Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 So aside of the WAA snows and whatever comes around 2/1....when do all the pros and long term experts expect the storminess to start? IE, when's the change for the better supposed to occur? Or are we at a meet the new boss same as the old boss type of deal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Or are we at a meet the new boss same as the old boss type of deal? Coming from you, I assume that question is rhetorical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Coming from you, I assume that question is rhetorical. No talk of the Euro 10-15 day here...through day 10 zero snow to speak of aside of the overrunning event. Same for the GFS. Just seems like we're looking at the day 10 period every day, day after day for hope. We have pros bookmarking the end of winter towards the 12 or 14th...tick tock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 The only this we should toss is this winter right down the drain...one of the worst ever... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 No talk of the Euro 10-15 day here...through day 10 zero snow to speak of aside of the overrunning event. Same for the GFS. Just seems like we're looking at the day 10 period every day, day after day for hope. We have pros bookmarking the end of winter towards the 12 or 14th...tick tock. I miss your radar gifs from 2005 while storms were crushing you down there... those were fun times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 The only this we should toss is this winter right down the drain...one of the worst ever... Weenies and their high expectations. Again, Amherst has around 20" or so this year, which is only slightly below what they should have to this point. (26-28") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 There seems to be a weaker gradient being modeled in the upcoming cold snap...I think this bodes well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 I miss your radar gifs from 2005 while storms were crushing you down there... those were fun times. That was pre-global warming. I'm going to go duck now...lol. I miss those days too. I'd love to see a real coastal with OES enhancement now that we have dual pole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 There seems to be a weaker gradient being modeled in the upcoming cold snap...I think this bodes well. Agreed...Feb wavelengths start to shorten a bit too which should allow for a bit more buckling in the shortwaves rather than a more overbearing longwave gradient. Still, we will be at the mercy of the individual shortwaves as we are right now. But a little more margin for error can't hurt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2013 Author Share Posted January 25, 2013 Agreed...Feb wavelengths start to shorten a bit too which should allow for a bit more buckling in the shortwaves rather than a more overbearing longwave gradient. Still, we will be at the mercy of the individual shortwaves as we are right now. But a little more margin for error can't hurt. how many different ways can the same people post they have not had much snow this year? Hey its dry, no sh it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Weenies and their high expectations. Again, Amherst has around 20" or so this year, which is only slightly below what they should have to this point. (26-28") 23% below norm is considered "slight"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Agreed...Feb wavelengths start to shorten a bit too which should allow for a bit more buckling in the shortwaves rather than a more overbearing longwave gradient. Still, we will be at the mercy of the individual shortwaves as we are right now. But a little more margin for error can't hurt. Tip's 500mb height gradient fetish sees Miami drop below 582dm after about day 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 23% below norm is considered "slight"? at the of the season probably not...but in the middle of the season...I'd say yeah. Snow doesn't pile up exactly like the long term average would imply. You don't get 1/2" a day etc....so you'll end up a snowstorm that puts you above average...then a week or two later you're below average again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 23% below norm is considered "slight"? Not over a full season, but when you are talking about partial seasons, then the percentage matters a lot less since the average is lower. They dont call a 12" season in DCA a disaster even though is like 20% below average because its only 3" of snow. If you start to fall 12-16" behind climo, then it becomes more worrisome. On Dec 24th, i was about 9" below climo...by Dec 29th, I was about 8" over climo. I guess it all depends on how you look at it. If you fall 12" below climo but a monster storm is in the forecast a couple days out, then you probably don't care that much as you will be back right near climo after the storm...but if it continues to look bleak, then that is a different picture. Personally, I'd wait another 10-15 days before starting to really worry if we will finish significantly below climo. It might be a bit sooner in some other areas as they got screwed earlier this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Probably the best thing about this time of year is that if you forget to tightly roll up a bag of chips or cereal, they never get soggy or stale. With a RH of 9% I could probably make beef jerky by just laying it on the counter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Where is Boston and Providence in relation to their snow climo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 and what about the euro 10-15 day look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Where is Boston and Providence in relation to their snow climo? Boston is the screwzone winner....here's the departures (in inches) for snowfall thus far: BOS: -13.0 ORH: +1.1 PVD: -1.0 BDL: +0.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2013 Author Share Posted January 25, 2013 Probably the best thing about this time of year is that if you forget to tightly roll up a bag of chips or cereal, they never get soggy or stale. With a RH of 9% I could probably make beef jerky by just laying it on the counter. I made Italian soupressatta (soupy) Tuesday, 38 sticks worth. We always make it around the driest coldest time of the year for evaporative max effect, typically curing time is 4-6 weeks with the first 3 days being the key days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Boston is the screwzone winner....here's the departures (in inches) for snowfall thus far: BOS: -13.0 ORH: +1.1 PVD: -1.0 BDL: +0.8 TOL: +7 or 8? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2013 Author Share Posted January 25, 2013 Boston is the screwzone winner....here's the departures (in inches) for snowfall thus far: BOS: -13.0 ORH: +1.1 PVD: -1.0 BDL: +0.8 I am at climo norm, Some parts of NNE are taking a beating too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Probably the best thing about this time of year is that if you forget to tightly roll up a bag of chips or cereal, they never get soggy or stale. With a RH of 9% I could probably make beef jerky by just laying it on the counter.LolYou can make croutons as you make a PB&J Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 TOL: +7 or 8? You're at 35.8"? That's at least a +7 there. ORH averages about 30-31 through this date...so TOL prob averages 28. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 You're at 35.8"? That's at least a +7 there. ORH averages about 30-31 through this date...so TOL prob averages 28. Yes and there's a few surrounding towns that have more than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 You're at 35.8"? That's at least a +7 there. ORH averages about 30-31 through this date...so TOL prob averages 28. Decent screw zone here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzard24 Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 i expect big changes in Feb and march with good snowstorms track still going for lots of snow for sne area and big cities too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Decent screw zone here Yeah you are prob -9 or -10 right now. The Nov 7 event really screwed you and you missed the brunt of 12/29 Pretty rare for my area to be more than 6" ahead of you at this point in the season...we aren't that far apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Boston is the screwzone winner....here's the departures (in inches) for snowfall thus far: BOS: -13.0 ORH: +1.1 PVD: -1.0 BDL: +0.8 Thanks Will. That's amazing. I bet Phil is probably around climo too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jenkins Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 I made Italian soupressatta (soupy) Tuesday, 38 sticks worth. We always make it around the driest coldest time of the year for evaporative max effect, typically curing time is 4-6 weeks with the first 3 days being the key days. You're definitely from Westerly. Yum! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 PWM is actually running +2.6" while CON is -12.2" (GYX is -9.6"). Reverse of the BOS screw zone so far up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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