lakeeffectkid383 Posted September 1, 2013 Share Posted September 1, 2013 Well folks its that time of the year again. Us youngsters head back to school, the leaves begin to change, and we all pull out the hoodies and sweatpants. It is now September first and meteorological fall is upon us even though this year right now it doesn't feel like it with temps in the 80s with high humidity. Soon the weather should be cooling down and the autumn chill will be upon us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted September 2, 2013 Share Posted September 2, 2013 I took this photo in Fonda, NY around 7 p.m. facing toward the now weakening squall line. Hope quality is okay - mobile upload. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted September 3, 2013 Share Posted September 3, 2013 I took this photo in Fonda, NY around 7 p.m. facing toward the now weakening squall line. Hope quality is okay - mobile upload. image.jpg Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted September 3, 2013 Share Posted September 3, 2013 It looks like those radar echoes over Sylvan Beach yesterday were indicative of some pretty large hail. Impressive. 2103 200 SYLVAN BEACH ONEIDA NY 4321 7573 PICTURE POSTED TO JILL REALES FACEBOOK PAGE VIA WKTV-TV. ESTIMATED BY PICTURE TO BE AT LEAST 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER. (BGM) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted September 3, 2013 Share Posted September 3, 2013 There was some dime size hail there in Sylvan Beach. I had pea sized in Westmoreland during the storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted September 4, 2013 Share Posted September 4, 2013 I took this photo in Fonda, NY around 7 p.m. facing toward the now weakening squall line. Hope quality is okay - mobile upload. image.jpg Very cool picture. And the others were not too bad either. I'm looking forward to the 30's forecast for Thursday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted September 4, 2013 Author Share Posted September 4, 2013 Very cool picture. And the others were not too bad either. I'm looking forward to the 30's forecast for Thursday night. ill be camping at Allegany State Park from Thursday through Sunday and I know Thursday night into Friday morning it should drop AT LEAST into the mid 30s with frost in the forecast according to the NWS. ❄⛄ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted September 5, 2013 Author Share Posted September 5, 2013 Frost advisory for Cattaraugus and Allegany counties for tomorrow night into Friday Morning. Like I said Ill be camping at Allegany State Park from tomorrow through Sunday so its definitely gonna be chilly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted September 5, 2013 Share Posted September 5, 2013 Frost advisory for Cattaraugus and Allegany counties for tomorrow night into Friday Morning. Like I said Ill be camping at Allegany State Park from tomorrow through Sunday so its definitely gonna be chilly. Bundle up, at least at night. Should be beautiful during the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 34.8° with ice on the windshield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted September 11, 2013 Share Posted September 11, 2013 Wow, dew point of 76 in Albany right now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted September 17, 2013 Author Share Posted September 17, 2013 34 degrees with some frost here this morning! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 34 degrees with some frost here this morning! Come on...No winter talk until November please. Let me enjoy the warmth while it last! =) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted September 21, 2013 Author Share Posted September 21, 2013 000 SXUS71 KBUF 212036 RERBUF RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 434 PM EDT SAT SEP 21 2013 ...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM RAINFALL SET AT BUFFALO NY... A RECORD RAINFALL OF 2.71 INCHES WAS SET AT BUFFALO NY TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 1.49 SET IN 1992. RAIN IS STILL FALLING AT THE BUFFALO AIRPORT...SO THE FINAL RAINFALL WILL LIKELY BE A BIT HIGHER. A FINAL STATEMENT WILL BE SENT OUT WHEN THE RAIN COMES TO AN END. $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted October 1, 2013 Share Posted October 1, 2013 U know the weather pattern SUCKS when you put 110% into forecasting the max/min temps...But I have perfected my BUFKIT/Labate method. 3 dyas in a row that I have hit the Albany Mx/Mn. Life is good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted October 1, 2013 Share Posted October 1, 2013 U know the weather pattern SUCKS when you put 110% into forecasting the max/min temps...But I have perfected my BUFKIT/Labate method. 3 dyas in a row that I have hit the Albany Mx/Mn. Life is good We will pay for this unbelievable stretch of weather down the road............count on it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted October 1, 2013 Share Posted October 1, 2013 We will pay for this unbelievable stretch of weather down the road............count on it I'll take a dram of whatever you're on! LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted October 1, 2013 Share Posted October 1, 2013 I'll take a dram of whatever you're on! LOL you will see wise grasshopper.. Winter will come to stay in Nov. this year. I'm rooting on the impossible.....3 plowable snowstorms in 3 yrs. before Halloween an hour north of the GWB. Me thinks a lot of action slides south of Glens Falls this winter.....too cold/dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted October 2, 2013 Share Posted October 2, 2013 you will see wise grasshopper.. Winter will come to stay in Nov. this year. I'm rooting on the impossible.....3 plowable snowstorms in 3 yrs. before Halloween an hour north of the GWB. Me thinks a lot of action slides south of Glens Falls this winter.....too cold/dry. And the Phantoms still suck..maybe once they leave we'll get some good winter weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted October 2, 2013 Share Posted October 2, 2013 And the Phantoms still suck..maybe once they leave we'll get some good winter weather. If they were good they would have been gone already LoL. Allentown not in a rush to get these bums into a half a billion dollar stadium built for them. You will see the prospects that show up on that team all of a sudden as soon as they leave. I gave up my season tix last year. I may go see them a few times in Allentown on my way to PA Dutch Country. Need my semi-annual Good N Plenty fix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted October 15, 2013 Author Share Posted October 15, 2013 NWS BUF AFD WHILE IT IS WAY TO EARLY TO PUT MUCH CONFIDENCE INTO THE DETAILS OF ANY OF THE GUIDANCE PACKAGES…THERE IS CONSENSUS AMONG THE ENSEMBLES THAT THE GENERAL LONGWAVE PATTERN WILL BE IN PLACE TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY TO SUPPORT SOME MEASUREABLE LAKE EFFECT SNOW FOR SELECT SITES WITHIN A WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW. IT WOULD NOT TAKE MUCH TO THROW A WRENCH INTO THIS EARLY SEASON SCENARIO THOUGH…SO WILL LEAVE IT FOR NOW AS AN INTERESTING CONVERSATION PIECE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted October 15, 2013 Share Posted October 15, 2013 NWS BUF AFD WHILE IT IS WAY TO EARLY TO PUT MUCH CONFIDENCE INTO THE DETAILS OF ANY OF THE GUIDANCE PACKAGES…THERE IS CONSENSUS AMONG THE ENSEMBLES THAT THE GENERAL LONGWAVE PATTERN WILL BE IN PLACE TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY TO SUPPORT SOME MEASUREABLE LAKE EFFECT SNOW FOR SELECT SITES WITHIN A WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW. IT WOULD NOT TAKE MUCH TO THROW A WRENCH INTO THIS EARLY SEASON SCENARIO THOUGH…SO WILL LEAVE IT FOR NOW AS AN INTERESTING CONVERSATION PIECE. Definitely a possibility, especially over the higher terrain with the Euro bring 850 mb temps to around -5C. The pattern going forward may have some potential as well. The 12z control run of the Euro ensemble was quite cold for the longer range as favorable blocking persists around the west coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted October 16, 2013 Author Share Posted October 16, 2013 NWS BUF AFD THE MOISTURE WILL BE ENHANCED BY MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIR OVER THE LOWER LAKES…WHERE CONVECTIVE CLOUD DEPTHS WILL LIKELY EXCEED 20K FT. THIS HAS THE MAKINGS OF A SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL EVENT NORTHEAST OF BOTH LAKES…WHERE IF ALL THE INGREDIENTS COME TOGETHER…AMOUNTS OF AN INCH OR MORE WOULD NOT BE OUT OF THE QUESTION. ONCE THE SHORTWAVE PASSES SATURDAY EVENING…A WELL ALIGNED SOUTHWEST FLOW SHOULD SUPPORT A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS FROM LAKE ERIE AND THE IAG FRONTIER TO THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION. THE SYNOPTIC RAINS WILL TAPER OFF ELSEWHERE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 NWS BUF AFD THE MOISTURE WILL BE ENHANCED BY MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIR OVER THE LOWER LAKES…WHERE CONVECTIVE CLOUD DEPTHS WILL LIKELY EXCEED 20K FT. THIS HAS THE MAKINGS OF A SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL EVENT NORTHEAST OF BOTH LAKES…WHERE IF ALL THE INGREDIENTS COME TOGETHER…AMOUNTS OF AN INCH OR MORE WOULD NOT BE OUT OF THE QUESTION. ONCE THE SHORTWAVE PASSES SATURDAY EVENING…A WELL ALIGNED SOUTHWEST FLOW SHOULD SUPPORT A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS FROM LAKE ERIE AND THE IAG FRONTIER TO THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION. THE SYNOPTIC RAINS WILL TAPER OFF ELSEWHERE. Figures...We get the perfect ingredients for us to get hit and it ends up being rain....Watch the rest of this years Lake Effect Snow events will have a W/NW flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted October 17, 2013 Author Share Posted October 17, 2013 Figures...We get the perfect ingredients for us to get hit and it ends up being rain....Watch the rest of this years Lake Effect Snow events will have a W/NW flow. dont jynx us. If it ends up this way its all YOUR fault haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Nice looking lake-effect rain band over eastern Lake Ontario this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted October 19, 2013 Author Share Posted October 19, 2013 NWS BUF AFD BASED ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MODEL GUIDANCE…ANALOGS TO PRIOR WEATHER EVENTS SHOW CLOSE SIMILARITY TO A LAKE SNOW EVENT IN EARLY NOVEMBER OF 2006 OR A LAKE EVENT IN EARLY OCTOBER OF 2003. BOUNDARY LAYER BECOMES EVEN COLDER BY FRIDAY MORNING…SO WE WILL HAVE TO WATCH CLOSELY FOR SIGNIFICANT WINTRY WEATHER TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 19, 2013 Share Posted October 19, 2013 NWS BUF AFD BASED ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MODEL GUIDANCE…ANALOGS TO PRIOR WEATHER EVENTS SHOW CLOSE SIMILARITY TO A LAKE SNOW EVENT IN EARLY NOVEMBER OF 2006 OR A LAKE EVENT IN EARLY OCTOBER OF 2003. BOUNDARY LAYER BECOMES EVEN COLDER BY FRIDAY MORNING…SO WE WILL HAVE TO WATCH CLOSELY FOR SIGNIFICANT WINTRY WEATHER TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK. WSW/SW winds for 3 straight rain events and as soon as the cold air hits the winds will be NW/WNW....FIGURES... =/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted October 19, 2013 Author Share Posted October 19, 2013 WSW/SW winds for 3 straight rain events and as soon as the cold air hits the winds will be NW/WNW....FIGURES... =/i know but what can ya do? Getting my car ready for some lake snow chasing later this week. Thinking somewhere near Ellicottville with a 2000' + elevation should be pretty white by weeks end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted October 20, 2013 Share Posted October 20, 2013 i know but what can ya do? Getting my car ready for some lake snow chasing later this week. Thinking somewhere near Ellicottville with a 2000' + elevation should be pretty white by weeks end. This will be the YEAR my friend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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