96blizz Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Accuweather put out a special map page.jpg Incorrect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 gfs out to 12. sub 1000 kissing hse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Accuweather put out a special map That's the silliest map...areas N and W of NYC 6-12? Hunter mountain 6-12? Hmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TKFJ Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Accuweather put out a special map Oy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 please...stop. the south shore is rain for a long time on the RGEM using the precip type maps You must not be looking at the right run. Usually when someone links the RGEM map, it goes to an outdated run. That's probably why, we are at 2/8 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Gfs Initialized - Big run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 gfs out to 12. sub 1000 kissing hse. Any changes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Gfs out to hr 15 everything looks the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 GFS seriously IS east of even its last run...not a weenie post lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 does anyone in their right mind not think the nam is too amped up, that is why going to pour over the soundings, cmon we arent getting that kind of qpf a lot yes, but not those amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmb8021 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Latest AFD from Upton: AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1011 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013 .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/... FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK WITH ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO HOURLY T/TD GRIDS BASED ON LATEST OBS/MOD/SAT DATA. ONSET OF PRECIP STILL LOOKS TO BE BETWEEN 4AM AND 8AM FRI. 00Z NAM LOW TRACK IS VERY CLOSE TO THE 12Z RUN...WITH JUST A SLIGHT SHIFT SOUTHWARD BY 12Z SAT. THE INTERESTING PART OF THIS RUN IS THAT THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST QPF HAS SHIFTED FURTHER TO THE WEST AND NOW RESIDES OVER NYC...NJ AND INTO THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY. WILL LET MID SHIFT DIGEST REMAINING 00Z DATA BEFORE MAKING ANY CHANGES TO THE SNOW TOTAL FORECAST CONSIDERING THAT 24 HOURS AGO...THE NAM DIDN`T EVEN KNOW THERE WAS A STORM COMING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 The GFS has the southern stream vort being weaker so far than 18z. No way that happens, IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 does anyone in their right mind not think the nam is too amped up, that is why going to pour over the soundings, cmon we arent getting that kind of qpf a lot yes, but not those amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Hr 18 850's to Ttn surface in Hudson valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 The GFS has the southern stream vort being weaker so far than 18z. No way that happens, IMO. Yeah. I think that the GFS is losing its' mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Gfs is slightly colder and a tad east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 The GFS has the southern stream vort being weaker so far than 18z. No way that happens, IMO. Toss. Period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Hr 24 light snow for area. This run is further east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dosh Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Ruh roh raggy. NAM west, GFS east, 24 hours before the bomb drops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Toss. Period. Let's see what the rest of the run and the UKMET and GGEM say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Ouch...not what I wanted to see. Counting the NAM as clueless and GFS trending east....axe ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 LOL, look at what it did with the southern stream vort between 18 and 24 hours. It cannot handle convection for its life. The NAM is definitely too amped but the GFS is just as ridiculously not amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 RGEM and ECMWF agree with the NAM. GFS is not really good with the dynamics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Hr 27 mod snow in the area. This run is not going to give anyone in the northeast 2 feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 dont really know what to say here. unless one of these solutions verify these models blow (gfs and nam) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Hr 30 mod snow. Storm is pulling away lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 We need to see how the GFS Initialized and compare to the OBS conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Hr 33 mod snow continues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dosh Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 This is kinda hilarious given the monster of a storm that's already working it's way up the east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 The GFS has the southern stream vort being weaker so far than 18z. No way that happens, IMO. the GFS is not good thru 24..its actually horrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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