NortheastPAWx Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Go! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Wow they closed 322 and PA 350 west of here. Just reopened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 The radar's pretty close to what the HRRR had for the last few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 no snow on the ground here yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Wow they closed 322 and PA 350 west of here. Just reopened. Ugh, i bet those roads were nightmares. I guess Blair county has had issues too. It's hard to see the slush on the road and if your not really paying attention to the conditions you'll find yourself in trouble quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Maybe I am reading too much into it but NWS CTP seemed a bit less bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billabong Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Nice surprise for the first half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 mainly rain sleet now...thinking first part was best surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Not to get in the way of you guys about to get the region's first real snow, this is CTP's Harrisburg forecast next week. A week out and this wording is very unlike CTP. Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow. Low of 30F with a windchill as low as 16F. Windy. Winds from the NE at 20 to 30 mph. Chance of snow 70% with heavy snow possible.Thursday Overcast with a chance of snow. High of 39F with a windchill as low as 21F. Breezy. Winds from the NNW at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of snow 70% with accumulations up to 1 in. possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Not to get in the way of you guys about to get the region's first real snow, this is CTP's Harrisburg forecast next week. A week out and this wording is very unlike CTP. You know, I see odd stuff like that sometimes. This is the Harrisburg forecast now: http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=40.27533480732468&lon=-76.87820434570312 I'll see something weird in the forecast that will be there for like five minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Has anyone noticed the station on top of WNEP's tower outside of Scranton? I just saw it a few minutes ago because it was reporting 55 mph gusts. Pretty cool. http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KPAHANOV6 http://local.wnep.com/txweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Nws obviously didn't like something they saw with changeover..however cannot complain here..it snowed and was pretty for awhile. Night guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 So I'm in the Huntingdon area for the holiday... cold rain. Shocker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Not to get in the way of you guys about to get the region's first real snow, this is CTP's Harrisburg forecast next week. A week out and this wording is very unlike CTP. What exactly was the source of that forecast? I checked both Harrisburg's point-and-click as well as dauphin county forecasts and neither of them say anything like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 wunderground. But damnit I just went and investigated and it somehow threw me off the NWS and to the BestForecast nonsense. I switched it to NWS and yeah it is normal. I'm an idiot, sorry for the hijack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Starting to mix over to wet flakes should change over fully in the next few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmister Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Incredible snowstorm per GFS on day 6 here! Of course I'll be in Philly... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 it is snowing now...everything covered. it went from heavy sleet to mod snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Verbatim....entire suq. valley & central pa gets 2 to 4" of snow Christmas Eve night into wee-hours Christmas Day...then a 30-hour respite....then we get demolished with 10 to 15" more of snow. So, how does 12 to 19" of snow in less than 3 days sound?? Then temps get colder and colder through New Years with another big storm coming around the 2nd. WOW! PS>>>Pressure has been falling very rapidly past four hours at a rate of 3.3mb / 0.10" Hg per hour. That's some cold front heading our way. As of 12:39am station pressure now down to 29.41" or 996mb. Gonna be some high winds out there when the front passes through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Verbatim....entire suq. valley & central pa gets 2 to 4" of snow Christmas Eve night into wee-hours Christmas Day...then a 30-hour respite....then we get demolished with 10 to 15" more of snow. So, how does 12 to 19" of snow in less than 3 days sound?? Then temps get colder and colder through New Years with another big storm coming around the 2nd. WOW! yeah the GFS sure does look nice tonight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 the deck is under a big pine tree so no snow on it.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 THIS IS... THE END! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Wow that stunk lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Wow what a fizzle. Went to bed 2-4" of snow predicted today,100% chance of snow. This morning POOF - 40% chance snow less than a 1/2" of snow today. But we did pick up over an inch of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 yeah the GFS sure does look nice tonight... 2001 I hope it comes true!! That would be awesome!! But we all know how these tracks change. Edit: Looking at the GFS 17-1 ratio for a few hours = 6.5" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irvingtwosmokes Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 I just woke up and all I can say, Epic Fail!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 The precip last night is a good example of why it is bad to make forecasts solely on model output. The rain/sleet/snow/mix/etc moved through western and central PA nearly 9-12 hours faster than the models were projecting it to. This quick departure killed a number of forecasts that the rain would change to snow before ending during the overnight hours when it ended for a lot of places late last evening. The high for today for KMDT will go down as 50 degrees when temperatures will be much colder than that for the majority of the day. Now time to see what will develop from the lake effect potential. As for the 0z GFS... it gives MDT nearly 2" of precip as snow through the end of next week... wow :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Wow what a fizzle. Went to bed 2-4" of snow predicted today,100% chance of snow. This morning POOF - 40% chance snow less than a 1/2" of snow today. But we did pick up over an inch of rain. Yep....I don't know. I sort of didn't have a good feeling with this one. I just woke up and all I can say, Epic Fail!!! Aren't you in Johnstown? You still are likely to get advisory totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 The precip last night is a good example of why it is bad to make forecasts solely on model output. The rain/sleet/snow/mix/etc moved through western and central PA nearly 9-12 hours faster than the models were projecting it to. This quick departure killed a number of forecasts that the rain would change to snow before ending during the overnight hours when it ended for a lot of places late last evening. The high for today for KMDT will go down as 50 degrees when temperatures will be much colder than that for the majority of the day. Now time to see what will develop from the lake effect potential. As for the 0z GFS... it gives MDT nearly 2" of precip as snow through the end of next week... wow :-) The NAM nailed it but seemed to be ignored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irvingtwosmokes Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Yep....I don't know. I sort of didn't have a good feeling with this one. Aren't you in Johnstown? You still are likely to get advisory totals. I should have phrased that better, Round 1, epic fail...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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