CT Rain Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 I'm hoping for a good convection season! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 I'm hoping for a good convection season! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 I'm bored with winter for the time being... hopefully we can zero in on an actual threat. Looks like I'll be snow-less for a little while now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 I'm bored with winter for the time being... hopefully we can zero in on an actual threat. Looks like I'll be snow-less for a little while now. Hopefully the 90s and early 2000s come back because other than 2008 around here...meh. Cap city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Hopefully the 90s and early 2000s come back because other than 2008 around here...meh. Cap city. 06 had at least one pretty good event, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 06 had at least one pretty good event, no? Yeah the derecho across srn ORH county into SE MA. That was a good one. I guess I mean more of an overall general pattern. I remember some great events from those years...not so much recently. Nocturnal storm in May 2010 and the strobe lights of June 1 2011 are notable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 19, 2014 Author Share Posted January 19, 2014 100 days to go!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 100 days and my 4 month vacation begins... Got a tornado warning a couple of times last year, nothing came of it of course but it was at least entertaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 19, 2014 Author Share Posted January 19, 2014 Yeah the derecho across srn ORH county into SE MA. That was a good one. I guess I mean more of an overall general pattern. I remember some great events from those years...not so much recently. Nocturnal storm in May 2010 and the strobe lights of June 1 2011 are notable. 2006 had a few pretty solid events. There was July 11th and 12th along with July 18th. July 12th was pretty nasty across NE MA...I remember seeing video of golf ball hail (forget exactly where) and that was the day of the Wendell, MA tornado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 19, 2014 Author Share Posted January 19, 2014 Those new categories seem like they are going to complicate things. I understand what they are trying to do, but it looks like a mess. Yeah I think it will complicate things as well...you can certainly understand the process but we'll see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 29, 2014 Author Share Posted January 29, 2014 Only 90 days to go!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guvna Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Only 90 days to go!!! Derecho after derecho!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 29 more days of winter. Sun angle already starting to rip out there. Won't be long until the S US is enjoying severe events while we are damp and 50/48 on a NE wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 1, 2014 Author Share Posted February 1, 2014 Only 3 months to go!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2SbQ1hbrLLA Video gets me amped up for heat and humidity. Time to start thinking Spring, maybe tornado chasing elsewhere in a few months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 That's great for OK, but this is SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 That's great for OK, but this is SNE. It probably can't be a much worse severe season for New England than last year. Decent number of warnings, but mostly for kind of, sort of, maybe wet microbursts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 It probably can't be a much worse severe season for New England than last year. Decent number of warnings, but mostly for kind of, sort of, maybe wet microbursts. Last year was horrible. I had better tstms in January compared to July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Best storms occurred in September, iirc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 WOTY? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 4, 2014 Author Share Posted February 4, 2014 wow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 8, 2014 Author Share Posted February 8, 2014 Only 80 days to go!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 It probably can't be a much worse severe season for New England than last year. Decent number of warnings, but mostly for kind of, sort of, maybe wet microbursts.I feel like we're getting more and more marginal warnings for storms that would be lucky to produce a 40 knot gust.The worst is that some of those warnings have the same language as a SVR for a storm producing sig svr! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I feel like we're getting more and more marginal warnings for storms that would be lucky to produce a 40 knot gust. The worst is that some of those warnings have the same language as a SVR for a storm producing sig svr! Well some interesting news coming down the pike for this season (hopefully), the radars will all be getting the next build update equipped with SAILS. Supplemental Adaptive Intra-Volume Low-Level Scan will basically find the middle (based on time) of the last volume scan and add a new split cut scan of the lowest elevation (usually 0.5 degrees). Long story short, we'll have base scans more frequently (roughly every two minutes). Big help for storms with wind (tornadic or otherwise) concerns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Your larger point is right though, we do tend to "waste" our bullets by over-issuing SVRs. Dimes and a 40 kt gust is what it is, a good storm but not severe. I think some mets just get trigger happy around here. There is an art to warning decisions. Some people love it, others hate it. For my money, you could put me in the hot seat all day long and I would be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Well some interesting news coming down the pike for this season (hopefully), the radars will all be getting the next build update equipped with SAILS. Supplemental Adaptive Intra-Volume Low-Level Scan will basically find the middle (based on time) of the last volume scan and add a new split cut scan of the lowest elevation (usually 0.5 degrees). Long story short, we'll have base scans more frequently (roughly every two minutes). Big help for storms with wind (tornadic or otherwise) concerns. Yup. The new upgrade for GR2A allows for the SAILS data to come in. That's great. Should really help with borderline TOR situations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Yup. The new upgrade for GR2A allows for the SAILS data to come in. That's great. Should really help with borderline TOR situations. I imagine Midwest WFOs are pretty happy about this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Your larger point is right though, we do tend to "waste" our bullets by over-issuing SVRs. Dimes and a 40 kt gust is what it is, a good storm but not severe. I think some mets just get trigger happy around here. There is an art to warning decisions. Some people love it, others hate it. For my money, you could put me in the hot seat all day long and I would be happy. I wish that forecasters would customize warnings more given a specific set of circumstances. I see so many warnings include wording that's totally bogus. For example I've seen "large hail" mentioned for storms where clearly there's no hail threat (even pea size) and other storms capable of producing really widespread damaging winds get really no extra wording than the standard 40 knot twig buster. I know some of the CR/SR offices supplement their warnings with tons of info on NWS Chat which is another way of doing it. Most tv mets are not proficient in radar met/dual pol (a few are... But that's definitely the minority) so differentiating between weak sauce and holy crap is a way to get the message out better IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I imagine Midwest WFOs are pretty happy about this. Double the QLCS TORs now??? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I wish that forecasters would customize warnings more given a specific set of circumstances. I see so many warnings include wording that's totally bogus. For example I've seen "large hail" mentioned for storms where clearly there's no hail threat (even pea size) and other storms capable of producing really widespread damaging winds get really no extra wording than the standard 40 knot twig buster. I know some of the CR/SR offices supplement their warnings with tons of info on NWS Chat which is another way of doing it. Most tv mets are not proficient in radar met/dual pol (a few are... But that's definitely the minority) so differentiating between weak sauce and holy crap is a way to get the message out better IMO. I agree with just about everything you say here. I know I always edit our preset calls-to-action to make sure they fit the situation (i.e. no large hail wording with a squall line, etc). This doesn't help, that we as a region do poorly with updating SVRs with follow up statements. I looked back after I saw this graphic and we had some seasons with nearly 3/4ths of the SVRs without an update. Every TOR we issued on 6/1/11 didn't have an update! It's a great way to remove errors, and there is no rule that they can't be issued immediately following a SVR. It's also a great way to update as conditions change within the warning (hail size goes up or down, winds become stronger/weaker). We also should be making greater use of NWSChat and social media when it comes to warnings. AWIPS II coming on board soonish will also give us an opportunity to re-work our calls-to-action too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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