Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    15,497
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    easyaccess
    Newest Member
    easyaccess
    Joined
Sign in to follow this  
ORH_wxman

November weather dicsussion

Recommended Posts

First of all let's get one thing straight.

 

Baroclinic zone is NOT the Gulf Stream guy-that guy is jamesnichols.

 

BZ is a highly respected poster-a met I believe.

 

 

Gotta love the nod to colder today......

 

And when the cold backed off this week, somone forget to tell it that it would bust.  Most areas were 20s or lower this morning.  that was not modeled.

 

 

I like white ground for a spell this weekend for many.

 

I like a cold driving rainstorm possible as I drive to NJ Wednesday but if there's a hint that it will break colder I may head out Tuesday night.  Princeton is a decent snow location actually.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

First of all let's get one thing straight.

 

Baroclinic zone is NOT the Gulf Stream guy-that guy is jamesnichols.

 

BZ is a highly respected poster-a met I believe.

 

 

Gotta love the nod to colder today......

 

And when the cold backed off this week, somone forget to tell it that it would bust.  Most areas were 20s or lower this morning.  that was not modeled.

 

 

I like white ground for a spell this weekend for many.

 

I like a cold driving rainstorm possible as I drive to NJ Wednesday but if there's a hint that it will break colder I may head out Tuesday night.  Princeton is a decent snow location actually.

 

ya, this was replied to ....Bob the Met

 

Princeton, NJ a decent snow location.....for a mid atlantic weenie maybe

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

DAMMIT!  I got Bob mixed up with that guy who posts in the MA forum.  I was wondering why he was posting so much here....I'm a moron...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

First of all let's get one thing straight.

 

Baroclinic zone is NOT the Gulf Stream guy-that guy is jamesnichols.

 

BZ is a highly respected poster-a met I believe.

 

 

Gotta love the nod to colder today......

 

And when the cold backed off this week, somone forget to tell it that it would bust.  Most areas were 20s or lower this morning.  that was not modeled.

 

 

I like white ground for a spell this weekend for many.

 

I like a cold driving rainstorm possible as I drive to NJ Wednesday but if there's a hint that it will break colder I may head out Tuesday night.  Princeton is a decent snow location actually.

Its Taunton Bob, not our bud who is now a met in AK

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

DAMMIT!  I got Bob mixed up with that guy who posts in the MA forum.  I was wondering why he was posting so much here....I'm a moron...

LOl I was fooled yesterday, name is too similar

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Geez, I guess I'm garbage than, no one should listen to my posts, because they have garbage info in them.  Whatever.

  Stay  calm...grow a set.  You're fine to keep posting.  Loving snow is all that is required.    :P

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

You know, I don't only post about the Gulf Stream, the Gulf Stream is not the only thing that sparks a storm.  I'm sure everyone in this forum knows that, so I won't post anything that people already know.  However the 18z NAM looks to be further north with the clipper for Sunday, even though its at hour 60.  Still a lot of time for changes to occur on the models.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Euro ensembles do have the inverted trough and QPF for eastern areas. But again, its way too far out to really worry about a feature like that.

 

I do think lots of snow showers/flurries will be around assuming the larger scale shortwave is modeled close to correct. But even that will require a bit more meso-aspects as we get closer too.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Lol, tube tops and wife beater T's in your closet this year?

 

Normally I'm almost as pessimistic as Coastalwx but this has looked favorable for a return to wintry weather for some time.  It may not work out but we're cold and we're not playing hacky sack on Kevin's over fertilized lawn in December this year.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Euro ensembles do have the inverted trough and QPF for eastern areas. But again, its way too far out to really worry about a feature like that.

 

I do think lots of snow showers/flurries will be around assuming the larger scale shortwave is modeled close to correct. But even that will require a bit more meso-aspects as we get closer too.

Good news, flurries in the air, some weenie radar watching and football in the tube.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Euro ensembles do have the inverted trough and QPF for eastern areas. But again, its way too far out to really worry about a feature like that.

 

I do think lots of snow showers/flurries will be around assuming the larger scale shortwave is modeled close to correct. But even that will require a bit more meso-aspects as we get closer too.

What do they show for next week?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

First of all let's get one thing straight.

 

Baroclinic zone is NOT the Gulf Stream guy-that guy is jamesnichols.

 

BZ is a highly respected poster-a met I believe.

 

 

Gotta love the nod to colder today......

 

And when the cold backed off this week, somone forget to tell it that it would bust.  Most areas were 20s or lower this morning.  that was not modeled.

 

 

I like white ground for a spell this weekend for many.

 

I like a cold driving rainstorm possible as I drive to NJ Wednesday but if there's a hint that it will break colder I may head out Tuesday night.  Princeton is a decent snow location actually.

I may not be a MET but I did stay at a Holiday Inn last night.

Things are looking wintry from late Sat into at least mid week.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Normally I'm almost as pessimistic as Coastalwx but this has looked favorable for a return to wintry weather for some time.  It may not work out but we're cold and we're not playing hacky sack on Kevin's over fertilized lawn in December this year.

Yes has had the feel. Like a 2002 type start it seems

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

What do they show for next week?

ecmwfUS_850_temp_168.gifgfsUS_sfc_prec_168.gif

 

Pick your poison.  GFS has a storm form in the gulf and stay too far offshore, but the Euro speeds it up, keeping the cold to around 495 and then down into central CT.  Total weenie land, but who knows.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

What do they show for next week?

At quick glance the trough looks more amplified and it's juicier than 00z. The mean sfc low is a bit strung out along the coast like some other guidance today. 00z had a handful of torchy cutters and I'm sure this run will too. I'm not sure there's much else to say at this point considering it's a week out.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

18z NAM is oodles more amped than the 12z for Phil's private snowstorm.

 

I like where this is headed I think.  Loosening up now, fully prepared to be rolling a new snowman come Monday am.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Euro with betetr cold air dumpage in the long range...northern tier looks pretty good. A bit of a relaxation perhaps near Dec 1-2 and then it presses the cold south. Good to see it really filling up Canada again too.

 

The ongoing evolution continues.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The first winter event of 2002 was Nov 16th, the first snowstorm Nov 27th,

 

 

There was actually a snow event in interior MA and S NH on 10/23/02...ORH had 3.0"

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
Sign in to follow this  

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×