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NNE Winter 2012-13 Thread IV


klw

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Winter Storm Warning now for 8-14"

Winter Storm Warning

Expires 4:00 PM EST on February 21, 2013

Statement as of 8:06 PM EST on February 20, 2013

... Winter Storm Warning in effect until 4 PM EST Thursday...

The National Weather Service in Burlington has issued a Winter

Storm Warning for snow... which is in effect until 4 PM EST

Thursday. The Winter Weather Advisory is no longer in effect.

* Locations... the western slopes of the Green Mountains to

include the western portions of Orleans... LaMoille and

Washington counties.

* Hazard types... moderate to occasionally heavy snow.

* Accumulations... 8 to 14 inches of dry fluffy snow.

* Maximum snowfall rate... 1 to 2 inches per hour... mainly tonight

into Thursday morning.

* Timing... moderate to occasionally heavy snow tonight will

gradually taper off Thursday afternoon.

* Impacts... difficult travel due to snow covered roads and

reduced visibilities.

* Winds... northwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

* Temperatures... lows 13 to 17. Highs in the mid 20s.

* Visibilities... less than one half mile at times in moderate to

occasionally heavy snow.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather

conditions are expected or occurring. Significant amounts of snow

are forecast that will make travel dangerous. Only travel in an

emergency. If you must travel... keep an extra

flashlight... food... and water in your vehicle in case of an

emergency.

Please stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio... your local media... or

go to www.Weather.Gov/Burlington for further updates on this

weather situation.

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Snowfall rates have decreased quite a bit suddenly and you can see its losing punch on radar. Down to 1/2-1" per hour instead of 2".

 

Yeah, same thing happened here, so I don’t think it was a big change in the blocking, I think it’s more like the end of that pulse of moisture based on the intensity shown on the radar.

 

 

Winter Storm Warning now for 8-14"

 

Nice, storm total so far here is just shy of 7” - updated maps below:

 

20FEB13D.jpg

 

20FEB13E.jpg

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Yeah, same thing happened here, so I don’t think it was a big change in the blocking, I think it’s more like the end of that pulse of moisture based on the intensity shown on the radar.

 

 

 

Nice, storm total so far here is just shy of 7” - updated maps below:

I like that map.  I'll take the 2" - 4" leftovers from the upslope bonanza.

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AS OF 848 PM EST WEDNESDAY...BASED ON SNOWFALL REPORTS THIS
EVENING AND LATEST RADAR TRENDS...HAVE UPGRADED WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORIES TO WARNINGS FOR THE WESTERN SLOPES REGION INCLUDING
ORLEANS/LAMOILLE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. AMOUNTS HIGHLY VARIABLE
ACROSS THE WARNING AREA SO FAR RANGING FROM JUST A COUPLE OF
INCHES TO 8+ INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. THE HIGHER AMOUNTS TO THIS
POINT HAVE GENERALLY BEEN ALONG AND EAST OF THE SPINE OF THE
GREENS WITH UNBLOCKED FLOW. AS FLOW BECOMES MORE BLOCKED LATER
TONIGHT...EXPECT THE WESTERN SLOPES TO SEE THE HIGHER AMOUNTS
LATER TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING. EXPECT TOTALS IN THE WARNING
AREA BY LATER THURSDAY TO RANGE MOSTLY FROM 6 TO 14 INCHES...BUT
GIVEN THE HIGH FLUFF FACTOR WITH RATIOS AROUND 30:1...THERE MAY BE
SOME LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS. BRISK WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AS WELL.

SNOW ALSO FALLING ACROSS SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY AND ADIRONDACKS
THIS EVENING...AS WELL AS ACROSS NORTHEAST VERMONT...BUT INTENSITY
LIGHTER IN THESE REGIONS SO ACCUMULATIONS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE
2 TO 4 INCH RANGE. CHAMPLAIN VALLEY WILL ALSO SEE SOME SNOW LATER
TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS LLVL FLOW TURNS FROM WEST INTO A MORE
NORTHERLY DIRECTION.

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Huh...I'm around 8" on the day with 6.25" since like 5pm. So weird how variable these can be. I think you got me by over 2" in the SNE blizzard of 2013 (haha) but looks like I'm making it back ;)

 

Just went and doubled checked by measuring the snow on the deck and 5.5" as of 2030 is accurate.  We need to get someone measuring up on Elmore Mountain Road.  It would be interesting to see how that area matches up.  It amazes me the difference that being 5 miles east of of the mountain makes in our snow fall.

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Just went and doubled checked by measuring the snow on the deck and 5.5" as of 2030 is accurate.  We need to get someone measuring up on Elmore Mountain Road.  It would be interesting to see how that area matches up.  It amazes me the difference that being 5 miles east of of the mountain makes in our snow fall.

I know a guy who lives on Elmore Mt. Rd.  Great views up there.  Elmore in general seems pretty snowy.

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Just went and doubled checked by measuring the snow on the deck and 5.5" as of 2030 is accurate.  We need to get someone measuring up on Elmore Mountain Road.  It would be interesting to see how that area matches up.  It amazes me the difference that being 5 miles east of of the mountain makes in our snow fall.

 

Yeah, I've noticed this season that you've done better than me in the larger synoptic storms by a couple inches, but the meso-scale events I seem to have more.  Just an odd observation but as BTV mentioned, amounts have been highly variable so far.  I always wonder if being directly downwind of Mansfield's ridgeline (on a NW or WNW flow) helps this area of the Mountain Road in these events.  It happened in last week's event too, the orientation of RT 108/Mountain Road is NW-SE directly downstream of Mansfield in the West Branch drainage.  Might happen to place this road/drainage just downstream of the maximum lift?

 

Who knows, haha.

 

Anyway, snowfall has definitely slowed down from the 2"/hr rates of earlier, but still coming down as a steady light snow with phenomenal snow growth so accumulating efficiently as you are going to get under these echos.  Continues to snow on the east slopes as of 11am.

 

Feb20a.gif

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