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Brick Tamland

2/20 - 2/21 Severe Storms Threat

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Might as well make it official.

 

1. Brick starts all storm threads.

 

2. Stevie Wonder starts all obs threads.

 

3. Pastor Fred Phelps starts all banter threads.

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Timing doesn't look great for a lot of the area except for eastern parts of the Carolinas where instability appears to be greatest. 18z NAM has CAPE values around 1500j/kg at 15z with surface temps pushing into the 70s with plenty of moisture to work with.

 

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Local news said we would get storms between 7 and 9am. So far, we've had nothing, so it may skip mby. Radar is blocked on my work computer. :rolleyes:

 

NEVERMIND. I'm a dork. Wrong day. :nerdsmiley:  It's no wonder all of my patients have looked at me weird when I've said "Let's hurry and get you out of here before it starts storming". I need a day off. Bad.

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RAP and HRRR (3KM) are showing more and more CAPE with each run over GA.  I still dont' think we (MCN area) has too much to worry about, but signs are little stronger a few could pull down some nice wind gusts.  

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Cell is SW Alabama is looking pretty good as well. It's out by itself right now and a good candidate for putting something down -- Interested in what it does in the next few scans.

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The Columbia storm is now near Sumrall MS, still

big velocity signature, lots of them today but not

many strong tornadoes due to conditions preventing

their formation.

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ww0019_radar_zps810c8203.gif

 

Since no one else has posted it, here is Tornado Watch #19:

 

TORNADO WATCH #19

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 19
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1050 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTH GEORGIA
EASTERN KENTUCKY
FAR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
EASTERN TENNESSEE
FAR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 1050 PM
UNTIL 500 AM EST.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
JACKSON KENTUCKY TO 35 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF ROME GEORGIA. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 14...WW 15...WW 16...WW
17
...WW 18...

DISCUSSION...SFC AND VWP DATA SUGGEST THAT COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH DEEPENING MID-MS VLY SFC LOW WILL CONTINUE STEADILY ESE ACROSS
THE TN VLY OVERNIGHT. THIS SHOULD SERVE TO KEEP EXISTING PRE-FRONTAL
SQLN ACTIVE AS ASSOCIATED LOW-LVL CONVERGENCE FORCES PARCELS THROUGH
ELEVATED CAP AND NOCTURNAL CIN LAYER. GIVEN STRENGTH OF WIND
FIELD...AND SOME INCREASE IN WINDS EXPECTED WITH THE APPROACH OF
SECONDARY UPR IMPULSE NOW OVER THE WRN OZARKS...SETUP MAY SUPPORT
CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OF EMBEDDED LEWPS/BOWS WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK
FOR DMGG WIND AND POSSIBLY SHORT-LIVED BUT FAST-MOVING TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
 

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Oh, and they had an actual human reading off the Tornado Watch on the Weather Radio instead of the computer. It reminded me of the old days.

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From a FB friend in Rosman, NC a couple minutes ago - Trees are down through out the county....hwy 276 is getting the most attention because that road is closed due to all of the mess in the road. Stay safe as ya'll venture out this morning.

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One bolt of lightning in downtown winston as the band blew through. Sounded like a cannon went off. One huge bang but almost no rolling thunder. Mother Nature is signalling the start of spring!

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