Wmsptwx Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Roads are a mess around the house even with just the sleet. Anything but rain and I'm happy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Back to snow here. Looks like some higher reflectivity is starting to develop north and west of Altoona. That looks pretty encouraging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Can a met offer some hope please? We were supposed to be snow by 7, it's almost 8 and I'm seeing nothing snow-wise... Maybe the "up to one inch" from this morning wasn't so out there. Well mesoscale lift is increasing somewhat in central PA and the precip looks to be transitioning to mostly snow based on the CC dual pol radar product. We'll have to see how the precip looks upstream for later on though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Yea, if we can keep good precip for a few hours we will be fine for 3 plus inches! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Well mesoscale lift is increasing somewhat in central PA and the precip looks to be transitioning to mostly snow based on the CC dual pol radar product. We'll have to see how the precip looks upstream for later on though. I've been trying to learn the dual pol stuff and it looks like the snow/no snow line is starting to push east pretty quick... do you agree?... still west of williamsport but looking favorable for state college right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 We are real close when precip. is good to going over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 All snow now. Light snow. Very good looking flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 new mesoscale discussion for PA http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2013/md2069.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 I've been trying to learn the dual pol stuff and it looks like the snow/no snow line is starting to push east pretty quick... do you agree?... still west of williamsport but looking favorable for state college right now Well it was very well defined as it moved through Altoona and points south. It's a bit harder to pick out north towards Williamsport because the line between CC values around 1 and lower is not as clear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Snowing here.....My truck has a covering of snow and starting to lay on my driveway. Edit: hoping we can squeeze 4-5" of snow out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irvingtwosmokes Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Finally snowing in J'town Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Have to leave for work soon...good snows atm, hoping for 3" total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 3/4" of heavy wet snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2069 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0641 PM CST FRI DEC 06 2013 AREAS AFFECTED...ERN OH...PA...SRN NY...WRN MA AND CT...NRN NJ CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION VALID 070041Z - 070645Z SUMMARY...AREAS OF HEAVY SNOW ARE EXPECTED FROM ERN OH INTO WRN AND CNTRL PA THIS EVENING...WITH RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW FROM ERN PA INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND. IN ADDITION...LOCALIZED FREEZING RAIN COULD OCCUR ACROSS PORTIONS OF S CNTRL PA. DISCUSSION...SUBSTANTIAL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO LIFT NWD ATOP A COOL AIR MASS AT THE SURFACE AND IN ASSOCIATION WITH STRONG FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING AS THE UPPER TROUGH NEARS. SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS TEMPERATURES ONLY MARGINALLY BELOW FREEZING OVER MUCH OF THE AREA...WITH WARMER PROFILES/RAIN FROM SERN PA INTO NEW ENGLAND. MEANWHILE...TEMPERATURES WERE FIRMLY SUPPORTING SNOW OVER OH AND INTO WRN PA. UPSTREAM HRLY QPF CURRENTLY SUGGESTS SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 0.50 IN/HR. HOWEVER...HEAVIER PRECIPITATION WAS OCCURRING IN LIQUID FORM NEAR THE ZONE OF 850 MB WARM ADVECTION WITH HRLY RATES UP TO 0.25 INCHES. WITH TIME...AS THE COLUMN COOLS...THE RAIN/SNOW LINE WILL ADVANCE SEWD. THIS WILL ALSO TEND TO VEER 850 MB WINDS...WITH LESS QPF IN THE COLDER AIR WITH TIME AND EWD EXTENT. THEREFORE...IT APPEARS THE BEST SHOT AT HEAVY SNOW WILL BE ACROSS WRN AND CNTRL PA THIS EVENING. ..JEWELL.. 12/07/2013 ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...BUF...CTP...PBZ... CLE... LAT...LON 42837460 42867334 42587259 42317230 42067237 41787270 41457341 40857519 40197791 39767981 39798105 40378122 40898061 42097760 42837460 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Looks like Williamsport may go over to snow very soon as the higher CC values are approaching the area now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irvingtwosmokes Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Looks like more dry slotting back in WV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Thinking we all really crank now til about 3am!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Still sleet mixing here I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Snow, visibility 3/4 mile, 31.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Still sleet mixing here I think. Really? That shouldn't last. The flakes here are much better defined than before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Looks like Williamsport may go over to snow very soon as the higher CC values are approaching the area now.I'm just north of Williamsport and yes it is snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmister Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Simulated radar for 8pm as of 18z NAM: Actual radar at 8:15: Does not look as impressive as modeled and very well may end earlier than modeled by an hour or two. There is still hope that it does fill in some more back near SW PA though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 WITH TIME...AS THE COLUMN COOLS...THE RAIN/SNOW LINE WILL ADVANCE SEWD. THIS WILL ALSO TEND TO VEER 850 MB WINDS...WITH LESS QPF IN THE COLDER AIR WITH TIME AND EWD EXTENT. THEREFORE...IT APPEARS THE BEST SHOT AT HEAVY SNOW WILL BE ACROSS WRN AND CNTRL PA THIS EVENING. .. That would figure... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 That radar is anemic!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Ehhh... hope it works out. Looks like plenty of rain for me!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 SNOW in WILLPO!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 That radar is anemic!! Look down around Altoona...big winners? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Snowing hard right now. 31.0. I'd say about an inch, need to head out soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Good snow here now!! Hoping it lasts awhile! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Pretty sure I just heard thunder. Lots of street flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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