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famartin

Potential storm February 12-13 2014

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I guess my question was ray not about QPF output on the 4km NAm, just the stark differences on tis placement of the CCB. 

 

 I saw those images over in the NYC thread. Was I right when I saw 40-45 dbz over Allentown?

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I guess my question was ray not about QPF output on the 4km NAm, just the stark differences on tis placement of the CCB. 

That I couldn't tell you.  Til we're within 12 hours I'd guess the globals will have a better handle on it.

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 I saw those images over in the NYC thread. Was I right when I saw 40-45 dbz over Allentown?

looks like it to me.

 

NAM jumps the CCB right over the area and reforms it NE, while 4km NAM intensifies it right through the area late tomorrow evening, first nw of the city up through LV, then swings it through the city and east around/just after midnight.  huge difference from reg NAM, prob doesn't matter either way at this range. 

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looks like it to me.

 

NAM jumps the CCB right over the area and reforms it NE, while 4km NAM intensifies it right through the area late tomorrow evening, first nw of the city up through LV, then swings it through the city and east around/just after midnight.  huge difference from reg NAM, prob doesn't matter either way at this range. 

 

looks like it to me.

 

NAM jumps the CCB right over the area and reforms it NE, while 4km NAM intensifies it right through the area late tomorrow evening, first nw of the city up through LV, then swings it through the city and east around/just after midnight.  huge difference from reg NAM, prob doesn't matter either way at this range. 

 

 

hi res is a 27" sweet spot on the lehigh valley, 12km nam is 14". 

 

I dont normally put any stock in the hi res numbers

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looks like it to me.

 

NAM jumps the CCB right over the area and reforms it NE, while 4km NAM intensifies it right through the area late tomorrow evening, first nw of the city up through LV, then swings it through the city and east around/just after midnight.  huge difference from reg NAM, prob doesn't matter either way at this range. 

0z RGEM does the same thing, it develops the CCB over all of eastern PA with widespread 2-4"/hr rates.

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0z RGEM does the same thing, it develops the CCB over all of eastern PA with widespread 2-4"/hr rates.

Lock it in!

 

But seriously, I do think we will get at least a few inches of snow from it tomorrow night.  Just how intense it will be is still TBD.

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