June 21, 2014 Share Posted June 21, 2014 i don't see anything happening out by NIU either, best action will be well south IMO I'd say the I-88/I-39 area looks decent, possibly better a little bit south of there, but Dekalb isn't totally out of the picture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted June 21, 2014 Share Posted June 21, 2014 Just got back from there. I did the 35 mile ride. A few years ago severe storms rolled in and we all had to take cover in people's barns. Good times. Probably lakeside. But I'm out in Dekalb at NIU playing on site meteorologist for the weekend for this Bike MS fundraiser. Blue box just issued....just enough shear for a sup or two and given the backed winds in spots and dews near 70 with plenty of instability...who knows. Wouldn't be shocked at a 2" hail report in a more stronger/isolated updraft. Newest HRRR continues to be bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 21, 2014 Share Posted June 21, 2014 stuff will develop closer to the MCV in the next few hours IMO it better because it's approaching fast…based on vis best convergence seems to be out ahead a ways Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted June 21, 2014 Share Posted June 21, 2014 Just got back from there. I did the 35 mile ride. A few years ago severe storms rolled in and we all had to take cover in people's barns. Good times. Probably lakeside. But I'm out in Dekalb at NIU playing on site meteorologist for the weekend for this Bike MS fundraiser. Blue box just issued....just enough shear for a sup or two and given the backed winds in spots and dews near 70 with plenty of instability...who knows. Wouldn't be shocked at a 2" hail report in a more stronger/isolated updraft. Newest HRRR continues to be bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 21, 2014 Share Posted June 21, 2014 Still not sure what to think about today... Some sort of boundary clearly showing up on vis from near GYY down to near MQB, where those initial storms developed. However, the main MCV axis is just now to crossing the IA/IL border area, with new development occurring southeast of DBQ. We'll see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted June 21, 2014 Share Posted June 21, 2014 Still not sure what to think about today... Some sort of boundary clearly showing up on vis from near GYY down to near MQB, where those initial storms developed. However, the main MCV axis is just now to crossing the IA/IL border area, with new development occurring southeast of DBQ. We'll see... Those are the ones I'm watching. Although they aren't taking off as fast as the storms to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 21, 2014 Share Posted June 21, 2014 When the original Macomb cell first went up it looked very sweet. Had a nice atomic bomb looking updraft, with a very hard right (west) edge to it while looking south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted June 21, 2014 Share Posted June 21, 2014 When the original Macomb cell first went up it looked very sweet. Had a nice atomic bomb looking updraft, with a very hard right (west) edge to it while looking south. You should think about drifting north to that developing storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 21, 2014 Share Posted June 21, 2014 You should think about drifting north to that developing storm. Think I just might... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 21, 2014 Share Posted June 21, 2014 You should think about drifting north to that developing storm. Think I just might... Even though it's not that great...That cell looks interesting, as does the new one near Durand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted June 21, 2014 Share Posted June 21, 2014 Tor warning for McHenry and Lake Co. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 21, 2014 Share Posted June 21, 2014 12z SPC WRF doing a decent job thus far capturing what's occurring with this main round. It did miss that initial activity this afternoon though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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