TalcottWx Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Looking forward to dry ball shriveling cold next week. EpicMe too.. This is winter. I wait all year for it. I don't need snow OTG to enjoy impressive cold. Sure, I might sound crazy saying I enjoy a PV up my fanny. However there is something awesome about arctic air and caa that shakes the house. Bundle up weenies. The snow will come whenthis pattern starts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 I really have not seen too many weenie posts calling for big snows, etc A few sprinkled in here and there For fun, go back and look at last January's pattern thread... toaster baths galore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 When its april and Im fogged in for two straight weeks developing a vitamin deficiency I'll be begging to bring me back to the epic polar vortex thats about to sit over Hudson Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Looking forward to dry ball shriveling cold next week. Epic No f*cking thanks. Cold like what's coming sucks azz. Not exactly looking for burning through the oil that I can't afford to buy faster than normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 The PV retrogression by the 28th, just as ridging flexes its muscles over Alaska and the arctic. That's when a larger winter event could happen. HM posted these thoughts 3 days ago too. Gotta give credit where credit is due. Something that unfortunately has been lacking. We've been talking about that for a while as well but he never posts here. That was the point about the PV retreating, heights out west lowering showing the potential for PAC jet to undercut with s/w disturbances, and heights rising downstream. I think that is when we see the potential for larger events as you said, but beware the close proximity tracks too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 This is where I first heard "belly to belly" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 I don't think anyone wants or needs a big event right now. All we want is a ground whitener or 2 of a couple inches. Just to raise spirits. No one was expecting massive snows this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 I don't think anyone wants or needs a big event right now. All we want is a ground whitener or 2 of a couple inches. Just to raise spirits. No one was expecting massive snows this week Not true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toller65 Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 HPC's morning mid-range discussion: ..SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS...WARM/DRY RIDGE WILL MAINTAIN ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES WESTOF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES /IN THE10-20F BELOW CLIMO RANGE/ ARE LIKELY IN THECENTRAL/EASTERN/SOUTHEASTER STATES THANKS TO REINFORCING ARCTICPUSH EARLY IN THE FORECAST PERIOD... BUT LESS INTENSE THAN THERECORD COLD IN THE EAST SEEN MORE THAN A WEEK AGO. TEMPERATURESOVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHERN PLAINS SHOULD REBOUNDMODESTLY BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK.THE CHANCE FOR LIGHT WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL BE LIMITED TO ASTORM TRACK WHERE MID-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION CAN GENERATE MOISTUREWITHIN A VERY DRY AND COLD CANADIAN AIRMASS. BENEATH THIS SERIESOF MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCES MIGRATING FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS TOTHE OHIO VALLEY AND EXITING THE MID ATLANTIC STATES...PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS SHOULD RARELY EXCEED 1/10TH OF AN INCH. WITHPW VALUES BELOW CLIMO FOR MOST OF THE CONUS... IT IS ABOUT AS DRYA PATTERN AS ONE WOULD SEE FOR MID-WINTER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Well, I will say that many of the posts lead by Kevin were locking in 3 accumulating snowfalls starting with Wednesday of this week, then the Saturday deal, and then next Tuesday. It was pretty easy to post 4 days ago and said that all of those looked tenuous at best. I certainly don't think a quiet (but cold) pattern is unreasonable for at least M-F next week. As I've mentioned I think next weekend, prior to reload, we have a chance. I think a lot of the angst eminates from the fact that we are coming out of a rather mundane 2 week thaw, and this reload has been greatly anticipated to say the least....so kicking it off with another 10 days of cold and dry is going to have a lot of folks ready to smoke a tail pipe at the prospect of having to endure nearly a month of ennui on the heals of what was a fun stretch. It feels like 2 weeks but it's closer to a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Not true.Whoosh. Of course we'd all prefer a Blizz. But since that isn't possible wouldn't you rather a nickel and dimer to get some cover down with the coming cold? It will make rhe air mass colder and won't allow the cold to modify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 I don't think anyone wants or needs a big event right now. All we want is a ground whitener or 2 of a couple inches. Just to raise spirits. No one was expecting massive snows this week Wat? Come on bro...you post ridic stuff on purpose. I think behind ur smartphone or monitor you laugh at every post you make as you watch people gravitate towards them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Whoosh. Of course we'd all prefer a Blizz. But since that isn't possible wouldn't you rather a nickel and dimer to get some cover down with the coming cold? It will make rhe air mass colder and won't allow the cold to modify Wooosh. Write what you mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Why would you want cold air without the storms? That doesn't make sense, most people want cold air because it brings snow, not because its dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Why would you want cold air without the storms? That doesn't make sense, most people want cold air because it brings snow, not because its dry. I know what he meant, but he said "no one wants or needs".....should have said no one expects or needs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 The PV retrogression by the 28th, just as ridging flexes its muscles over Alaska and the arctic. That's when a larger winter event could happen. HM posted these thoughts 3 days ago too. Gotta give credit where credit is due. Something that unfortunately has been lacking. I was thinking the energy around the 25th looked to have a shot, but it looks like after that shortwave, there is a relaxation. The H5 heights on say the 12z GFS for example go from the lowest being found north of Montreal early next week, to up near James Bay around the 26-27th. That re-structuring would allow a much better chance for something to amplify on the east coast. Of course the 27th-30th is still a long way away and close to a January punt, but maybe a warning event on the 28th or something could save the month from a complete 60-yard punt to a 35-yard shank, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Haha okay okay we get it. You have a kid and own a house but you aren't fooling anyone weenie! You can't be too busy to have nine billion posts. You want it to snow just as bad!! Definitely. But for now, I don't have the bummer feeling like I did in years past....probably because of what I see going forward and what I've had already. I'm content. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 It feels like 2 weeks but it's closer to a week. My last snowfall of greater than a dusting was Jan 2-3. 2 Weeks imby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Definitely. But for now, I don't have the bummer feeling like I did in years past....probably because of what I see going forward and what I've had already. I'm content. Go look at last Jan's threads... you were knitting reindeer sweaters and pm'ing 'freak for directions to the best chairlift... Good times ahead... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 It would be nice if the pv split and a piece gets stuck in the 50/50...it can rotate there til april please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 It feels like 2 weeks but it's closer to a week. My last snowfall of greater than a dusting was Jan 2-3. 2 Weeks imby. Lol...you were sub freezing for another week. If periods between snows are thaws then they characterize most of your average winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 And CMC (sh'ttiest model) shows how it snows on the upcoming pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Lol...you were sub freezing for another week. If periods between snows are thaws then they characterize most of your average winter. Well, since it was an extremely low water content event, it began sublimating quite a bit soone after it stopped. Regardless, snow has been steadily vanishing for 2 weeks without replenishment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Go look at last Jan's threads... you were knitting reindeer sweaters and pm'ing 'freak for directions to the best chairlift... Good times ahead... Well that was brutal. Again, that changed my outlook on winter...just appreciate what falls because you never know if you have to endure a stretch like that again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 And CMC (sh'ttiest model) shows how it snows on the upcoming pattern. That model is junk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Well that was brutal. Again, that changed my outlook on winter...just appreciate what falls because you never know if you have to endure a stretch like that again. Well, you basically went from Spring of 2011 until late Jan 2013 with what... 13" total? Pretty grim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 wasn"t speaking specifically of you though, there were many cute teasers on TV this week, major pattern change return to cold with a possible significant storm next week I am watching, details at 11, la di da di da... Fair point.... I agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 could be worse Yeah, could be equally dry but colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 What's the best solution for static cling? Some panties are bunched up around here. Super bowl kickoff over under temp is 32. Kick off at 620, I will take the under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Jan 22-23 revived on the Euro except it is a different shortwave that does it....and it is Jan 23rd whereas the solutions a couple days ago were more on the 22nd. Potent sw diving through the lakes spawns a secondary S of LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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