MaineJayhawk Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 Just a few hours away from the 2 year anniversary of the greatest cold front in NH history. My station all time max gust of 55mph was set at 2:03am, with a 10 minute average of 36mph. I was patiently waiting outside to welcome it and enjoy it and I owe thanks to CardinalWinds, whose post an hour before describing the front was the only reason I stayed up. That 46.2° temp is making me want to avert my eyes. Hideous!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 For tonight. Definitely not mi casa FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 Based purely on persistence and my natural pessimism, I lean towards Dryslot's thinking that it will probably miss NNE, or at the very least, my part of NNE. What is likely to happen is that it is too far east for me but nails NH and ME and then sets up a wicked NW flow that nails PF in Stowe with endless upslope while I'm still looking at the same crusty, icy 8 inches of snow. At this point, I'm just hoping for the cirrus to at least make it feel like there is an outside shot at a snow shower. LOL...sounds like pessimism to me Our synoptic time is coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 For tonight. Definitely not mi casa FTW. StormTotalSnowFcst.png Wish i had a little elevation.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 LOL...sounds like pessimism to me Our synoptic time is coming. No doubt about the pessimism. Without good snow this is the time of year when I start jonsing to play golf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 Wish i had a little elevation.......... Finally into the new house at 720'. Be interesting to see what happens tonite, but not expecting much. It's time for the County to rack one up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 No doubt about the pessimism. Without good snow this is the time of year when I start jonsing to play golf. I hear ya...these warmer, longer days even make me think a bit about the coming seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 at about 1100' in jackson hoping later tonite brings a few inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 at about 1100' in jackson hoping later tonite brings a few inches. Do you have a job? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 Do you have a job? Chasing snow apparently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 Do you have a job? pimp, dont hate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 pimp Duece Bigelow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 Finally into the new house at 720'. Be interesting to see what happens tonite, but not expecting much. It's time for the County to rack one up. Congrats, That may help you out, The county is catching up quickly, They will do well with this one to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 now now , lets stay on topic. i hope the secondary can pop a tad earlier but gyx really hitting somerset and franklin counties for 6-9 on the am disco i hope i'm far enough NE to cash in a bit. i bet the top of wildcat squeezes out a 10 spot. nice ESE fetch upslope right into their fanny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 Congrats, That may help you out, The county is catching up quickly, They will do well with this one to Seems like that happens every year. They tend to miss out on the blockbusters (at least the ones that everyone else in NE is paying attention to), but quietly pile up the numbers and are almost always up there in the end. I'm definitely not liking the wetter and wetter solutions for tonight. I was hoping that if we weren't going to get snow we could at least squeak by with a couple light showers with the fropa. The 12z NAM looks pretty juiced, FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 Seems like that happens every year. They tend to miss out on the blockbusters (at least the ones that everyone else in NE is paying attention to), but quietly pile up the numbers and are almost always up there in the end. I'm definitely not liking the wetter and wetter solutions for tonight. I was hoping that if we weren't going to get snow we could at least squeak by with a couple light showers with the fropa. The 12z NAM looks pretty juiced, FWIW. It was less here though then at 0z, Looks like its only around .24" qpf as it develops further east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 Congrats, That may help you out, The county is catching up quickly, They will do well with this one to CAR progged for 8-14" per their AM forecast. I'll be very happy with the 6" shown on the GYX map - MBY right on the line between 4-6 and 6-8. Especially if it's low/no taint. Don't want the snowblower getting rusty, have only run it once since Dec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 I'm in the 1-2" on GYX snowmap but the <1 and 2-4 isn't close by. I'm interested to see how this plays out later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 CAR progged for 8-14" per their AM forecast. I'll be very happy with the 6" shown on the GYX map - MBY right on the line between 4-6 and 6-8. Especially if it's low/no taint. Don't want the snowblower getting rusty, have only run it once since Dec. I would be happy to, Except i am in the 1-2" range, Its all going to depend how fast the secondary gets going and how soon we cool the BL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 LOL...sounds like pessimism to me Our synoptic time is coming. I'm usually pretty done with winter by march, but I really do believe we get ours at some point. It's bound to happen with this pattern. The PNA is spiking positive and that neg NAO with slacken eventually. When that happens, watch out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nittany88 Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 Looking very good for upslope Wednesday night and Thursday morning. Amount of blocking is still questionable, current NAM is very blocked amd would bomb the eastern Champlain Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 I would be happy to, Except i am in the 1-2" range, Its all going to depend how fast the secondary gets going and how soon we cool the BL Temps already into mid 30s, but dews ares still in the single numbers. We're getting farther into the season where dynamic cooling can make or break a snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 Looking very good for upslope Wednesday night and Thursday morning. Amount of blocking is still questionable, current NAM is very blocked amd would bomb the eastern Champlain Valley. Interesting... I saw Taber had Froude numbers of 1-2 in yesterday afternoon's AFD. I thought maybe with a more deep layer cyclonic flow that would support higher Froude numbers until some upper level ridging moved in and lowered the inversion level? Either way, 12z GGEM bombs northern VT with QPF which is more widespread than reality but definitely an upslope signature across far northern VT and southern QE in the QPF progs. I really like that it is forecast to take place at night. Unfortunately I am not working Thursday morning so you won't get any super early snowfall obs from me, but I feel like the events at night can get better organized and usually tend to produce better than daytime upslope events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nittany88 Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 Interesting... I saw Taber had Froude numbers of 1-2 in yesterday afternoon's AFD. I thought maybe with a more deep layer cyclonic flow that would support higher Froude numbers until some upper level ridging moved in and lowered the inversion level? Either way, 12z GGEM bombs northern VT with QPF which is more widespread than reality but definitely an upslope signature across far northern VT and southern QE in the QPF progs. I really like that it is forecast to take place at night. Unfortunately I am not working Thursday morning so you won't get any super early snowfall obs from me, but I feel like the events at night can get better organized and usually tend to produce better than daytime upslope events. ggem.JPG Yeah Froude Numbers are very high during the day on Wednesday but are progged to fall off a cliff Wednesday night and into Thursday morning (at least as the wrf run shows now). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 This is an example of why i am poo pooing.................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 This is an example of why i am poo pooing.................. They're not great here either but not terrible to take a ski tour on and give the dog a good run. The wife puts the jacket on her. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 This is an example of why i am poo pooing.................. Pic 1.JPG Pic 3.JPG This is not the year for base building apparently. One good storm with a bit of heft to it would make conditions a lot better, but there isn't much time left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 They're not great here either but not terrible to take a ski tour on and give the dog a good run. The wife puts the jacket on her. Lol, Nice dog, Those trails are not as bad as ours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 This is not the year for base building apparently. One good storm with a bit of heft to it would make conditions a lot better, but there isn't much time left. Getting long in the tooth down this way for riding, Those couple of storms we had earlier this winter would have done it if it did not warm up, Rain, And melt it all, The blizzard was not as useful as it could have been, To much wind, Snow to dry, Then the 5 days after of above normal temps ruined it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 This is an example of why i am poo pooing.................. A little bit better than here but not much. The issue I was concerned with Sunday was how hard the snow was frozen. Nothing for cooling or lubrication. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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