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wxmeddler

January 2/3 Event - Disco., Nowcasting, and Obs.

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Wait..thats the Euro!??!

Not pointing you out. But it was kind of obvious it would show this

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Snow maps give DCA 2" exactly. Break out the champagne. 

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Euro is very nice. Back to the general solution from yesterday when people were digging the nAm and it's .15" of warmth

lol.. spin. 

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Euro is very nice. Back to the general solution from yesterday when people were digging the nAm and it's .15" of warmth

 

It's a little warm compared to obs too. That can only help. The snowmap may come close to verifying if we get some good ratios after temps crash. 

 

ETA: except for DCA. Streak is alive and well. Ian might get 2" though. 

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Euro is very nice. Back to the general solution from yesterday when people were digging the nAm and it's .15" of warmth

Makes me think we get our inch....maybe we claw to 2"  I'm still at 38 so I need some cooling. 

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Not pointing you out. But it was kind of obvious it would show this

How's that? Last night it trended back to consensus after a run that had no support from its previous runs.  

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It's a little warm compared to obs too. That can only help. The snowmap may come close to verifying if we get some good ratios after temps crash. 

 

ETA: except for DCA. Streak is alive and well. Ian might get 2" though. 

 

biggest takeaway for me is that concerns of a total whiff might be way lowered now.  It can still happen but something will fall from the sky for some undetermined time

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Yeah. A little. ;)

It's like the wettest model out west now. 

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That streak of moisture from eastern WV to central PA doesn't seem to have been modeled that well on the GFS, and in general the radar looks a little drier than modeled.  Just an observation, FWIW.  Any sign that the phase will happen sooner/further west?

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Last nights low sfc temps have end in pretty well across the area. Should make the switchover a tiny bit quicker for most.

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